Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byAnn McCormick Modified over 9 years ago
1
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 1 M C I NTIRE I NVESTMENT I NSTITUTE A T THE U NIVERSITY OF V IRGINIA Mark Fang and Jonathan Wulkan| 9/5/12 Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) - Long
2
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e LUV IS A LOW COST AIRLINE Founded in 1967 Headquartered in Dallas, TX 39 Straight years of profitability Extreme focus on low operating costs 4 2
3
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 3 Share Price: 9.0752-Week Range: 7.15-10.05 Market Capitalization: 6.72bnAverage Volume (3 Month): 9.3m P/E: 20.83Current Assets: 4.7b EPS: 0.43Total Liabilities: 11.7b EV: 6.66bEBITDAR: 950m S TOCK S UMMARY
4
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e LUV IS A COMPELLING LONG Good Market Position Positive Brand Image Unique Business Model Strong Financials 4
5
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e LUV HAS A STRONG MARKET POSITION 5
6
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e W HAT IS IMPORTANT IN THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY ? Revenue Passenger Miles Total Passengers Carried Available Seats Fleet Size 6
7
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 7 R EVENUE P ASSENGER M ILES
8
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 8 R EVENUE P ASSENGER M ILES 78.09%
9
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 9 R EVENUE P ASSENGER M ILES http://www.airlinefinancials.com/airline_data_comparisons.html
10
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 10 T OTAL P AX C ARRIED
11
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 11 F LEET S IZE
12
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 12 F LEET S IZE
13
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 13 A VAILABLE S EATS
14
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 14 Dedication to the highest quality of Customer Service delivered with a sense of warms, friendliness, individual pride and Company Spirit. LUV
15
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 15 C HEAP AND R ELIABLE
16
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 16 LUV
17
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e VAR Visited Chicago O’Hare (United/American Hub) and Midway (Southwest Hub) Asked customers of all three airlines: How satisfied are you with the airline you are travelling on? How likely are you to switch from that airline to another? 17
18
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e VAR R ESULTS 18
19
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e VAR R ESULTS 19
20
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e U NIQUE B USINESS M ODEL 20 Southwest is a low-cost carrier, so how does it keep its prices lower than the competition while maintaining greater profitability? One Aircraft Fleet Fuel Hedging RNP and P2P Customized Service Secondary Airports Lower Op Cost Route Optimization 70% of fuel needs Lowest average fuel prices Shorter Routes More Destinations Maximizes customer value Shortens aircraft turnover time MDW DAL BWI
21
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 21 O NE A IRCRAFT F LEET
22
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 22 F UEL H EDGING
23
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 23 RNP AND R OUTE M ODELS
24
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e S TRONG F INANCIAL P OSITION 24
25
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 25 V ALUATION UnitedDeltaSouthwestUS AirwaysJetBlueAverage P/E Trailing15.7607.90020.6004.23011.53012.004Ratio P/E Forward3.7703.2308.7603.2307.3105.260Ratio Debt/Equity22.666N/A1.65317.0722.87411.066Ratio EV10.87016.8906.6603.7003.0708.238Billion EV/EBITDAR5.5006.5007.0005.5007.0006.300Ratio Market/Book0.5640.4330.9970.4680.4530.583Ratio OPM5.785%1.377%9.940%10.759%10.180%7.608%Percentage Acid Test Ratio0.8340.5490.9290.9601.0300.860Ratio Liabilities37.05945.85511.7298.7245.29121.732Billion Owner's Equity1.635-1.1357.0970.5111.8411.990Billion Current Assets11.7088.4575.1203.8641.6256.155Billion Inventory0.6110.3930.4320.2580.0000.339Billion Current Liabilities13.31214.6935.0473.7561.5787.677Billion Market Cap6.1307.3106.6401.7301.3904.640Billion Organic Rev Growth4.109.8413.323.6813.648.99Percentage
26
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 26 V ALUATION UnitedDeltaSouthwestUS AirwaysJetBlueAverage P/E Trailing15.7607.90020.6004.23011.53012.004Ratio P/E Forward3.7703.2308.7603.2307.3105.260Ratio Debt/Equity22.666N/A1.65317.0722.87411.066Ratio EV10.87016.8906.6603.7003.0708.238Billion EV/EBITDAR5.5006.5007.0005.5007.0006.300Ratio Market/Book0.5640.4330.9970.4680.4530.583Ratio OPM5.785%1.377%9.940%10.759%10.180%7.608%Percentage Acid Test Ratio0.8340.5490.9290.9601.0300.860Ratio Liabilities37.05945.85511.7298.7245.29121.732Billion Owner's Equity1.635-1.1357.0970.5111.8411.990Billion Current Assets11.7088.4575.1203.8641.6256.155Billion Inventory0.6110.3930.4320.2580.0000.339Billion Current Liabilities13.31214.6935.0473.7561.5787.677Billion Market Cap6.1307.3106.6401.7301.3904.640Billion Organic Rev Growth4.109.8413.323.6813.648.99Percentage
27
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e S OUTHWEST 5 YR O RGANIC R EVENUE G ROWTH 27
28
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e V ALUATION 28 Relative Valuation: (EV/EBITDAR)/5yr Rev Growth
29
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e C ATALYST -H OW I T P LAYS O UT 29 Fuel prices continue rising, placing a squeeze on all airlines’ operating profits LUV’s margins take a hit, but LUV maintains profitability Other airlines forced to raise prices Passengers defect to LUV
30
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e R ECOMMENDATION 30 Initiate Long Position Immediately @ 3.5%
31
M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e Q UESTIONS ? 31
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.