2. Presented by Joseph K. Berry Principal, Berry & Associates // Spatial Information Systems Adjunct Faculty in Geosciences, Department of Geography, University of Denver Adjunct Faculty in Natural Resources, Warner College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University Email: jberry@innovativegis.com — Website: www.innovativegis.com/basis This PowerPoint with notes and online links to further reading is posted at www.innovativegis.com/basis/Present/CentroidCSU2014/ GIS in Natural Resources and Agriculture GIS Centroid Seminar Colorado State University — October 17, 2014 Premise: While Natural Resources and Agriculture have significant differences in their respective motivations, goals, decision environments, and technological approaches, advanced Map Analysis and GIS Modeling applications are bridging these differences. Premise: While Natural Resources and Agriculture have significant differences in their respective motivations, goals, decision environments, and technological approaches, advanced Map Analysis and GIS Modeling applications are bridging these differences.

3. Mapping vs. Analyzing (Processing Mapped Data …review from “Future Directions” seminar ) (Berry) (Biotechnology)(Nanotechnology) Global Positioning System (locate and navigate) Remote Sensing (measure and classify) Geographic Information Systems (map and analyze) GPS/GIS/RS … GIS is a Technological Tool involving — −Mapping that creates a spatial representation of an area −Display that generates visual renderings of a mapped area −Geo-query that searches for map locations having a specified classification, condition or characteristic “Map” (Descriptive Mapping) “Analyze” …and an Analytical Tool involving — −Spatial Mathematics that applies scalar mathematical formulae to account for geometric positioning, scaling, measurement and transformations of mapped data −Spatial Analysis that investigates the contextual relationships within and among mapped data layers −Spatial Statistics that investigates the numerical relationships within and among mapped data layers (Prescriptive Modeling)

4. Spatial Statistics Operations Spatial Analysis Operations “Map-ematics” Maps as Data, not Pictures Vector & Raster — Aggregated & Disaggregated Qualitative & Quantitative A Mathematical Structure for Map Analysis/Modeling ( …review from “Future Directions” seminar ) Technological Tool Mapping/Geo-Query (Discrete, Spatial Objects) Geotechnology  RS – GIS – GPS Grid-based Map Analysis Toolbox (Berry) ArcGIS Spatial Analyst operations …over 170 individual “tools” (Continuous, Map Surfaces ) Map Analysis/Modeling Analytical Tool Geo-registered Analysis Frame …organized set of numbers  Matrix of Numbers www.innovativegis.com/basis/BeyondMappingSeries/www.innovativegis.com/basis/BeyondMappingSeries/, Book IV, Topic 9 for more discussion A Map-ematical Framework Traditional math/stat procedures can be extended into geographic space to support Quantitative Analysis of Mapped Data “…thinking analytically with maps” Map Stack SpatialSTEM

5. Comparing Natural Resources and Agriculture (a GIS perspective) (Berry) Spatial Statistics seeks to map the variation in a data set instead of focusing on a single typical response (central tendency), thereby providing a Statistical Framework for investigating the Numerical Spatial Relationships within and among grid map layers Spatial Analysis extends the basic set of discrete map features (points, lines and polygons) to map surfaces that represent continuous geographic space (matrix), thereby providing a Mathematical Framework for investigating Contextual Spatial Relationships within and among grid map layers Natural Resources Mapping/Geo-query Terrain Analysis Variable-width Buffers Emergency Response Visual Exposure Shape/Patterns Consensus Building : Agriculture Navigation Yield Mapping Nutrient Surfaces Prescription Map Spatial T-test Clustering Regression : Spatial Coincidence among map variables Relative Positioning within map variables “Technical Tool” (Descriptive “Where is What”) Mapping/Geo-Query (Discrete Spatial Objects) vs. Analytical Tool (Prescriptive “Why, So What and What if”) Map Stack (geo-registered) Map Analysis/Modeling (Continuous Map Surfaces) Geo-registered Analysis Frame …organized set of numbers  Matrix of Numbers Mathematical Framework Statistical Framework

