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Corporate Valuation and Value-Based Management
CHAPTER 11 Corporate Valuation and Value-Based Management
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Topics Corporate Valuation Value-Based Management Corporate Governance
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Corporate Valuation: A company owns two types of assets.
Assets-in-place Financial, or nonoperating, assets
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CORPORATE VALUE
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CORPORATE VALUE Growth Opportunities Assets-in-place
Opportunities to expand arising from firm’s current knowledge, experience and resources Assets-in-place Tangible: land, buildings Intangible: patents, reputation
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Assets-in-Place Assets-in-place are tangible, such as buildings, machines, inventory Usually expected to grow Generate free cash flows The PV of their expected future free cash flows, discounted at the WACC, is the value of operations.
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CORPORATE VALUE Marketable securities Ownership of non-controlling
interest in another company Value Balance Sheet figures
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Nonoperating Assets Marketable securities
Ownership of non-controlling interest in another company Value of nonoperating assets usually is very close to figure that is reported on balance sheets.
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VCORP = VOP + VNOA Total Corporate Value
Total corporate value is sum of: VOP = Value of operations VNOA = Value of nonoperating assets
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Claims on Corporate Value
1st claim: Debt-holders 2nd claim: Preferred stockholders Residual claim: Common Stockholders
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Applying the Corporate Valuation Model
Forecast the financial statements Shown in Chapter 9 Calculate projected free cash flows Model can be applied to a company that: Does not pay dividends Is privately held Is a division … since FCF can be calculated for each
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Value of Operations: Constant FCF Growth at Rate of g
Vop = Σ ∞ t = 1 FCFt (1 + WACC)t = FCF0(1+g)t
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Value of Operations
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Constant Growth Formula
Vop = FCF1 (WACC - g) = FCF0(1+g)
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Expansion Plan: Target #1 Input Values:
FCF0 = $20 million WACC = 10% g = 5% Marketable securities = $100 million Debt = $200 million Preferred stock = $50 million Book value of equity = $210 million
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Find Value of Operations
Vop = FCF0 (1 + g) (WACC - g) 20(1+0.05) (0.10 – 0.05) = 420
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Value of Equity Sources of Corporate Value Claims on Corporate Value
Value of operations = $420 Value of non-operating assets = $100 Claims on Corporate Value Value of Debt = $200 Value of Preferred Stock = $50 Value of Equity = ?
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Value of Equity Sources of Corporate Value Claims on Corporate Value
VOP = $420 = Value of operations VNOA = $100 = Value of non-operating assets VCORP = $520 = VOP + VNOA Claims on Corporate Value VD = $200 = Value of Debt VPF = $ = Value of Preferred Stock VE = $270 = Value of Equity = VCORP-VD-VPF
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Topics Corporate Valuation Value-Based Management Corporate Governance
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Market Value Added (MVA)
MVA = Total corporate value of firm minus total book value of firm Total corporate value of firm $ 520 Total book value of firm = Book value of equity $ 210 + book value of debt 200 + book value of preferred stock 50 MVA = $520 - ($210 + $200 + $50) = $60 million
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Breakdown of Corporate Value
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Expansion Plan: Target #2 Non-constant Growth
Privately held company $40 million in new debt No other debt No preferred stock Pays no dividend No marketable securities
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Expansion Plan: Target #2
Projected free cash flows (FCF): Year 1 FCF = -$5 million. Year 2 FCF = $10 million. Year 3 FCF = $20 million FCF after year 3 = 6% constant growth WACC = 10% 10 million shares of stock outstanding
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Horizon Value Forecast horizon = three years
Growth in FCF is not constant Can’t use the constant growth formula Growth is constant after the horizon Modify the constant growth formula to find the value of all free cash flows beyond the horizon, discounted back to the horizon.
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Horizon Value Formula Vop at time t = HV = FCFt(1+g) (WACC - g)
Horizon value is also called terminal value, or continuing value.
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Value of operations is PV of FCF discounted by WACC
Vop at 3 -4.545 8.264 15.026 1 2 3 4 rc=10% = Vop g = 6% FCF= $21.2 . .06 $530. 10
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Common Stock Price per Share
Value of equity = Value of operations - Value of debt = $ $40 = $ million Price per share = $ /10 = $37.69
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Value-Based Management (VBM)
The systematic application of the corporate valuation model to all corporate decisions and strategic initiatives. Objective =increase MVA
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MVA and the Four Value Drivers
g = Sales growth OP = Operating profitability (OP=NOPAT/Sales) CR = Capital requirements (CR=Operating capital / Sales) WACC = Weighted average cost of capital
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MVA for a Constant Growth Firm
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MVA for a Constant Growth Firm
= MVA if: Operating profit margin is 100% Never any additional investments in operating capital
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MVA for a Constant Growth Firm
= MVA if: Operating profit margin is 100% Never any additional investments in operating capital % Operating profit the firm gets to keep, less the return that investors require Can be positive or negative If negative, then growth decreases MVA
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MVA for a Constant Growth Firm
MVA will improve if: Operating profitability (OP) increases WACC is reduced The capital requirement (CR) decreases
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Expected Return on Invested Capital (EROIC)
The expected return on invested capital =the NOPAT expected next period divided by the amount of capital currently invested:
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MVA in Terms of Expected ROIC
If (EROICt - WACC) is positive, then: MVA is positive Growth makes MVA larger The opposite is true if the spread is negative.
