1. The Philippine Millennium Development Goals: Where Are We Now?
Presented by:
DIRECTOR ERLINDA M. CAPONES
Social Development Staff
National Economic and Development Authority

2. Philippine Millennium Development Goals:
Are We On Track?
Where are we in terms of achieving the MDGs?
How do we accelerate the attainment of the MDGs?
How do we assess our statistical database system?
How do we improve MDG monitoring?

3. Population Size: 76.Million Land area: 300,000 square kilometers
(2000)
Estimated
Population: 88.7 Million (2007)
Land area: 300,000 square kilometers
Islands: 7,107
Regions: 17

4. Where are we in terms of achieving the MDGs?

5. TRACKING METHODOLOGY
Ratio of required annual rate of change to reach the target to actual annual rate of change where:
Actual Annual Rate of Change = Current – Baseline
No. of yrs. from baseline to current year
Required Annual Rate of Change = Target – Current
No. of yrs. from current year to target year
Ratio = Required Annual Rate of Change
Actual Annual Rate of Change

6. How do we assess whether
MDG targets will be met?
Probability of Attaining the Target
Ratio
LOW
> 2.0
MEDIUM
1.5 to 2.0
HIGH
< 1.5

7. Philippines MDG Targets
Rate of Progress:
Philippines MDG Targets
MDG
BASELINE (1990 or year closest to 1990)
CURRENT LEVEL
TARGET BY 2015
PROBABILITY OF ATTAINING THE TARGET
ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY AND HUNGER
Proportion of population below
Subsistence threshold
Poverty threshold
24.3
45.3
13.5
(2003)
30.0
12.15
22.65
HIGH
Proportion of families below
20.4
39.9
10.2
24.4
19.95
Proportion of households with per capita intake < 100% dietary energy requirement
69.4
56.9
34.7
% underweight among 0-5 year old children
34.5
24.6
(2005)
17.25

8. MDG Rate of Progress: Philippines MDG Targets REDUCE CHILD MORTALITY
BASELINE (1990 or year closest to 1990)
CURRENT LEVEL
TARGET BY 2015
PROBABILITY OF ATTAINING THE TARGET
REDUCE CHILD MORTALITY
Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 80 32
(2006)
26.7
HIGH
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 57 24 19
COMBAT HIV / AIDS, MALARIA AND OTHER DISEASES
HIV prevalence rate
<1%
(2010)
HIGH
Malaria morbidity rate (per 100,000 patients)
123 59
(2004) 24
ENSURE ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
Proportion of families with access to safe drinking water
73.7
80.2
(2004)
86.8
HIGH
Proportion of families with access to sanitary toilet facility
67.6
86.2 86

9. MDG Rate of Progress: Philippines MDG Targets Maternal mortality ratio
BASELINE (1990 or year closest to 1990)
CURRENT LEVEL
TARGET BY 2015
PROBABILITY OF ATTAINING THE TARGET
ACHIEVE UNIVERSAL PRIMARY EDUCATION
Elementary participation rate
85.1
84.4
( )
100
LOW
Elementary cohort survival rate
68.4
69.9
84.67
Elementary completion rate
66.5
67.99
81.04
PROMOTE GENDER EQUALITY AND EMPOWER WOMEN
Ratio of girls to 100 boys
Elementary education
95.05
94.27
(2005)
Secondary education
104.2
106.83
IMPROVE MATERNAL HEALTH
Maternal mortality ratio
209
162
(2006)
52.2
INCREASE ACCESS TO REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH SERVICES
Prevalence of men and women/couples practicing responsible parenthood 40
50.6 80 .

