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1 FIN 604 Introduction and Overview 1. Investor vs. Speculator 2. Participants in the Investment Process 3. Steps in Investing 4. Types of Investors and Investments
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2 Investor Vs. Speculator Investor Interested in the L- R holding Assume moderate risk Interested in dividend, interest income as well as capital gains. Speculator Interested in the S- R holding Assume high risk Primarily interested in capital gains. High rate of return.
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3 Investor Vs. Speculator Investor Moderate rate of return. Decision to buy is made after careful analysis of the past performance Use own money Speculator Decision to buy is based on intuitions, rumor, charts or market analysis. Usually borrowed money.
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4 Participants in the Investment Process 1. Federal, state and Local Governments Capital expenditure, operating needs, etc. “Net demander of funds”? 2. Business Both S- T and L-T financial needs.
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5 Participants in the Investment Process Capital expenditure, mergers & acquisitions, etc “Net demander of funds”? 3. Households Both S- T and L-T financial needs. Loans. Mortgages, car loans, etc “Net suppliers of funds”?
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6 Steps in Investing Explain Investment Sacrifice of current consumption for future consumption. Life Cycle Hypothesis Steps in Investing 1. Meeting Financial Plan Preliminaries 2. Establishing Investment Goals 3. Evaluating Investment Vehicle 4. Selecting Suitable Investment 5. Constructing a Diversified Portfolio
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7 Individual Investor Life Cycle Accumulation phase – early to middle years of working career Consolidation phase – past midpoint of careers. Earnings greater than expenses Spending/Gifting phase – begins after retirement
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8 Individual Investor Life Cycle Net Worth Age Accumulation Phase Long-term: Retirement Children’s college Short-term: House Car Consolidation Phase Long-term: Retirement Short-term: Vacations Children’s College Spending Phase Gifting Phase Long-term: Estate Planning Short-term: Lifestyle Needs Gifts
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9 Financial Plan Preliminaries Insurance – Life insurance Term life insurance - Provides death benefit only. Premium could change every renewal period Universal and variable life insurance – provide cash value plus death benefit
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10 Financial Plan Preliminaries Insurance – Health insurance – Disability insurance – Automobile insurance – Home/rental insurance – Liability insurance
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11 Financial Plan Preliminaries Cash reserve – To meet emergency needs – Includes cash equivalents (liquid investments) – Equal to six months living expenses recommended by experts
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12 Investment Objectives Risk Tolerance Absolute or relative percentage return General goals
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13 Investment Objectives General Goals Capital preservation – minimize risk of real loss Capital appreciation – Growth of the portfolio in real terms to meet future need Current income – Focus is in generating income rather than capital gains
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14 Investment Objectives General Goals Total return – Increase portfolio value by capital gains and by reinvesting current income – Maintain moderate risk exposure
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15 Investment Constraints Liquidity needs – Vary between investors depending upon age, employment, tax status, etc. Time horizon – Influences liquidity needs and risk tolerance Tax Consideration – Capital gains Vs. Dividend income – Realized Vs. Unrealized Capital gains – Tax planning Vs. Diversification
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16 Equivalent Taxable Yield
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17 Investment Constraints Legal and Regulatory Factors – Limitations or penalties on withdrawals – Fiduciary responsibilities - “prudent man” rule – Investment laws prohibit insider trading
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18 The Importance of Asset Allocation An investment strategy is based on four decisions – What asset classes to consider for investment – What normal or policy weights to assign to each eligible class – Determining the allowable allocation ranges based on policy weights – What specific securities to purchase for the portfolio
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19 The Importance of Asset Allocation According to research studies, most (85% to 95%) of the overall investment return is due to the first two decisions, not the selection of individual investments
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20 Returns and Risk of Different Asset Classes Historically, small company stocks have generated the highest returns. But the volatility of returns have been the highest too Inflation and taxes have a major impact on returns Returns on Treasury Bills have barely kept pace with inflation
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21 The Portfolio Management Process 1. Policy statement - Focus: Investor’s short-term and long- term needs, familiarity with capital market history, and expectations 2. Examine current and project financial, economic, political, and social conditions - Focus: Short-term and intermediate-term expected conditions to use in constructing a specific portfolio 3. Implement the plan by constructing the portfolio - Focus: Meet the investor’s needs at the minimum risk levels 4. Feedback loop: Monitor and update investor needs, environmental conditions, portfolio performance
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22 The Portfolio Management Process 1. Policy statement – specifies investment goals and acceptable risk levels – should be reviewed periodically – guides all investment decisions 2. Study current financial and economic conditions and forecast future trends – determine strategies to meet goals – requires monitoring and updating
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23 The Portfolio Management Process 3. Construct the portfolio – allocate available funds to minimize investor’s risks and meet investment goals – Mutual funds vs. individual stock.
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24 The Portfolio Management Process 4. Monitor and update – evaluate portfolio performance – Monitor investor’s needs and market conditions – revise policy statement as needed – modify investment strategy accordingly
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25 Investors and Investments Types of Investors 1. Individual Investors 2. Institutional Investors Types of Investments – Securities or Properties Stocks, bonds vs. real tangible investment or personal properties.
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26 Investors and Investments – Direct or Indirect Direct: Stocks, bonds, real estate, coins, paintings, etc …. Indirect: investment made in a portfolio. Mutual fund. – Debt, equity and Derivative Securities – Domestic Vs. Foreign
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