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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION by Reagan Walker.

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Presentation on theme: "2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION by Reagan Walker."— Presentation transcript:

1 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION by Reagan Walker

2 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Anti-dumping Initiations 1995-2004 CountryNumber 1India383 2USA350 3EU298 4Argentina187 5South Africa172 6Australia165 7Canada127 8Brazil114 9China83 10Turkey77 Source: Stevenson, Cliff & Filippi, Ilaria. Global Trade Protection Report – Update 2004 (Mayer Brown Rowe: January 2005)

3 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Anti-dumping Initiations 2002-2004 (Q2) CountryNumber 1India131 2USA93 3China63 4Turkey42 5EU40 6South Korea29 7Mexico27 8Australia26 9Thailand26 10Canada24 Source: Stevenson & Filippi

4 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Major users of anti-subsidy investigations 1995-2004 (Q2) CountryNumber 1United States69 2EU42 3Canada15 4South Africa11 5Australia6 6New Zealand6 7Argentina5 8Chile4 9Egypt4 10Peru3 Source: Stevenson & Filippi

5 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Imports Affected from 1995-2004 (Preliminary Data) Total Canadian ImportsImports Affected Year ($ million)($ million) (%) 1995 204,2751,1080.54 1996 209,0571,0010.48 1997 247,8301,0490.42 1998 271,123 8830.33 1999 290,252 8730.30 2000 322,6661,1630.36 2001 307,6701,2110.39 2002 311,6591,1130.36 2003 303,8941,0220.34 2004 323,2961,0210.32 Source: Tribunal Research Branch Database and Statistics Canada

6 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Formation of the CITT January 1, 1989 January 1, 1994 Canadian Import Tribunal + Tariff Board + Textile & Clothing Board Procurement Review Board Canadian International Trade Tribunal

7 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION CITT’S Mandate  Injury Sunset Review  Safeguards: Global, China  Special Economic Inquiries  Textile Reference Inquiries  Appeals  Government Procurement

8 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Interim Reviews Phase 1: Whether review is warranted Phase 2: Substantive phase Paper hearings

9 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Expiry Reviews Phase 1: Whether review is warranted Phase 2: CBSA- whether likelihood of resumed dumping Phase 3: CITT- whether likelihood of resumed injury

10 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Prescribed Factors  Likely Volume  Likely Prices  Likely Impact, etc.

11 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION OCTG Case - U.S. Experience No Likelihood Resumed Dumping & Injury Likely

12 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Percentage of Expiry Reviews Found Positive From 1995-2004 YEARTOTAL EXPIRY REVIEWS No. of POSITIVE FINDINGS PERCENTAGE 199512 100 19965480 19979444 19987114 19996467 200014643 20014250 20027343 20035360 2004600

13 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Expiry Reviews Found Positive From 1995-2004

14 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Canadian Experience No Likelihood Resumed Dumping & Injury Likely


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