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Christopher M. Keane American Geological Institute October 2007 AGI Council Meeting Denver CO
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50% of geoscience highest degree earners do NOT work as geoscientists 50% of working geoscientists do NOT have their highest degree in geosciences Functionally no unemployment of MS & Ph.D.s Rapid new hire demand Employer dissatisfaction with new hires
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0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 195519571959196119631965 196719691971197319751977197919811983198519871989 19911993 199519971999200120032005 Majors Undergraduate Graduate
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0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 197319751977197919811983198519871989199119931995 19971999200120032005 B.S. M.S. Ph.D.
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10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 197419761978198019821984198619881990199219941996199820002002 Year Percent Female Enrolled Graduated 2004 50
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NSF/AGI/BLS Petroleum 43% Mining 12% Other Services 1% Environmental 8% Exec. Management 1% Academia 17% Government 18% 2005 Academic 7% Government 12% Petroleum 50% Mining 9% Environmental 7% Retired/Unemployed 10% Other 5% 1986
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% State/Local Federal Environmental Mining Petroleum Academia K-12 High Tech General Business Continue Education Other Outside of Geoscience Intention Rate AGI
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Geologists Petroleum$107K Mining $69K Finance $84K Consulting $68K Academia $58K Government Federal $86K State $51K Local $62K Hydrologists Consulting $65K Academia $57K Government Federal $75K State $52K Local $63K BLS
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Attrition Math 340,000 Intro Geo Students 6,000 New Geo Majors Per Year 2,700 New Geo BS Degrees Per Year 13% of BS geology recipients go on to a career in the geosciences
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Substantial hiring of new geology/env. science BS recipients What are their REAL future prospects? Professional geoscientist? Starbucks Barista? Wal-Mart Greeter? Is the profession serving them honestly?
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Gender Females now dominate at the university Geoscience second at attracting women Industry discontinuing female preferences Race Minorities tend not to move for college Few geo programs near minority areas Most come through Community Colleges Lack of cultural continuity
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There are 602 BS-granting geo departments Physics has fewer than 300…. Chemistry has 1100… Average of <5 grads per year per department There are 379 MS-granting geo departments 75% of MS degrees come from 10 programs Average of 1 grad per year per department There are 268 Ph.D.-granting geo departments 58% of new Ph.D.s go into a Post Doc…. Average of 1 grad per year per department
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Top students choose certainty Medicine, Law, and Business ~17% STEM BS grads go to professional school High entrance requirements Fixed exit from graduate school High completion rate High economic return Science & Engineering ~10% STEM BS grads continue in STEM areas Lower entrance requirements Vague completion timeframe Low graduation rates Unattractive earning potential Zumeta & Raveling, 2002
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Hostility towards private sector Source of bulk of opportunities “Environmental Awareness” Student interest declines precipitously Preference for government Little to no hiring growth 29% of students intend to look at “non- traditional” careers
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1. Self-Efficacy Work towards tangible success Make the class attractive and applied 2. Outcome Expectations Promote rewards of the success Social & Intellectual Standing 3. Interest Align with interests and currency Be innovative Make success attainable Akbulut & Looney, ACM Communications, October 2007
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US Government data collection is modeled after manufacturing Working with Labor/Commerce reform efforts Track economic indicators and analyze for potential leading indicators Rapid information dissemination
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K-10 Covered by AGI Curricula Majors and Grad Students Covered by Societies and Departments Career Decision Point is 11 th grade to Sophomore year! We have a vacuum
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Immerse in current networking methods Facebook, etc. Communicate relevantly Use social context Avoid subdisciplines and industry boundaries Recognize importance of parents Hit their need to succeed Engage as a professional from day 1, not after the Ph.D.
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Print pieces Parents/counselors/students Editable media Templates with content that can be modified by societies, departments, etc. Video/Audio Engage in “recreational venues” Utilize existing vetted resources like Faces of Earth and Geotimes Remain flexible in format and style
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Engage from day 1 as a professional Develop & Promote Scholarships/Aid “Welcome Packets” to new majors/prospects Enable multiple society memberships Compete with the outside, not each other Promote internships at all levels
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AGI leverages its strengths Wide and deep K-12 presence Mass media experience Popular communications History of data collection/analysis Societies leverage their strengths Bring the profession to the student Key to link students to their future Departments “Set the hook” on interested students
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