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Lecture No.19 Chapter 6 Contemporary Engineering Economics Copyright © 2010 Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010
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Chapter Opening Story - Drinking Water from Ocean Build a $300 million water-desalination plant in Carlsaba, CA Produce 50 million gallons of drinking water a day Supply about 100,000 homes Cost the plant $1.10 in electricity per 1,000 gallons of water At Issue: What would be the production cost per gallon of water from ocean? Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Annual Worth Analysis Principle: Measure an investment worth on annual basis Benefits: By knowing the annual equivalent worth, we can: Seek consistency of report format Determine the unit cost (or unit profit) Facilitate the unequal project life comparison Annual Equivalent Conversion Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Fundamental Decision Rules Single Project Evaluation: Comparing Mutually Exclusive Alternatives: If AE(i) > 0, accept the investment. If AE(i) = 0, remain indifferent to the investment If AE(i) < 0, reject the investment Service projects: select the alternative with the minimum annual equivalent cost (AEC). Revenue projects: select the alternative with the maximum AE(i). Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Example 6.1 Economics of Installing A Feedwater Heater Install a 150MW unit: Initial cost = $1,650,000 Service life = 25 years Salvage value = 0 Expected improvement in fuel efficiency = 1% Fuel cost = $0.05kWh Load factor = 85% Determine the annual worth for installing the unit at i = 12%. If the fuel cost increases at the annual rate of 4%, what is AE(12%)? Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Ex. 6.1 Calculation of Annual Fuel Savings Required input power before adding the second unit: Required input power after adding the second unit: Reduction in energy consumption: $4,870kW Annual operating hours: Annual Fuel Savings Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010 :.
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Ex. 6.1 Annual Worth Calculations (a) with constant fuel price: PW (12%) = -$1,650,000 + $1,813,101 (P/A, 12%, 25) = $12,570,403 AE(12%) = $12,570,403 (A/P, 12%, 25) = $ 1,602,726 (b) with escalating fuel price: Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Ex. 6.2 Annual Equivalent Worth - Repeating Cash Flow Cycles First Cycle Repeating Cycles Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Example 6.3 Comparing Mutually Exclusive Alternatives Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Required Assumptions The service life of the selected alternative is required on a continuous basis. Each alternative will be replaced by an identical asset that has the same costs and performance Model A: Model B: Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition © 2010
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Annual equivalent cost = Capital cost + Operating costs Contemporary Engineering Economics, 5 th edition, © 2010
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Contemporary Engineering economics, 5 th edition, © 2010 Annual Equivalent Cost When only costs are involved, the AE method is called the annual equivalent cost. Revenues must cover two kinds of costs: Operating costs and capital costs. Capital costs Operating costs + Annual Equivalent Costs
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Contemporary Engineering economics, 5 th edition, © 2010 Capital (Ownership) Costs Def: Owning an equipment is associated with two transactions—(1) its initial cost (I) and (2) its salvage value (S). Capital costs: Taking these items into consideration, we calculate the capital costs as:
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Contemporary Engineering economics, 5 th edition, © 2010 SEGMENTBEST MODELSASKING PRICE PRICE AFTER 3 YEARS Compact carMini Cooper$19,800$12,078 Midsize carVolkswagen Passat $28,872$15,013 Sports carPorsche 911$87,500$48,125 Near luxury carBMW 3 Series$39,257$20,806 Luxury carMercedes CLK$51,275$30,765 MinivanHonda Odyssey $26,876$15,051 Subcompact SUVHonda CR-V$20,540$10,681 Compact SUVAcura MDX$37,500$21,375 Full size SUVToyota Sequoia$37,842$18,921 Compact truckToyota Tacoma$21,200$10,812 Full size truckToyota Tundra$25,653$13,083 Capital (Ownership) Costs Associated with Various Vehicles
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Example - Capital Cost Calculation for Mini Cooper Given: I = $19,800 N = 3 years S = $12,078 i = 6% Find: CR(6%) Capital recovery Cost Contemporary Engineering economics, 5 th edition, © 2010
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Example 6.4 Required Annual Revenue to Justify an Investment Given: I = $20,000 S = $4,000 N = 5 years i = 10% Find: See if an annual revenue of $5,000 is large enough to cover both the capital and operating costs Cost of Owning & Operating Contemporary Engineering economics, 5 th edition, © 2010.
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Ex. 6.4 Solution: Need additional revenue in the amount of $120.76 to justify the Investment Contemporary Engineering economics, 5 th edition, © 2010
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