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The Road to Document Imaging in South Africa Chelsea Tucker Marie LaRiviere Jayana Cali JJ Mulwanda Benjamin Skidmore
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What: Pursue a market seeking subsidiary in South Africa (RSA), providing document imaging services to government and healthcare entities Political: RSA is a democracy that is friendly to foreign investors and looking to develop economically Independent Central Bank: Independent yet influenced by ruling party. Still, sufficient degree of policy stability Economic: Growing economy; improving infrastructure; expanding from summer 2010 World Cup preparations Currency: T he Rand is free floating. This implies currency risk, but historic valuation trends make currency risk important but not preventative for entry South Africa FDI Assessment: Go
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Industry Competition: Moderate/ High Saturation low within S. Africa Kodak competes on price, customer service, and quality Many technologically advanced competitors could take market share Supplier Power: Low/Moderate Threat of Substitutes: Low Buyer Power: Moderate Potential Entrants: High Potential Entrants Low saturation rate will attract entrants Kodak has first mover advantage versus US entrants Various local players already in the market Buyer Bargaining Power Kodak has a history of strong relationships with clients Political risks with foreign investment Economic risk with recession and potentially low demand Supplier Bargaining Power Kodak has a strong brand and global distribution network Kodak is susceptible to supplier risk due to high level of outsourcing Threat of Substitutes Traditional document storage: filing Option to use a Kodak Independent Software Vendor or Reseller Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
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Strong South African Market Potential Overall market related risk: LOW Current saturation level: LOW Growth potential: HIGH The Digital Imaging Market
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5 P&L CategoryCumulative 8 Year Forecast Key Assumptions Revenue$113.5 Million $0.5 Billion in total market size Kodak share of market beginning at 0.5% in year 1 and growing to 4% in year 8 Gross Margin$32.7 Million (28.9% Margin) Existing Kodak Document Imaging Business Unit Gross Margins Selling, General & Administrative Expenses $20 Million Starting with existing Kodak Business Unit expense composition as a % of revenue with annual improvements Initially offset by additional expenses related to set up Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) $5.6 Million (5% Margin) Continued investment in R&D tied to revenue growth (6.3% of revenue) Net Income$3.8 Million (3.3% Margin) 33% Foreign business tax rate We developed a range of projections based on high and low end expectations. The following is our conservative (low end) eight year estimate of potential performance Financial Considerations/Projections
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6 Financial Economic translation risk Intellectual property risk Currency exchange rate fluctuations Market share growth estimations HIV/AIDS pandemic Key Risks to Achieving Financial Goals Political & Technology Political/Corruption Internet Recurrence of Electricity Crisis Human Capital Flight Scale Economies Process Improvements As in all new business ventures, an overarching risk is one of Execution: Even the best plans can’t bring themselves to fruition - if we can’t execute the plan, we will not be successful in this Emerging Market!
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