10. Rate of Progress: Sub-National MDG Targets
Region
Goal 1
Goal 2
Goal 3
Proportion of population below subsistence threshold
Proportion of population below poverty threshold
Prevalence of malnutrition among 0-5 year-old children
Proportion of households with per capita intake below 100% dietary energy requirement
Elementary participation rate
Elementary cohort survival rate
Ratio of girls to 100 boys in elementary
Ratio of girls to 100 boys in secondary
CAR
High
Low I
Medium II
III
IV-A
IV-B V VI
VII
VIII
IX /2 X
XI/3
XII /4
CARAGA
No baseline
ARMM
NCR

11. Rate of Progress: Sub-National MDG Targets
Regions
Goal 4
Goal 5
Goal 6
Goal7
Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 children)
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)
Maternal mortality ratio
Prevalence of men and women/ couples practicing responsible parenthood
HIV Prevalence
Malaria morbidity rate (per 100,000 population)
Proportion of families with access to safe drinking water
Proportion of families with access to sanitary toilet facility
CAR
High
Low * I II
No data
III **
IV-A
IV-B V
Medium VI
VII
No baseline
VIII
IX /2 X
XI/3
XII /4
CARAGA
No reported cases
ARMM
NCR

12. II. How do we accelerate the attainment of the MDGs?

13. MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE Addressing wide disparities across regions
Curbing the high population growth rate
Accelerating the implementation of basic education and health reforms

14. MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE
Ensuring strict enforcement of laws pertinent to the achievement of the MDGs
Strengthening the capacity of LGUs to deliver basic services and manage programs and projects
Ensuring transparency and accountability in government transactions

15. MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE
Generating and mobilizing increased resources for MDG-related programs and projects
Strengthening partnership with NGOs, business sector and ODA community

16. statistical database system?
III. How do we assess our
statistical database system?

17. What are the indicators used in
monitoring the MDGs?
Total Indicators 48
Available 30
Not Available 7
Not Applicable 11

18. Total MDG Indicators = 48
1. Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day
2. Poverty gap ratio
3. Share of poorest quintile in national consumption
4. Prevalence of underweight children under 5 yrs of age
5. Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption
6. Net enrolment ratio in primary education
7. Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 6
8. Literacy rate of year old
9. Ratio of girls to boys in primary and secondary education
10. Ratio of literate females to males
11. Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector
12. Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament
13. Under-five mortality rate
14. Infant mortality rate
15. Proportion of 1 year-old children immunized against measles
16. Maternal mortality ratio
17. Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel
18. HIV prevalence among year old pregnant women
19. Condom use rate of the contraceptive prevalence rate
20. Number of children orphaned by HIV/AIDS
21. Prevalence and death rates associated with malaria
22. Proportion of pop. In malaria risk areas using effective malaria prevention & treatment measures
23. Prevalence and death rates associated with tuberculosis
24. Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under directly observed treatment short course (DOTS)
25. Proportion of land area covered by forest
26. Ratio of area protected to maintain biological diversity to surface area
27. Energy use per $1 GDP
28. Carbon dioxide emissions
29. Proportion of pop. using solid fuels
30. Proportion of pop. with sustainable access to improved water source
31. Proportion of urban population with access to improved sanitation
32. Proportion of HH with access to secure tenure
33. Net ODA, total and to LDCs, as percentage of OECD/DAC donors' gross national income
34. Proportion of total bilateral, sector-allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic social servcies
35. Proportion of bilateral ODA of OECD/DAC donors that is untied
36. ODA received in landlocked countries as proportion of their GNIs
37. ODA received in small island developing States as proportion of their GNIs
38. Proportion of total developed country imports
39. Average tariffs
imposed by developed countries on agricultural products and textiles and clothing from developing countries
40. Agricultural support estimate for OECD countries as percentage of their GDP
41. Proportion of ODA provided to help build trade capacity 
42. Total number of countries that have reached their HIPC decision points completion points
43. Debt relief committed under HIPC initiative, US$
44. Debt service as a % of exports of goods and services
45. Unemployment rate of yr. old
46. Proportion of pop. With access to affordable essential drugs
47. Telephone lines and cellular subscribers
48. Personal computers in use and internet users

