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Taking a model to the computer Martin Ellison University of Warwick and CEPR Bank of England, December 2005.

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Presentation on theme: "Taking a model to the computer Martin Ellison University of Warwick and CEPR Bank of England, December 2005."— Presentation transcript:

1 Taking a model to the computer Martin Ellison University of Warwick and CEPR Bank of England, December 2005

2 Firms Baseline DSGE model HouseholdsMonetary authority

3 Households Two simplifying assumptions: CRRA utility function No capital

4 Dynamic IS curve Non-linear relationship Difficult for the computer to handle We need a simpler expression

5 Log-linear approximation Begin by taking logarithms of dynamic IS curve Problem is last term on right hand side

6 Properties of logarithms Taylor series expansion of logarithmic function To a first order (linear) approximation Applied to dynamic IS curve

7 Log-linearisation Log-linear expansion of dynamic IS curve Steady-state values (more later) (1) – (2) (1) (2)

8 Deviations from steady state What is ? In case of output, is output gap, percentage deviation of Z t from steady state Z

9 Log-linearised IS curve Slope = -σ

10 Advanced log-linearisation The dynamic IS curve was relatively easy to log-linearise For more complicated equations, need to apply following formula

11 Firms Previously solved for firm behaviour directly in log-linearised form. Original model is in Walsh (chapter 5).

12 Aggregate price level Original equationLog-linearised version

13 Optimal price setting Original equationLog-linearised version

14 Myopic price Original equationLog-linearised version

15 Marginal cost Original equationLog-linearised version

16 Wages Original equationLog-linearised version

17 Monetary authority We assumed Equivalent to Very similar to linear rule if i t small

18 Firms Log-linearised DSGE model HouseholdsMonetary authority

19 Assume for monetary authority From household Steady state Need to return to original equations to calculate steady-state

20 Steady state calculation From firm

21 Full DSGE model

22 Alternative representation

23 State-space form Generalised state-space form Models of this form (generalised linear rational expectations models) can be solved relatively easily by computer

24 Next steps Derive a solution for log-linearised models Blanchard-Kahn technique


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