6. Video of “Future Directions in Map Analysis and Modeling” seminar can be viewed at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vc Spatial Analysis Operations (Math Examples …review from “Future Directions” seminar ) (Berry) The Spatial Derivative identifies the localized inclination ( slope ) and orientation ( aspect ) at every grid cell on a map surface. Spatial Analyst commands Slope and Aspect. Advanced Grid Math applies mathematical operations ( add, subtract, multiply, divide, power, log, cosine, Boolean AND, Bitwise AND, etc. ). Spatial Analyst commands Math and Map Algebra toolsets. The Spatial Integral calculates the volume (or other statistical summary) for an area. Spatial Analyst Zonal Statistics commands.

7. Video of “Future Directions in Map Analysis and Modeling” seminar can be viewed at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vc Spatial Analysis Operations (Distance Examples …review from “Future Directions” seminar ) Distance, Proximity and Movement Distance identifies “shortest straight line between two points”; Proximity relaxes 2P ( S, SL, 2P ) Movement relaxes SL ( S, SL, 2P ) considering intervening absolute and relative barriers. Spatial Analyst commands Euclidean Distance and Cost Distance. Optimal Path identifies the “shortest not-necessary-straight route”. Spatial Analyst command Cost Path. Visual Connectivity identifies cells visually connected to an observer location ( Viewshed ) or the number of cells ( Visual Exposure ). Spatial Analyst command Viewshed. (Berry)

8. Movement …around and through absolute and relative barriers (click) …animated time steps in construction of a Travel-time Surfaceclick Spatial Analysis Operations (Travel-time Surface backcountry emergency response ) (Berry) Travel-time Surface (accumulated movement) Least Cost Path (optimal movement)

9. Wildfire Risk/Behavior Modeling (Example of an advanced NR application) The consequences of wildfires have never been greater as more people move into wildfire-prone areas. There is an increasing need for wildfire risk assessment, fuel treatments, mitigation planning, prevention awareness, wildfire behavior modeling, real-time suppression response and recovery preparedness to reduce risk and impacts to communities and sensitive areas. Wildfire Risk Modeling …Wildfire Risk integrates numerous map layers such as weather factors, historical fire occurrence, surface and canopy fuels, terrain, and suppression effectiveness. (Berry) …analysis of Wildfire Spread and Behavior, integrates current weather, fuel characteristics, and topography. Simulation results are in real time, providing capabilities to adjust simulations with observed data and proposed suppression activities. Wildfire Behavior Modeling After Scott, Pyrologix ; Buckley and Ramirez, TecnosylvaPyrologix Tecnosylva Economic Impact of wildfire is based on probability/intensity of a wildfire (Risk) times assessor data (Value). Risk Value Wildfire Risk Rebuild Value Risk times $Value = $Exposure Fire ignites and moves SW

10. Comparing Natural Resources and Agriculture (a GIS perspective)

11. Video of “Future Directions in Map Analysis and Modeling” seminar can be viewed at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vc Spatial Statistics (Linking Data Space with Geographic Space …review from “Future Directions” seminar ) Traditional Statistics fits a Standard Normal Curve (2D density function) to identify the typical value in a data set (Mean) and its typical variation (Standard Deviation) in abstract data space. Unusually High Locations are identified as locations greater than the Mean plus one Standard Deviation (upper tail). Spatial Analyst Reclass command. Surface Modeling uses Spatial Interpolation to fit a continuous surface (3D density function) that maps the spatial distribution (variation) in geographic space. Spatial Analyst IDW, Kriging, Spline and Natural Neighbors commands. (Berry)

