1. Planning for Prosperity and Security on our Coasts Amy Rosenthal | Science-Policy Specialist, The Natural Capital Project June 9, 2011

3. The importance of our coasts People count on our coasts for jobs, food, and well being These interests create tradeoffs Good policy negotiates these conflicts to support the best mix of uses

4. Prosperity From aquaculture From ocean energy From fishing

5. Vulnerability & Security From storm damage From sea level rise

6. Well being From recreation From scenic beauty From clean water resources

8. InVEST Maps, measures, values environmental services Applicable anywhere Flexible data requirements & scale Scenario-based Relevant to many kinds of decisions Biodiversity and multiple services InVEST: Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs

9. Valuation Value of captured wave energy Avoided damages Net present Value (NPV) of fish & shellfish Values of recreation activities Avoided area Eroded/flooded Harvested biomass Captured wave energy Visitation Landed biomass Fisheries Recreation Model Aquaculture Wave energy Coastal Protection Production functions Socioeconomic Oceanography Habitat type Species distribution Bathymetry Topography Model Output ecosystem services & values Model Output ecosystem services & values Models Input Data reflect scenarios

10. Renewable energy: waves* Coastal Vulnerability Aquaculture: finfish* Aesthetic quality Fisheries (Tier 0)* Recreation* Habitat risk assessment Coastal protection* Water quality Carbon storage and sequestration* Fisheries (Tier 1)* Aquaculture: shellfish* Nursery habitat (component of fisheries model) Renewable energy: offshore wind* Fisheries: connect to existing models* InVEST 2.1

11. Results from InVEST Risk to Habitat Water Quality Human Uses

12. Combined index of vulnerability: Where are the people + where are the hazards?

13. West Coast Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada

14. Recreation Ranking: 0,1 with distance decay Recreational Use: $ and health

15. Wave Energy and Aquaculture NPV ($ mil) Commercial Fishery : Salmon trawl : Salmon net : Crab and Shrimp Recreational Fishery : Salmon : Ground fish : Power Grid Connection Point : Cable Landing Point

16. loss of public & private property ($) Coastal Protection o geomorphology o presence of habitats o sea level change o wind-wave exposure o surge potential Eelgrass prevents erosion and flooding

17. Run Wave Model Offshore Beach Erosion Difference: 1.5m 15 hrs Storm H max =1.5m T=4s

18. Where InVEST connects with the coast Vancouver Island Belize Chesapeake Bay Puget Sound Galveston Bay Monterey Bay

19. How do land-based activities affect marine resources and management? Oyster restoration Fisheries Coastal protection Nutrient runoff Coastal hardening Water withdrawals

20. Team: Mary Ruckelshaus CK Kim Mike Papenfus Greg Verutes Jodie Toft Katie Arkema Greg Guannel Joey Bernhardt Spencer Wood Matt Marsik Dave Sutherland Andrew Day Kevin Head Jenn Spencer Trudy Warner www.naturalcapitalproject.org Aligning economic forces with conservation

21. thank you. www.naturalcapitalproject.org National Marine Sanctuary Foundation The Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation The West Coast Aquatic Management Board NOAA Fisheries, Northwest Fisheries Science Center And many others Amy Rosenthal | Science Policy Specialist, Natural Capital Project