1. 1 Rue d'Arlon 63-67 B-1040 Bruxelles Belgium Email: info@estif.org Web: www.estif.org The Rise of Solar Thermal Energy for heating and cooling in Europe Olivier Drücke ESTIF President New York Solar Thermal Roadmap Tuesday, 20.10.2009 Kingston, NY, USA

2. Solar heat is leading the way in solar energy technologies Solar Thermal worldwide provides 10x more energy than Solar Electric

3. ST Capacity installed at the end 2007 by collector technologies in the world Source: IEA SHC, 2008

4. 4 Final energy consumption in the EU

5. EU Solar Thermal market 1990-2008 > Major triggers

6. back from 35% in 2007 in 2008

7. Germany: A Phoenix reborn from ashes  2008:2,1 millions m² or 1,5 GW thermal  Increase 2008/07: 123%  Customers finally opted for solar heat to reduce their energy bill !  Outlook 2009: Stable market with uncertainties in the second semester

10. Austria: The pioneer still leads the way  2008:350.000 m² or 243 MW thermal  Increase 2008/07: 24%  Sustainable market due to continuous support policies  Outlook 2009: Stable market with small growth due to improved support policies

11. Large Scale Solar Thermal Heating and Cooling Vienna Soccer Stadium, Austria

12. Spain: Obligations and construction boom  2008:434.000 m² or 304 MW thermal  Increase 2008/07: 58%  Actually second European market in volume !  Outlook 2009: Recessive market due to strongest crisis impact on construc- tion sector and economy

14. Italy: Snow White was waked with a kiss  2008:421.000 m² or 295 MW thermal  Increase 2008/07: 28%  Tax breaks and strong marketing influence by northern Neighbours !  Outlook 2009: Strong uncertainties due to crisis impact, but potential to be Europe’s No. 2 soon

15. France: When public authorities push hard  2008:388.000 m² or 272 MW thermal  Increase 2008/07: 18%  Despite strongest public support, market growth is weaker than forecasted: High system prices? Heat pumps?  Outlook 2009: Probably quite stable market; development of a new support mechanism

16. in 2008

18. 18 The EU Renewables Directive...  20% EU RES-target by 2020  Agreed by European Parliament and Council in December 2008  Transposition into national law within the next 18 months  Mandatory national targets  National Renewable Energy Action Plans

19. 19 …provides a major boost for ST  Renewable heating/cooling at eye-level with RES in power and transportation!!  RES obligation in new and existing buildings by 2015  Exemplary role of public buildings  Qualification of installers, planers, public services  Important:  Stable support policies  Quality schemes  Flanking campaigns on RES-Heat & EE

20. 20 Solar Heat about to boom in Europe Heating & Cooling Demand Solar Heat Source: Potential of Solar Thermal in Europe, ESTIF, 2009

21. The long term goal: 50% of the heat demand will be provided by ST Share of solar thermal: 0.2% => 50% Total installed: 13 GWth => 2400 GWth Main challenges Cost reduction Capacity building Innovations Heat demand in EU25 -40% by efficiency