1. Thoughts on Models UC Davis SB 375 Policy Forum March 5, 2014 David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov)

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4. 4 7.0 million 16.4 resident passenger vehicle miles traveled per capita 8.7 million 13.9 resident passenger vehicle miles traveled per capita

5. 5 7.0 million 16.4 resident passenger vehicle miles traveled per capita 1.7 M 3.9 resident passenger vehicle miles traveled per capita Family of four: ~4,700 miles annually in all family vehicles

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7. Models help with assessments. All kinds. 7

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9. … modeling is everything. 9

10. Formal documentation and quantification of our understanding (and often our hypotheses) of travel behavior. 10

11. Accessibility versus Mobility 11

12. Not done 12

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14. Slow Sexy Focus 14

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23. Car sharing Bike sharing Ride sharing Autonomous vehicles Variable workplaces … 23

24. Automobile ownership Workplace location Tour mode choice Carpool formation … 24

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26. Predictive Land Use Models 26

27. Supply & Demand Twice as hard 27

28. Cultural change 28

29. fin. 29