1. The Hume Workforce Development Committee Hume Regional Development Australia Public Administration and Safety Labour Market Snapshot Workforce Planning Australia | December 2012

2. Public Administration and Safety Services Industry 2 | The Public Administration and Safety Industry as defined by ANZSIC* includes the following eight sectors. Source: DEEWR, Employment Outlook, for public Administration and Safety 2011, * Australian New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification Justice Public Order and Safety Services Defence Local Government State Government Government Representation Regulatory Services Central (Aust) Government

3. Public Administration and Safety Services - Industry Overview 3 | Public Administration and Safety Services employs approximately 743,000 person, which is around 6.5 per cent of the total workforce. Over the past five years employment in the industry has increased at a rate of 2.9 per cent per annum. While employment growth in the industry has been evident for more than a decade, public sector employment fluctuates according to economic conditions. Employment growth is projected to be.8% per annum till 2016/17, less than the 1.4% for all industries. The median age for workers in this industry is 43 years. About this scan This scan focuses on direct employment in the three levels of government, Local, State and Commonwealth, Corrections and Public Safety. Other segments of the public sector such as ‘Water’, ‘Education and Training’ and ‘Health’ are covered in other scans. Source: DEEWR, Employment Outlook for Public Administration and Safety 2011, GSA Environmental Scan 2012

4. National Industry Overview

5. Public Administration and Safety Industry Employment The Government and Public Administration industry is the eighth largest employer of the 19 ANZSIC industries, providing employment for nearly 793,000 people. 5 | Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012 Industry Employment Level February 2012

6. Public Administration and Safety Services: Historical Employment Growth 6 | Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012 Between 2000 and 2012 the number of people employed in Public Administration and Safety grew each year, with the exception of 2008, the year of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)

7. Public Administration and Safety Services: Employment levels by segment 7 | Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003 (DEEWR Projections), DEEWR, Skills Info, 2012 State governments employ the largest number of people of the three levels of government. The number of people employed in the Australian Government (‘Central Govt’) is similar to the total number employed in all local governments across Australia.

8. Public Administration and Safety Services: Past Employment growth (2007 – 2012) 8 | Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, SkillsInfo In the five years from 2007 to 2012 employment in the Australian Government (Central Govt Administration) reduced by nearly 3,000 people. For the same period employment in State Governments around Australia increased by more than 61,000.

9. Public Administration and Safety Services : Projected growth (2012-2016/7) 9 | Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012 The highest projected employment growth is in the ‘Justice’ segment, followed by Public ‘Order and Safety’. This is the only segment that has projected growth above the average for all industries.

10. Public Admin and Safety Services – Top employing occupations 10 | Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (trend data) cat no 6291.0.55.003, DEEWR, Skills Info 2012, SkillsInfo,2012 Police, General Clerks, and Security Officers and Guards are the three largest occupations in the Public Administration and Safety Services Industry.

11. Public Admin and Safety Services – Median Age 11 | Source: DEEWR, SkillsInfo,2012 All segments of the Public Administration and Safety Services industry have median ages above the median age for all industries of 39.

12. Public Administration and Safety Services - Drivers of Workforce Development Key drivers of workforce change include the following five factors. 12 | Drivers of workforce Change Decreasing public service employment Ageing Workforce Population Growth Flexible Work arrangements Climate change/environ mental issues Source: Government Skills Australia, (GSA) Environmental Scan 2012

13. Public Administration and Safety Services : Drivers of Workforce Development 1.Decreasing public sector employment In 2011, the Victorian Government announced the Victorian Public Service would be reduced by 4,200 positions. Employment in the Australian Government reduced by nearly 3,000 people in the five years to 2012 and the projected growth is small at.6% per annum (1) 2.Ageing Workforce All segments within this industry have median ages above the median for all industries. (2) 3.Population Growth Population growth will drive demand for staff in service delivery roles in the public sector, such as police, courts, correctional services, child protection and emergency services. (2) 13 | Source: DEEWR, SkillsInfo, Employment Outlook or Public Administration and Safety Services, 2012; Government Skills Australia, (GSA) Environmental scan 2012

