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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION by Reagan Walker
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Anti-dumping Initiations 1995-2004 CountryNumber 1India383 2USA350 3EU298 4Argentina187 5South Africa172 6Australia165 7Canada127 8Brazil114 9China83 10Turkey77 Source: Stevenson, Cliff & Filippi, Ilaria. Global Trade Protection Report – Update 2004 (Mayer Brown Rowe: January 2005)
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Anti-dumping Initiations 2002-2004 (Q2) CountryNumber 1India131 2USA93 3China63 4Turkey42 5EU40 6South Korea29 7Mexico27 8Australia26 9Thailand26 10Canada24 Source: Stevenson & Filippi
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Major users of anti-subsidy investigations 1995-2004 (Q2) CountryNumber 1United States69 2EU42 3Canada15 4South Africa11 5Australia6 6New Zealand6 7Argentina5 8Chile4 9Egypt4 10Peru3 Source: Stevenson & Filippi
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Imports Affected from 1995-2004 (Preliminary Data) Total Canadian ImportsImports Affected Year ($ million)($ million) (%) 1995 204,2751,1080.54 1996 209,0571,0010.48 1997 247,8301,0490.42 1998 271,123 8830.33 1999 290,252 8730.30 2000 322,6661,1630.36 2001 307,6701,2110.39 2002 311,6591,1130.36 2003 303,8941,0220.34 2004 323,2961,0210.32 Source: Tribunal Research Branch Database and Statistics Canada
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Formation of the CITT January 1, 1989 January 1, 1994 Canadian Import Tribunal + Tariff Board + Textile & Clothing Board Procurement Review Board Canadian International Trade Tribunal
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION CITT’S Mandate Injury Sunset Review Safeguards: Global, China Special Economic Inquiries Textile Reference Inquiries Appeals Government Procurement
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Interim Reviews Phase 1: Whether review is warranted Phase 2: Substantive phase Paper hearings
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Expiry Reviews Phase 1: Whether review is warranted Phase 2: CBSA- whether likelihood of resumed dumping Phase 3: CITT- whether likelihood of resumed injury
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Prescribed Factors Likely Volume Likely Prices Likely Impact, etc.
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION OCTG Case - U.S. Experience No Likelihood Resumed Dumping & Injury Likely
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Percentage of Expiry Reviews Found Positive From 1995-2004 YEARTOTAL EXPIRY REVIEWS No. of POSITIVE FINDINGS PERCENTAGE 199512 100 19965480 19979444 19987114 19996467 200014643 20014250 20027343 20035360 2004600
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Expiry Reviews Found Positive From 1995-2004
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2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION Canadian Experience No Likelihood Resumed Dumping & Injury Likely
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