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Case Study on Loss Manegement in Brazilian Utilities Marcos Aurélio Madureira da Silva Corporate Commercial Director Sistema Cataguazes-Leopoldina madureira@cataguazes.com.br
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Brazilian electricity market overview NTLs concepts SCL’s losses fighting history New challenges to reduce NTLs Revenue Intelligence case study in SCLAgenda
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Introdução Informe o motivo da discussão Identifique-se BRAZIL OVERVIEW 8,500,000 SQUARE KILOMETERS 62 ELECTRIC UTILITIES AROUND 180 MILLION INHABITANTS AROUND 53 MILLION CUSTOMERS
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Brazil – Electrical Sector Electrical Companys o Generation (almost all State owned) o Trasmission(almost all state owned) o Distribuition (almost all privatized) Regulatory and Control o ANEEL – Regulatory Agency o ONS – G and T Independent System Operator o CCCE – Energy Trading Contracts Energy Bids Spot Market o Free Customers
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Sistema Cataguazes- Leopoldina 1905 - 2005 Northeast of Brazil Southeast of Brazil Brazil SAELPA Área: 54.595 Km 2 Costumers : 861 thousand Inhabitants: : 3.000 mil Área: 1.789 Km 2 Costumers : 137 thousand Inhabitants: 450 mil Área: 17.419 Km 2 Costumers : 455 thousand Inhabitants: : 1.800 mil Área: 17.331 Km 2 Costumers : 390 thousand Inhabitants: : 1.200 mil Sistema Cataguazes Market Share 2005 0,8% of Southeast 9,0% of Northeast 2,0% of Brasil REF: 2005mar
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REVENUE PROTECTION IS PART OF A PERMANENT FINANCIAL POLICY Sistema Cataguazes- Leopoldina 1905 - 2005
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Cash-flow consequences of NTLs : Vicious cycle Reduce Investment Capacity and Operational Efficiency Reduce CAPEX Reduce EBITDA NTLs reduce EVA EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization; EVA - Economic Value Added; CAPEX - CAPital EXpenditures.
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SCL –Corporate Management Process BOD BUSINESS MANAGEMENT UNIT DEPT. MANAGER OPERATOR GOALS PROJECTS ACTION PLANS REPORTS MONITORING RELPORTS MONITORING REPORTS MONITORING NEGOTIATION
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SCL - Commercial Losses Main Activities and Results Main Activities o Field Inspections o Fix Irregular connections o Fix Damaged Meters o Fix metering instalations o Fix bad registers Results o +50% reduction of commercial losses since 2001 until 2004 9% 2001 December 4,3% 2004 December
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PROFITABILY x AFFORDABLE SUPPLY RATES o Regulators push utilities to decrease commercial losses (refusing to transfer NTLs to the tariffs) o Shareholders push top-management to achieve positive EVA (profits greater than cost of capital) o Government, Regulators and Users push utilities increase quality of energy while reducing rates Challenge : Reduce NTLs
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Challenge : How to Reduce NTLs Lack of human and financial resources to perform all necessary actions o Field investigation, service orders to reduce fraud / theft / commercial losses o Debt negotiation, consumer disconnection (where permited by law) to reduce receivables losses o Internal process optimization and auditing to reduce administrative losses
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Challenge : Reduce NTLs There are new distribution solutions
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Distribution solutions
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Meters installed on the pole
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Challenge : Reduce NTLs There are new distribution solutions o But they are expensive… As time goes by, frauds has became more sophisticated Criminal organizations selling “energy theft services” Endless mouse-cat game
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New Challenges We need to increase the search frauds process efficiency o How much ? o Where? o How kind? To optimize NTLs reducing process o What are the priorities? o How the actions must be doing? o What is the adequated solution? o How is the optimal mix (New installations X Inspections)
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Data analyses o We have a lot of data Billing systems Meter systems Electrical Operation Measurement Systems Distribuition Electrical System Manegement Costumer Care system Irregularities detected by meter readers o Those data are usually separated o We need to put them together o We have to think, plan and act with intelligence
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Loss Reduction Strategies employed Which technologies should be employed, in what consumers ? Limited financial resources it is necessary to optimize the resources AMR with PLC Anti-theft cables, meters and seals Load balance up to transformers Change of pattern for input and distribution Which consumers should be inspected ? Universe of consumers
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Graphs for productivity of inspections Productivity without RI Cost Energy Recovered + Aggregated Optimal Point for energy / cost Increase of energy with same cost Productivity with RI
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SAELPA – Revenue Intelligence results Recovered Energy (MWhR) o MWhR (May/03-Dec/03) 7.591 before RI o MWhR (May/04-Dec/04) 12.680 after RI o Increasing 67,05% Aggregated Energy (MWhA) o MWhA per Inspection o 0,028 MWh/month 0,048 MWh/month o Increasing 71%
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Revenue Intelligence - SAELPA CompanyAnnual sales Recovered energy annual increasing Aggregated energy annual increasing Total energy annual increasing % of increasing in relation to annual sales Annual estimative of required energy reduction SAELPA2.280 GWh7,63 GWh11,98 GWh19,61 GWh0,86%3,6 GWh
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Summary of Results in SCL-SAELPA Results of RI in SCL (one year after implementation): o Find NTL, uncover unknown NTL o Productivity increased (energy recoveried / inspections) more then 67%, forecasting 0,86% annual increasing in total revenue o Increased efficiency of investigation team up to 36% (average); some rules already achieved 73% efficiency o Creation of a NTL Reduction Intelligence Dept. to reduce NTL and keep it low o Auditable results and statistics to demonstrate benefits to Management and Stockholders.
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Marcos Aurélio Madureira da Silva Corporate Commercial Director madureira@cataguazes.com.br 55-83-2106-7002www.scl.com.br
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