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http://www.responsiblelending.org Mortgage Market Update September 17, 2010 – Raleigh, NC 2010 North Carolina Affordable Housing Conference Keith Ernst
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 2 June 2010 Snapshot 54.2 million first lien loans outstanding Note: All sources on last slide
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 3 Loans 2+ Payments Behind
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 4 Foreclosures
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 5 NC Foreclosures Note: 2010 annualized from August foreclosure data and 2009 unit count
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 6 NC Foreclosures by Region Note: 2010 annualized from August foreclosure data and 2009 unit count
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 7 Foreclosure Expectations, for Loans Made in 2006
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 8 Limited Numbers of Modifications 398,000 HAMP modifications completed 1.3 million non-HAMP modifications reported by HOPE NOW in last year 5.7 million mortgages presently 2 or more payments behind
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 9 Concessionary Mods Starting
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 10 Payment Reduction Matters
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 11 Housing Prices
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 12 Sales Drop
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 13 Access to Credit
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 14 Foreclosed and Distressed (60+) as Proportion of 2006 Homeowners
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http://www.responsiblelending.org 15 Sources LPS Mortgage Monitor (July 2010): Slide 2 Mortgage Banker’s Association, National Delinquency Survey: Slides 3, 4 S.M. Sherlund, “Mortgage Defaults”, Federal Reserve (3/8/2010): Slide 4 D.B. Bocian, W. Li, K.S. Ernst. “Foreclosures by Race and Ethnicity: The Demographics of a Crisis”, Center for Responsible Lending (6/18/2010): Slides 4, 14 NC AOC, Slides 5 & 6. US Census, HU-EST-2009-04-37 (2010), Slides 5 & 6 Fitch Ratings RMBS Loss Metrics (Last Updated Aug. 2010): Slide 5 OCC/OTS Mortgage Metrics Report: Slides 9, 10 FHFA Housing Price Index, Slide 11 National Association of Realtors, Existing Home Sales, Slide 12 Fannie Mae, SEC Filings, Slide 13
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