12. Video of “Future Directions in Map Analysis and Modeling” seminar can be viewed at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YA-mGpc20vc Spatial Statistics Operations (Data Mining Examples …review from “Future Directions” seminar ) Clustering uses the Pythagorean Theorem in calculating Data Distance between data parings to quantitatively establish Clusters (groupings with minimal inter-cluster distances). Spatial Analyst Iso Cluster command. (Berry) Data Space plots pairs of spatially coincident data values (2D scatter plot) in abstract data space to identify data pairing relationships (e.g., low-low, …, high-high) but can be expanded to tuples in n-dimensional space. A Correlation Map is generated by repetitive evaluation of the Correlation Equation within a Roving Window of nearby data pairings. Spatial Analyst dropped Correlation AML command. 2D

13. Visualizing Spatial Relationships Multivariate Coincidence What spatial relationships do you see? Humans can only “see” broad Generalized Patterns in a single map variable (Berry) Phosphorous (P) Interpolated Spatial Distribution of soil nutrient concentrations Continuous Grid-Map Surfaces (Data Layers) …do relatively high levels of P often occur with high levels of K and N? …how often? …where? (Map Stack)

14. Geographic Space Clustering Maps for Data Zones …groups of relatively close “floating balls” in data space identify locations in the field with similar data patterns– Data Zones (Data Clusters) …but computers can “see” detailed numeric patterns in multiple map variables using Data Space (Berry) 3D …the IsoData algorithm minimizes Intra-Cluster distances (within a cluster— similar) while at the same time maximizing Inter-Cluster distances (between clusters— different) Data Distance = SQRT (a 2 + b 2 + c 2 ) Data Space Distance calculated using the Pythagorean Theorem Note: can be expanded to N-dimensional Data Space Data Distance = SQRT (a 2 + b 2 + c 2 + …)

15. On-the-Fly Yield Map The Precision Ag Process As a combine moves through a field it… 1) uses GPS to check its location every second then Steps 1–3) Derived Soil Nutrient Maps 6) …that is used to adjust fertilization levels applied every few feet in the field (If then ). Variable Rate Application Step 6) Intelligent Implements “As-applied” maps (Berry) 2) records th e yield monitor value at that location to 3) create a continuous Yield Map surface identifying the variation in crop yield every few feet throughout the field (dependent map variable). Prescription Map Zone 3 Zone 2 Zone 1 4) … soil samples are interpolated for continuous Nutrient Map surfaces. Step 4) 5) The yield map is analyzed in combination with soil nutrient maps, terrain and other mapped factors (independent map variables) to derive a Prescription Map… Step 5) …more generally termed the Spatial Data Mining Process (e.g., Geo-Business application)

16. Precision Ag (Individual Field Focus) Terrain Soils Yield Potassium CIR Image Precision Conservation (compared to Precision Ag) Precision Conservation (Landscape Focus) Wind Erosion Runoff Leaching Soil Erosion Chemicals (Stewardship Emphasis) Interconnected Perspective 3-dimensional (Berry) …intertwined disciplines https://www.sensorsandsystems.com/article/features/5662-precision-agricultures-success-yields-precision-conservation.html Isolated Perspective (Production Emphasis) 2-dimensional Coincidence

17. Surface_flows Erosion Buffers Erosion_potenti Erosion_potential 33 = Heavy, Steep= High : 11 = Light, Gentle= Low Deriving Erosion Potential (Common Ground Example …terrain modeling) (Berry) Distance away from the streams is a function of the erosion potential (Flow/Slope Class) with intervening heavy flow and steep slopes computed as effectively closer than simple distance— as the crow walks” But all buffer-feet are not the same… Need to reach farther under some conditions and not as far under others— common sense? Simple Buffer – fixed geographic reach Simple approach tor protecting the stream Streams Variable-width Buffer (Landscape Level) Slope_classes Flow_classes Erosion Potentia Erosion Potential fn(S,F) Derived Maps of Slope and surface Flow Flowmap Slopemap On/Off-Field Flows (Field Level) The combined map identifies where surface flows likely move/deposit materials (e.g., organic, fine particles, chemicals) within a field. Locations with a lot of movement at the edge of a field are identified as potential problem areas. Surface Flows Surface Flows fn(S,F) Flowmap Slopemap Elevation

