1. Decision and Risk Analysis FT MBA 2000 Kiriakos Vlahos January 99

2. Course objectives Managing information Addressing business problems in a structured way Generating and evaluating alternatives Managing uncertainty Learning how to combine judgement with quantitative analysis Using computer technology effectively Overall objective How to make better business decisions taking advantage of modern decision and computer technology

3. Course outline Regression Analysis & Business Forecasting 1 Financial Modelling & Risk Analysis 2 Decision Making under Uncertainty Business Process Design 2 Resource Allocation 2 1. Lecture followed by computer workshop 2. Lecture followed by computer workshop with assessed report

4. Course arrangements Workshops –Working in pairs –The first is not assessed –The following three are assessed Assessment –Workshop assignments 3 x 15% –Final exam 55% Exercises Course Software –Excel –@RISK (risk analysis) –Extend (simulation –QLP (optimisation) Discussion Forum Web Site (www.lbs.ac.uk/faculty/kvlahos/dra)

5. Contacting the teacher Open door policy email –kvlahos@lbs.ac.uk Office: A306 Phone: x3455 Secretary: Deborah King –Office: S346 –email: dlking@lbs.ac.uk –phone: x3526