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The Impact of Growth on MVA KFS’ Divisions
KFS has two divisions: Both have current sales of $1,000 Current expected growth of 5% WACC of 10% Division A has high profitability (OP=6%) but high capital requirements (CR=78%). Division B has low profitability (OP=4%) but low capital requirements (CR=27%).
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What is the impact on MVA if growth goes from 5% to 6%?
Division A Division B OP 6% 4% CR 78% 27% Growth 5% MVA (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0
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Expected ROIC and MVA Division A Division B Capital0 $780 $270 Growth
5% 6% Sales1 $1,050 $1,060 NOPAT1 $63 $63.6 $42 $42.4 EROIC0 8.1% 8.2% 15.6% 15.7% MVA (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0
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Analysis of Growth Strategies
Division A Division B Capital0 $780 $270 Growth 5% 6% Sales1 $1,050 $1,060 NOPAT1 $63 $63.6 $42 $42.4 EROIC0 8.1% 8.2% 15.6% 15.7% MVA (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0 EROIC(A) < WACC (10%) Should postpone growth efforts until it improves EROIC Reduce capital requirements (e.g., reducing inventory) And/or improve profitability
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Analysis of Growth Strategies
Division A Division B Capital0 $780 $270 Growth 5% 6% Sales1 $1,050 $1,060 NOPAT1 $63 $63.6 $42 $42.4 EROIC0 8.1% 8.2% 15.6% 15.7% MVA (300.0) (360.0) 300.0 385.0 EROIC(B) > WACC (10%) Division should continue with its growth plans
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Topics Corporate Valuation Value-Based Management Corporate Governance
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CORPORATE GOVERNANCE “The set of rules and procedures that ensure that managers do indeed employ the principles of value-based management”
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Two Primary Mechanisms of Corporate Governance
“Stick” Provisions in the charter that affect takeovers Composition of the board of directors “Carrot” Compensation plans
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Corporate Governance Provisions Under a Firm’s Control
Board of directors Charter provisions affecting takeovers Compensation plans Capital structure choices Internal accounting control systems
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Effective Boards of Directors
Election mechanisms make it easier for minority shareholders to gain seats: Not a “classified” board (i.e., all board members elected each year, not just those with multi-year staggered terms) Board elections allow cumulative voting CEO ≠ Chairman of the Board Majority of outside directors
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Effective Boards of Directors (Continued)
Not an interlocking board Board members not unduly busy Compensation for board directors is appropriate Not so high that it encourages cronyism with CEO Not all compensation is fixed salary
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Entrenched Management
Occurs when there is little chance that poorly performing managers will be replaced Two causes: Anti-takeover provisions in the charter Weak board of directors
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Two Effects of Entrenched Management
Management consumes perks: Lavish offices and corporate jets Excessively large staffs Country club memberships Management accepts projects (or makes acquisitions) to make firm larger, even if MVA goes down
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Harmful Managerial Behavior
Expend too little time and effort Consume too many non-pecuniary benefits Avoid difficult decisions (e.g., close plant) out of loyalty to friends in company (More . .)
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Harmful Managerial Behavior
Reject risky positive NPV projects to avoid looking bad if project fails Take on risky negative NPV projects to try for a home run. Avoid returning capital to investors Make excess investments in marketable securities Pay too much for acquisitions Massage information releases or manage earnings to avoid revealing bad news.
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Anti-Takeover Provisions
“Greenmail” Targeted share repurchases “Poison Pills” Shareholder rights provisions Restricted voting rights plans
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Stock Options as Compensation
Gives option holder the right to buy a share of the company’s stock at a specified price Vesting period Expiration or maturity date
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Problems with Stock Options
Manager can underperform market or peer group, yet still reap rewards from options as long as the stock price increases to above the exercise cost. Options sometimes encourage managers to falsify financial statements or take excessive risks.
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Block Ownership Outside investor owns large amount (i.e., block) of company’s shares Institutional investors, such as CalPERS or TIAA-CREF Blockholders often monitor managers and take active role, leading to better corporate governance
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Regulatory Systems and Laws
Companies in countries with strong protection for investors tend to have: Better access to financial markets A lower cost of equity Increased market liquidity Less noise in stock prices
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