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Financial Services Industry Profitability: Moderate Level Profitability Tiburon Research September 17, 2014
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 1 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 2 Tiburon CEO Summit XXVI Attendees Said that a New Product Launch or Investment Strategy is the Top Strategic Initiative for their Firms in 2014 Tiburon CEO Summit XXVI Attendees By Top Strategic Initiative in 2014 Source:3/10/14 Tiburon CEO Summit XXVI Content Survey Data; Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 3 Consumer Gains were Largest in the Standard & Poor’s 500’s Consumer Discretionary Sector at 324% Consumer Gains By Standard & Poor’s 500 Market Sector Source:3/8/14 Wall Street Journal (FactSet); Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 4 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 5 Financial Services Industry Profitability Segments The Financial Services Industry Profitability can Specifically be Analyzed by Individual Segments, Including Retail Banks, Insurance Companies, Brokerage Firms, and Investment Management Firms Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Financial Services Industry Profitability Segments Retail BanksBrokerage Firms Investment Management Firms Insurance Companies
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 6 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 7 The Standard & Poor’s 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector Increased by 320% Since March 2009 Standard & Poor’s 500 Performance By Sector (March 2009 through March 2014) Source:3/13/14 Financial Times (Bloomberg) (Thomson Reuters Datastream); Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 8 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 9 Financial Services Industry Indicators The Leading Financial Services Institutions in Terms of Profitability can be Specifically be Defined by… Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Financial Services Industry Indicators --
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 10 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 11 Brokerage Firms & Investment Management Firms Have the Largest Net Profit Margins at 8.6% & 8.3% Respectively Financial Services Industry Net Profit Margin By Segment Source:4/6/11 Yahoo Finance Web Site; Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 12 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 13 Retail Bank Profitability Key Issues Retail Bank Profitability Have a Number of Key Issues, Including Macro Economic Pressure and Segment Competition Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Retail Bank Profitability Key Issues Marco Economic Pressures Segment Competition
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 14 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 15 Insurance Company Profitability Have a Number of Key Issues Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Insurance Company Profitability Key Issues Insurance Company Profitability Key Issues --
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 16 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 17 Brokerage Firm Profitability Has a Number of Key Issues Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Brokerage Firm Profitability Key Issues Brokerage Firm Profitability Key Issues --
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 18 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 19 Investment Management Firms Profitability Has a Number of Key Issues Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Investment Management Firm Profitability Key Issues Investment Management Firm Profitability Key Issues --
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 20 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 21 The Fixed Income, Currencies, & Commodities Business Represents Up to One- Third of the Net Profits of Some Investment Banks, Including Goldman Sachs Group Investment Banks Net Profits Share from Fixed Income, Currencies, & Commodities Businesses Source: 9/24/13 Financial Times; Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 22 Almost All Investment Banks are Realizing Lower Revenues from their Fixed Income, Currencies, & Commodities Businesses, Including at Citigroup and Morgan Stanley, which Each Posted a 21% Decline Investment Banks Fixed Income, Currencies, & Commodities Businesses Quarterly Revenue Change Source: 9/25/13 Wall Street Journal; Tiburon Research & Analysis Citigroup Morgan Stanley Bank of America Corporation JP Morgan Chase & Company
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 23 Financial Services Firm Revenues Share from Wealth Management Wealth Management Fees Represent a Larger Portion of Revenue in 2012 at 11%, Almost Double that of 2008 Source: 10/1/13 CNN Money.Com Web Site; Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 24 Wealth & Asset Management Investment Banking & Trading Morgan Stanley Revenues By Business Morgan Stanley’s Revenue Sources Shifted After the Financial Crisis with a Reduction in Investment Banking & Trading from 70% to 50% of its Revenues, While Wealth & Asset Management Filled the Gap Source:2/25/14 Morgan Stanley 10Q Report; 9/10/13 Wall Street Journal; Tiburon Research & Analysis Other Businesses
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 25 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 26 -- Comments Retail Bank Profitability is Likely to Decline Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 27 Evolution of Financial Services Industry Profitability –Market History –Market Definition –Key Valuation Measures –Leading Financial Services Industry Profitability Market Segmentation –Retail Bank Profitability –Insurance Company Profitability –Brokerage Firm Profitability –Investment Management Firm Profitability Financial Services Industry Profitability Future Predictions –Decrease in Retail Bank & Insurance Company Profitability –Increase in Brokerage Firm & Investment Management Profitability Outline
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 28 Trust Banks Share Buybacks are Expected to be 30% through March 2015 Expected Share Buybacks By Bank Type (Through March 2015) Source:3/17/14 Wall Street Journal (Goldman Sachs Group); Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 29 Trust Banks & Credit Card Firms Earnings per Share are Expected to be 5% through March 2015 Earnings per Share By Bank Type (Through March 2015) Source:3/17/14 Wall Street Journal (Goldman Sachs Group); Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 30 Financial Services Firm Revenues Share from Wealth Management Asset Management Fees Represent a Larger Portion of Revenue in 2012 at 11%, Almost Double that of 2008 Source: 10/1/13 CNN Money.Com Web Site; Tiburon Research & Analysis
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14.09.17 – Financial Services Industry Profitability © Tiburon Strategic Advisors, LLC™ 31 Source:Tiburon Research & Analysis Tiburon Strategic Advisors Focus on corporate-level strategy -Serve senior executives only at financial services companies -Key services: market seminars, market research, & strategy consulting -Served over 400 corporate clients and completed over 1,700 projects since 1998 -Host semi-annual CEO Summits, offer free weekly research releases, and offer free business benchmarking tools for all types of advisors Chip Roame background -McKinsey & Company -Charles Schwab & Company -Tiburon since 1998 Comments
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