14. Public Admin and Safety Services – Drivers of Workforce Change 14 | 4.Flexible Work arrangements Public sectors organisations will be under increasing pressure to offer staff flexible working arrangements. These arrangements will be needed to cater for staff with children as well as older workers looking to transition to retirement and older worker with care responsibilities (i.e. Elderly parents or grandchildren) (2) 5. Climate Change and Environmental issues Climate and environmental considerations will continue to have an impact on public service and public sectors roles. Changes to roles will be driven by: The introduction of changed work practices that consider the environmental impact of various work activities; and The introduction of new technologies aimed at reducing any impacts on the environment. Government Skills Australia, (GSA) Environmental scan 2012

15. Corrections Overview

16. Public Administration and Safety Services – Corrections Approximately 30,000 people work in the correctional services sector in Australia. Parts of the sector face difficulties attracting and retaining staff due to: The image of the sector Competition for staff with the resources sector Increasing demand for staff due to increasing prisoner numbers A Government Skills Australia (GSA) survey found the occupations most in demand are Correctional Services officers Community Corrections officers 16 | Source: Government Skills Australia, Environmental Scan 2012

17. Victorian Overview

18. Public Administration and Safety Services : Victorian Public Sector 18 | State Governments employ the greatest proportion of people working in Public Administration and Safety Services. (1) At 30 June 2011 the Victorian public sector (VPS and public sector) employed 264,223 people. The Victorian Public Service (VPS) comprises 11 government departments and 24 authorities and offices. At 30 June 2011, there were 40,100 Victorian public servants, 60% are female, 42.8 was their average age and 22% work part time. The Victorian Public Service grew by more than 12,000 staff between 2000 and 2102. In 2012 the Victorian Government announced the Victorian Public Sector would be reduced by 4,200 jobs. In recent years the strongest growth occurred in departments delivering services, such as Human Services, Health, Education and Early Childhood, Justice, Sustainability and Environment, Primary Industries, and Transport. The three largest departments are: Department of Human Services (11,805 headcount), Department of Justice (7,563, headcount). Department of Education and Early Childhood Development (3,314, headcount, excluding school staff) Source: DEEWR, Employment Outlook for Public Administration and safety, 2011,SSA, (2012) State of the Sector Report

19. Public administration and Safety Services – Victorian Public Sector 19 | In 2010-2011 annual growth slowed to less than 1%. This compares to an average annual compound growth of 5.3% between 2006 and 2010. 38% of Victorian public sector employees work in specialised roles covered by occupation-specific classifications. The largest increase in occupational/specialist roles has been among child protection workers. In 2011 there were nearly 1,700 in Victoria, an increase of nearly 25% since 2006. Since 2006 and the re-development of the classification structure, the proportion of staff at Grades 1, 2 and 3 has been decreasing and the proportion of staff at the 4, 5, and 6 levels has been increasing. This is consistent with the increasing professionalisation of the public sector workforce over time. Note: The Australian Public Service Commission (APSC) has reported the same change in profile. APSC attributes the upward shift in classifications structures to the increasing complexity and difficulty of public sector roles. The outsourcing of low-skilled functions over time has also contributed to changing the classifications profile. Source: SSA, (2012) State of the Public Sector Report, APSC, 2011, State of the Public Sector in Victoria Report 2010-2011

20. Hume Overview

21. Public Administration and Safety Services – The Public Sector in Hume Key Commonwealth and Victorian Government employers in Hume include: Commonwealth Governments in Hume ATO – Albury/Wodonga Centrelink Medicare Commonwealth Rehabilitation Service (CRS) Australian Hearing Victorian State Government in Hume Department of Human Services (Disability Services/Child Protection) Department of Health Justice - Community Correctional Services in Benalla, Myrtleford, Seymour, Wangaratta and Wodonga. Dhurringile Prison, Beechworth Correctional Centre Department of Sustainability and Environment Department of Primary Industries DBI (including Small Business Victoria), DEECD Regional offices and DPCD Victorian Pubic Entities Parks Victoria, Water authorities TAFEs Government Schools Public Health sector (hospitals, community health centres) Transport (Vic Roads and V Line) Local Government in Hume 21 | Source: SSA, (2012) State of the Sector report, APSC, 2011, State of the Service report 2010-2011

