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Frank J. Macchiarola Executive Vice President May 6, 2015 Conference of Western Attorneys General The LNG Export Opportunity
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ANGA Members
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U.S. Shale Gas Revolution Source: Potential Gas Committee, 2014 2014 1,253 TCF shale 2,853 TCF total 32% INCREASE in supply in just four years Source: Potential Gas Committee
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Abundant Supply Estimates of U.S. Recoverable Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet) Proved Reserves Potential Shale Gas Resources Total Resource ( Uncategorized ) Non-shale Gas Resources CERA, MITNPC, INGAAICFPotential Gas CommitteeEIA ‘00 ‘02 ‘04 ‘06 ‘08 ’10 ’12 ‘14’08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ’12 ’13 ‘14‘10 ‘11 ‘09 ’12 ’13 ‘15
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Fundamental Shift in Outlookame Change Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2005 & 2013 Early Release Natural Gas Net Imports (trillion cubic feet) Imports Exports ProjectedHistorical AEO 2005 AEO 2015 Actual
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LNG Exports Sabine Pass (Cheniere) DOE: Approved FERC: Approved Capacity: 2.2 BCF/d Freeport LNG (FLEX Quintana Island) 2 Separate Filings DOE: Approved FERC: Approved Capacity: 1.8 BCF/d Lake Charles (Trunkline/Energy Transfer Partners, BG Group) DOE: Conditionally Approved FERC: Filed Capacity: 2 BCF/d Cove Point (Dominion) DOE: Conditionally Approved FERC: Approved Capacity:.8 BCF/d Cameron (Sempra) DOE: Approved FERC: Approved Capacity: 1.7 BCF/d Coos Bay (Jordan Cove) DOE: Conditionally Approved FERC: Filed Capacity: 1.2 BCF/d Waiting all Final Approvals Approved by FERC and waiting DOE Approval Astoria (Oregon LNG) DOE: Conditionally Approved FERC: Filed Capacity 1.2 Elba Island (Southern LNG) DOE: Under Review FERC: Filed Capacity:.5 BCF/d Lavaca Bay (Excelerate Liquefaction Solutions) DOE: Under Review FERC: Filed Capacity: 1.4 BCF/d Received Final Approval Corpus Christi Liquefaction (Cheniere) DOE: Under Review FERC: Approved Capacity: 2.1 BCF/d Carib Energy (Crowley Maritime Corp.) DOE: Approved Will provide LNG transport services Capacity:.04 BCF/d
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LNG Export Study Comparison ModelerRelease Date U.S. Natural Gas Supply Assumption LNG Exports Volume Range (Bcf/d) Price Change from Baseline Case EIAOctober, 2014Reference12.0 - 20.0$0.10 - $0.80 ICFMay, 2013High4.0 - 16.0$0.32 - $1.02 CRAFebruary, 2013Low20.0 - 35.0$1.60 - $3.10 NERADecember, 2012Reference0.0 - 15.8$0.00 - $1.09 NavigantJanuary, 2012Reference0.9 - 6.6$0.04 - $0.41 Deloitte2011Reference6$0.22 * Relative to EIA supply assumptions
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Meeting Global Demand 1. ICF estimate for year end 2011. 2. FTA & non-FTA Applications to DOE as of Mar 31, 2014 3. Dec 2012 ICF estimate based on current worldwide project list. ~Poten, BG Group, Credit Suisse, Facts Global Source: API, ANGA
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LNG Global Market
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The Energy Policy Debate
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Frank J. Macchiarola Executive Vice President, Government Affairs fmacchiarola@anga.us 701 8 th Street NW Washington D.C. 20001 202.789.ANGA anga.us fmacchiarola@anga.us
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