1. Education & Skills User Event – ESS, EPS & Working Futures Marc Bayliss UK Commission for Employment and Skills Follow us on Twitter: @ukces

2. Agenda Our products Introducing the UK Commission for Employment and Skills and our research Employer Skills Survey 2011 Employer Perspectives Survey 2012 Accessing UKCES LMI Working Futures

3. About us: Our goals More employers investing in the skills of their people More employers taking ownership of skills More career opportunities for young people More collective action by employers through stronger sectors and local networks Provide outstanding labour market intelligence which helps businesses and people make the best choices for them Maximise the impact of employment and skills policies and employer behaviour to support jobs and growth Work with businesses to leverage greater investment in skills Impact Investment Intelligence Aim: Transform the UK’s approach to investing in the skills of people as an intrinsic part of securing jobs and growth Five assets and 100 staff to deliver outcomes

4. Key resources for decision-makers UK Commission’s Employer Skills Survey 87,500 interviews To understand employer investment and skills challenges Monitor employer investment Assess employer skills needs Understand recruitment practices Working Futures 850,000 time series extrapolations To understand labour market prospects for next ten years Input to careers and skills advice Inform policymakers at national & local levels Inform curriculum strategies Employer Perspectives Survey 15,000 interviews To understand employer perspectives of recruitment and young people development Young People Apprenticeships Work placements

5. Employer Skills Survey 2011 Follow us on Twitter: @ukces #ESS11

6. UK Employer Skills Survey Scope ESS 2011: 87,500 interviews 24 minute telephone interview EN:75,000 SC: 2,500 W: 6,000 NI: 4,000 Establish- ment level All sizes except the self- employed* All types of employer: public, private, third sector All sectors *i.e. excludes those with 1 working proprietor and no employees

7. Skill deficiencies, vacancies, training and investment in training, workforce development, retention of staff, business strategies, and high performance working practices This includes: For the first time this year, we measure skills use where businesses report that the skills of at least one of their staff was under-used in their current role. Skills shortage vacancies i.e.. when a business fails to recruit due to applicants not having the right skills or work experience. Skills gaps i.e. are when an employee does not have the right skills to be fully proficient in their role. UK Employer Skills Survey Topic coverage

8. Across Wales £1.71 billion Is spent on training. However: £1.19 billion Is the wages of those being trained. UK Employer Skills Survey Investment in Training Follow Up £533 million is spent on the direct costs of training. £140 million on payments to external providers £393 million Other tradeable and non-tradeable costs (i.e wage costs of internal trainers, management of training, operational costs)

9. Key messages ‘An inconvenient truth’ 17-18 yr olds leaving school 17-18 yr olds leaving FE Young people leaving HE 47% 26% Most businesses found education leavers well prepared for work (with preparedness increasing with age) The minority of employers report issues with education leavers. The two key issues were: Experience of world of work Poor attitude / personality Across Wales, 24% of businesses had recruited education leavers in the past 2-3 yrs, and these were generally seen as well prepared for work: 16 yr olds 53% 35%65% 74% 80%20%

10. Employer Perspectives Survey 2012 10

11. What is the Employer Perspectives Survey? Large scale, UK-wide employer survey (c. 15,000 interviews) Focuses on how employers meet their skill needs, and their interface with the skills system Robust, quality assured data Complements the ESS First survey published in 2010, second published December 2012 How can we improve partnerships to ensure future investment really adds value?

12. EPS 2012: Overview EPS 2012: 15,004 interviews 23 minute telephone interview EN:10,003 SC: 2,000 W: 2,001 NI: 1,000 Establish- ment level 2+ employees working at the site All types of employer: public, private, third sector All business sectors 12

13. EPS Coverage Recruitment People Development Vocational Qualifications How can we improve partnerships to ensure future investment really adds value? Apprenticeships Young People & Work Experience

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15. Working Futures

16. What is Working Futures? UK labour market model focusing on employment prospects – “where will future jobs come from”? Projections for 2010-2020, historic picture for 1990-2010 Comprehensive, detailed, transparent assumptions Well-established All four iterations produced by CE and IER

17. The Model Macro-economic model Demand and supply Occupational employment model Qualification model Replacement demand model

18. Key Lenses Employment Industry x6 x22 x79 Occupation x9 x25 Employment status Geography UK Nation Region Gender Qualification Level

19. Changes in Employment in Wales, 1990-2020 Percentage share of total employment, 1990-2020

20. Replacement demand is important (2010-2020)

21. Accessing UKCES Data

22. ESS 11 & EPS 12 22 Reports – UK and country SPSS datasets ONS Virtual Microdata Laboratory Excel data tables Webisodes and maps Online at ukces.org.uk At ukces.org.uk / via employer.surveys@ukces.org.uk Data access request: employer.surveys@ukces.org.uk Application packs at ons.gov.uk

23. Working Futures Available from http://www.ukces.org.uk/ourwork/working- futures http://www.ukces.org.uk/ourwork/working- futures Published reports include: –Main UK report –Wales National Report –Sectoral report (22 industries at UK level) –Technical report Micro data also available for four economic areas: SE, SW, Mid & North To commence application process email: working.futures@ukces.org.uk working.futures@ukces.org.uk 23

24. Thank You Marc Bayliss, Senior Research Manager UK Commission for Employment and Skills e: marc.bayliss@ukces.org.uk Download our reports: www.ukces.org.uk/ourwork/research