22. Public Admin and Safety Services– Victorian Public Sector Employment in Hume 22 | Source: SSA, (2012) The State of the Public Sector in Victoria Report, Victorian Public Sector- SegmentTotal employees in Victoria % of total employed in Hume Approx No. employed in Hume Police and Emergency Services (e.g. Vic Police, Ambulance Victoria, CFA, SES) 21,2275%1061 Water and Land Management (e.g. Water authorities, Parks Victoria, Alpine Resorts Management Boards, Vic Forests) 8,42018%1515 Arts, Finance, Transport and other 66 entities including Cemetery trusts, TAC, Vic Roads 14,8582%300 Public Health Care Hospitals, Health Services, research institutes 97,1036%5820 Government School sector Primary, secondary, special schools 65,1556%3909 TAFE Sector17,3606%1042

23. Public Administration and Safety Services by LGA 2006 vs. 2011 Census Data 23 | Towong 139 (2006) Wodonga 1,975 (2006) Alpine 240 (2006) Mansfield 161 (2006) Hume Region Boundary Sub-region Boundary Local Government Area (LGA) Boundary Indigo 536 (2006) Murrindindi 385 (2006) Mitchell 1,546 (2006) Strathbogie 230 (2006) G Shepparton Moira 298 (2006) Wangaratta 745 (2006) Benalla 444 (2006) 1,012 (2006) 402 (2011) 354 (2011) 594 (2011) 2,227 (2011) 167 (2011) 196 (2011) 299 (2011) 1,727 (2011) 260 (2011) 425 (2011) Total Industry 7,711 (2006 ) 8,561 (2011) Source: ABS Census Data 2006 and ABS Census Data 2011 812 (2011) 1,099 (2011) 11%

24. Employment growth Projection in Hume According to Monash projections between 2012-13 and 2016-17, total employment in Public Administration and Safety Services in the Hume region is expected experience a small decline. 24 | Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8)

25. Public Administration and Safety Services: Employment growth in Hume According to Monash projections Defence Force members are the largest occupational groups employed in Public Administration (government) and Safety Services in the Hume region. All occupations are projected to show small declines in employment between 2012- and 2016-17 with the exception of social and welfare professionals. 25 | Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 (Hume Employment: by ANZSCO occupation, '000 persons, 2010-1 to 2017-8)

26. Public Administration and Safety – VET Enrolments

27. Public Administration and Safety VET Education Data Security Officer Emergency Services Worker Office Manager Prison Officer

28. Public Administration and Safety Services VET Enrolments - Age Profile 28 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. Between 2008 and 2011 the number of people enrolled in courses related to Public Administration and Safety Services declined. While enrolments overall declined between 2008 and 2011, enrolments in the 15-19 and 20-24 aged groups increased In 2011 enrolments were spread across the age ranges. The highest number of enrolments were in the 15 to 24 and the 40 to 44 age groups.

29. Public Administration and Safety: VET Course Level and Diversity 29 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. In 2011, the highest number of enrolments were for Certificate II levels qualifications. Between 2008 and 2011, the number of people enrolled in Certificate III level qualifications doubled from 100 to 200 enrolments. At 8%, course enrolments by people with disabilities is relatively high and increased marginally between 2008 and 2011. Enrolments by indigenous people were low in both 2008 and 2011.

30. Security Officer

31. Security officers VET Enrolments Age Profile 31 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. In 2011 more than 215 people were enrolled in security officer qualifications in the Hume region. Well over a third of these enrolments were among people aged 15-24.

32. VET Course and Diversity 32 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. Between 2008 and 2011 enrolments in security operations qualifications at both the Certificate II and Certificate III levels rose dramatically. More than 8% of people enrolled in security operations qualifications were people with disabilities. Less than 1% of enrolments were by indigenous people and around 3% were by CALD people.