19. Available Indicators = 30
1. Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per day
2. Poverty gap ratio
3. Share of poorest quintile in national consumption
4. Prevalence of underweight children under 5 yrs of age
5. Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption
6. Net enrolment ratio in primary education
7. Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 6
8. Literacy rate of year old
9. Ratio of girls to boys in primary and secondary education
10. Ratio of literate females to males
11. Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector
12. Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament
13. Under-five mortality rate
14. Infant mortality rate
15. Proportion of 1 year-old children immunized against measles
16. Maternal mortality ratio
17. Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel
18. Condom use rate of the contraceptive prevalence rate
19. Prevalence and death rates associated with malaria
20. Prevalence and death rates associated with tuberculosis
21. Proportion of land area covered by forest
22. Ratio of area protected to maintain biological diversity to surface area
23. Carbon dioxide emissions (per capita) and consumption of ozone-depleting CFCs
24. Proportion of pop. using solid fuels
25. Proportion of pop. with sustainable access to improved water source
26. Proportion of urban population with access to improved sanitation
27. Proportion of HH with access to secure tenure
28. Debt service as a % of exports of goods and services
29. Unemployment rate of yr. old
30. Telephone lines and cellular subscribers
Source: NSCB

20. Not Available = 7 HIV prevalence among 15-24 year old pregnant women
No. of children orphaned by HIV/AIDS
Proportion of population in malaria risk areas using effective malaria prevention and treatment measures
Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under directly observed treatment short course (DOTS)
Energy use (kg oil equivalent) per $1 GDP
Proportion of population with access to affordable essential drugs on a sustainable basis
Personal computer in use pr 100 population and internet users per 100 population
Source: NSCB

21. Not Applicable = 11 Source: NSCB
Net ODA, total and to LDCs, as percentage of OECD/DAC donors' gross national income
Total no. of countries that have reached their HIPC decision points and number that have reached their HIPC completion points
Debt relief committed under HIPC initiative, US$
Proportion of total bilateral, sector-allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic social servcies (basic education, primary health care, nutrition, safe water and sanitation)
Proportion of bilateral ODA of OECD/DAC donors that is untied
ODA received in landlocked countries as proportion of their GNIs
ODA received in small island developing States as proportion of their GNIs
Proportion of total developed country imports (by value and excluding arms) from developing countries and LDCs, admitted free of duties
Average tariffs imposed by developed countries on agricultural products and textiles and clothing from developing countries
Agricultural support estimate for OECD countries as percentage of their GDP
Proportion of ODA provided to help build trade capacity  (OECD and WTO are collecting data that will be available from 2001 onwards)
Source: NSCB

22. Additional Indicators
Completion rate
Simple and Functional Literacy rates
Drop-out rate
Gender-based violence (GBV)
Gender development index (GDI)
Gender empowerment measure (GEM)
Labor force participation rate (LFPR) by sex
Women’s participation in governance
Percentage of births delivered in a health facility
Prenatal coverage
Percentage of those injected with tetanus toxoid
Provision of iron tablet supplements
Prevalence of men and women/couples practicing responsible parenthood (contraceptive prevalence rate)

23. Major MDG Data Sources Surveys Family Income and
Expenditures Survey (FIES)
National Demographic and
Health Survey (NDHS)
Family Planning Survey (FPS)
Annual Poverty Indicators
Survey (APIS)
National Nutrition Survey
(NNS)
Functional Literacy,
Education and Mass Media
Survey (FLEMMS)
Government Agencies
National Statistics Office (NSO)
National Statistical Coordination
Board (NSCB)
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)
Commission on Higher Education
(CHED)
Department of Education (DepEd)
Department of Health (DOH)
Department of Transportation
and Communication (DOTC)
Department of Environment and
Natural Resources (DENR)
Forest Management Bureau (FMB)
Food and Nutrition Research
Institute (FNRI)
National Telecommunications Commission (NTC)

24. What are the problems in tracking
the MDG progress?
Infrequent conduct of surveys
Unavailability of data at the sub-national
level
Incomparability of data
Need to improve methodology in
determining probability of meeting the
MDG targets

25. IV. How do we improve
MDG monitoring?

26. MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE Regular conduct of censuses and surveys
Nationwide adoption of Community-
Based Monitoring System (CBMS)
Adoption of small area estimates

27. MEETING THE 2015 CHALLENGE Explore possibility of adopting a
standard international methodology
for determining the probability of
meeting the MDG targets
Capacity-building for data
generation, analysis, and monitoring

28. THANK YOU!