18. Water Conservation Modeling (Conservation = “wise use”) (Berry) New/Expanded Data Collection /Instrumentation: Remote Sensing Weather/Climate Water Flow Evapotranspiration Soil Moisture Weather Station Weather Station Soil Moisture Probes Solar Irradiance Evapotranspiration Monitors Solar Irradiance Evapotranspiration Monitors Wireless Connectivity Wireless Connectivity To River Farmland To River Historic Crop Water Allocation Farmland Farm City “Buy and Dry” Water Rights Temporary Monitored Transfers Alternative Water Budget Crop Water Allocation Drought Monitor March 2014 Abnormally Dry Exceptional Drought 100 th Meridian Weather Station Weather Station Low Altitude Aerial Photos Low Altitude Aerial Photos Full Irrigation Full Irrigation Deficit Irrigation Deficit Irrigation Fully Irrigated Tree Crop under Drip Irrigation Fully Irrigated Tree Crop under Drip Irrigation Fully Irrigated Vegetables under Drip Irrigation Fully Irrigated Vegetables under Drip Irrigation Fallowed Field Fallowed Field Deficit Irrigated Crop under Center Pivot Sprinkler Landsat Satellite Images Landsat Satellite Images ManagementActions Auto-Flume Adjustment “Win-Win-Win” Crops Farm Income City Water Sell or Lease Purchase Water Rights www.regenmg.com/Home.aspx Sustainable Water and Innovative Irrigation Management (SWIIM) Off-Farm Data Collection On-Farm Instrumentation “First in time, First in Right”

19. Upshot (NR compared to Ag from a GIS perspective) (Berry) Future Directions: With increasing understanding of Map Analysis and GIS Modeling capabilities and spatial reasoning skills both disciplines will be Pushed/Pulled closer together… Historical Setting: NR was an early adopter of geospatial technology as a direct outgrowth of its long and extensive mapping/inventory legacy for automated cartography and geoquery of an extended resource base. ― NR will incorporate more quantitative analysis of mapped data (Spatial Statistics) in its science, and — Ag will adopt a more ecological perspective focusing on the cycles and movements of soil and water (Spatial Analysis). — NR’s analytical applications currently tend to focus more on ecology and environmental impacts at the landscape level utilizing Spatial Analysis operations ( geographical context; relative position ) for analysis of spatial relationships among factors affecting ecosystem conditions and management actions. Contemporary GIS Applications and Approaches: The bulk of GIS applications for both NR and Ag applications involve Technological Tools utilizing mapping, geo-query and display for NR and GPS navigation, implement control and data collection for Ag. On the other hand, Ag had little use for mapping and spatially detailed inventories. — Ag’s analytical applications currently tend to focus on stewardship and economics at the individual field level utilizing Spatial Statistics operations ( numerical context; spatial coincidence ) for analysis of spatial relationships among factors affecting crop production and management actions. However…

20. So Where to Head from Here? Joseph K. Berry Joseph K. Berry jberry@innovativegis.com jberry@innovativegis.com eMail Contact Online Materials (www.innovativegis.com/Basis/Courses/SpatialSTEM/) ) This PowerPoint with notes and online links to further reading is posted at www.innovativegis.com/basis/Present/CentroidCSU2014/ Website (www.innovativegis.com) For more papers and presentations on Geotechnology For more papers and presentations on Geotechnology www.innovativegis.com For more papers and presentations on Geotechnology For more papers and presentations on Geotechnology www.innovativegis.com Beyond Mapping Compilation Series …nearly 1000 pages and more than 750 figures in the Series provide a comprehensive and longitudinal perspective of the underlying concepts, considerations, issues and evolutionary development of modern geotechnology (RS, GIS, GPS).