33. Emergency Service Worker

34. Public Administration and Safety VET Enrolments in Hume, Age Profile 34 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. Between 2008 and 2011 enrolments in VET level qualifications in emergency services dropped markedly. 2011 course enrolments were spread across all aged groups.

35. VET Course and Diversity 35 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. The sharp drop in course enrolments between 2008 and 2011 most likely reflects the discontinuation of some courses and the introduction of new courses. More than 9% of enrolments were by people with disabilities.

36. Office Manager

37. Office Manager VET Enrolments in Hume - Age Profile 37 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. Enrolments in Office Manager qualifications were low in both 2008 and 2011, but dropped markedly between these two time periods. In 2011 fewer than 32 people were enrolled in VET Office Manager qualifications, compared with approximately 62 people enrolled in 2008. 2011 enrolments were spread across the aged groups with the 30-34 aged group having the highest number of enrolments.

38. Public Administration and Safety Services: VET Course and Diversity 38 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. Between 2008 and 2011 enrolments in the Certificate IV in Government more than halved from just over 60 enrolments to 30 enrolments. There were low level of enrolments by all diversity groups in this qualifications, though there were small increases in enrolments by people with disabilities and people from CALD backgrounds

39. Prison Officer

40. Prison Officers - Hume VET Enrolments and Age Profile 40 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. In 2008 and 2011 overall number of enrolments for prison officer qualifications were similar. While both years had approximately 45 people enrolled in these courses, there were marked differences between the years in the age groups enrolled. 2011 enrolments were concentrated in the 25-49 aged groups. In contrast 2008 enrolments more heavily concentrated in the 40-59 aged groups.

41. Prison Officers VET Courses and Diversity 41 | Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. Enrolments in Correction Practice courses dropped marginally between 2008 and 2011. In 2011, just below 40 people were enrolled in Correction Practice qualifications. Most enrolments are in Certificate III level qualifications. There were marked increases in the percentage of enrolments by both people with disabilities and people from CALD backgrounds.

42. What this means? Employment levels in ‘Public Administration and Safety’ have been growing for more than a decade, but are projected to slow to 0.8% per annum over the next five years, less than the 1.4% average for all industries. The highest projected employment growth is in the ‘Justice’ segment, followed by Public ‘Order and Safety’. ‘Justice’ is the only segment that has projected growth above the average for all industries. In Australia, Police, General Clerks, and Security Officers and Guards are the three largest occupations in the Public Administration and Safety Services Industry. State Governments employ the largest number of public sector staff and in 2011/2012 the Victorian Government announced the Victorian Public Service would be reduced by 4,200 positions. Job losses are expected to be focused on administration roles rather than service delivery. In the Hume Region more staff work in service delivery roles than administration roles. After increasing by 11% between 2006 and 2011, employment in Public Administration and Safety in Hume is expected to show a small decrease in the next five years. Employment in ‘Public Sector Social and Community Worker’ roles is projected to be stable. 42

43. Data Quality and Limitations The data challenges included: 1. Different definitions of industries / occupations between ABS, Industry Skills Councils and Monash. 2. Different Time periods used by different sources 3. Old Data - ABS Census is now 6 years old. 2011 ABS Census data has been used where available. 4. Lack of HUME region industry data particularly for industries where employers are predominantly private sector (e.g. Retail, manufacturing and Transport and Logistics) 5. Lack of regional Skills Shortage Data – DEEWR lists are at the State level 6. Changes in name and level of VET qualifications (training packages) 7. Poor sourcing of data – The data source and date were unclear for some data sources. Limitation of Liability This Labour Market Snapshot has been compiled using data which, to the best of Workforce Planning Australia’s knowledge, was current and correct at the time of printing. WPA gives no warranty as to the accuracy of the information contained herein nor its applicability to any specific circumstances. It is intended as a guide only and Workforce Planning Australia will not be liable to any person as a result of any actual or perceived inaccuracy contained in this report.