1. NIDIS Southeast U.S. Drought Early Warning Information System Planning Meeting July 21-22 Chapel Hill, NC Jeffrey L. Payne Deputy Director NOAA Coastal Services Center

2. The Regional Connection in NOAA NOAA’s regional collaboration – 8 regional teams – Goals: Improved services for the benefit of NOAA’s customers Increased value and productivity of partnerships Improved stakeholder relations and support Improved internal communications and efficiency across NOAA’s existing organizational structure And…Sea Grant, Regional Climate Centers, Cooperative Institutes, IOOS Regional Associations, NOAA line offices, RISAs (CISA; SCC), Regional Ocean Governance…

3. Role of Regional Collaboration in Climate Services Engage stakeholders and value context (long- term) Understand regionally-specific climate issues and needs Facilitate a shared vision of service and a one- NOAA (and beyond) approach Bring appropriate parts of NOAA to bear Promote awareness and understanding of capabilities within region (NOAA and external)

4. Climate Change/Drought and Southeastern Coastal States Impacts Demographics and socio-economics – more people, economic activity and infrastructure at risk Changing water levels – erosion, aquifer depletion, saline intrusion, loss of protective features Precipitation and temperature patterns – drought, fire, freshwater supply and quality, movement of nutrients and pollutants, sediment transport Ecosystem integrity and demand for ecosystem services – provisioning, regulating and supporting services; living resources and habitats; invasive species; disease carriers; land use

5. Understanding and Addressing Impacts: Illustrative Needs Systems approach – to modeling and observing regions and cities (physical processes, social infrastructure, human practices) Monitoring data, predictions and projections – consistent baseline data, standards, trusted results, evaluation of effectiveness Risk and vulnerability assessment – information on risks associated with extreme and chronic events (drought) and impacts (social, economic, structural) to provide science foundation for evaluating adaptation strategies and investment options Decision support tools, maps and visualizations – usefulness of information for public works investments (resilient siting and design), green infrastructure, and relocation considerations Communication, literacy and capacity – contextualize for scale and culture; integrate physical, natural and socioeconomic information; build capacity; uncertainty; awareness of risks and benefits of actions

6. Climate and Regional: Illustrative Activities Southeast – NIDIS Early Warning System for the SE Drought Workshop; ecosystem and water quality impacts (Apr 08) – SE Natural Resource Leadership Group Workshop on Adapting to Climate Change in the SE (May 08) – Coastal Carolinas Ecosystem Services and Human Well- Being Workshop (with EPA), including climate change impacts on ecosystem services (Jan 09) – Development of the South Atlantic Alliance – community resilience to hazards and climate change one of four priorities – Integration with NOAA climate portals; distributing climate related tools, training, data, and resources – HMT-SE workshops (Feb 09 and June 09)

7. Importance of Partnerships Strengthen relationships with NOAA extramural partners as enablers – Estuarine Research Reserves, Regional Climate Centers, Fishery Management Councils, Cooperative Institutes, RISAs, Cooperative Observers, Coastal Zone Management Programs Leverage associations and governance structures – Integrated Ocean Observing System Regional Association – Assoc. of State Floodplain Managers; State Emergency Management Assoc. – Regional Ocean Governance Nurture grassroots, regional and interagency activities – NOAA in the Carolinas – Sea Grant-sponsored regional research priorities planning – Southeast Regional Partnership for Planning and Sustainability (SERPPAS) Promote interactions with less-traditional partners – Land trusts; alternative agriculture sector; green infrastructure – National Association of Counties – U.S. Chambers of Commerce

8. Backup Slides Additional Information

9. Climate Change Adaptation Guidebook Allison Castellan(OCRM) Estimated completion in February 09 Strategies and approaches to adaptation for coastal managers Climate Training/Toolkit Stephanie Fauver (CSC) Cathy Angell (NERR) Eventually to be an online training as part of a toolkit First effort is Padilla Bay Workshop Coastal Community Planning and Development Training Tricia Ryan (CSC) Revision of CSC/SG/EPA smart growth training course to include resilience NOAA Climate Portal Dave Eslinger (CSC) Coastal No Adverse Impact Toolkit Audra Luscher (CSC) Currently a training/handbook focused on hazards, not necessarily climate change Could incorporate modules based on SLR adaptation – logical place to start Will likely have FY10 opportunities for collaboration Nationally Applicable Tools and Training Communicating Climate Change and Scientific Uncertainty Dave MacNeill (NY SG) Literature review of peer-reviewed publications relating to communicating uncertainty Bibliography available shortly Climate Adaptation Website Stephanie Fauver (CSC) Estimated completion in ?? Expanded Description of Coastal Projects Proposed for Climate Portal

10. Coastal Inundation Mapping Training Doug Marcy (CSC) two-day course, targeted at certified floodplain managers, National Weather Service personnel, and county, state, and municipal officials, teaches participants about coastal inundation issues and spatial techniques for mapping inundation North Carolina SLR work Carol Auer (NCCOS) Impacts of SLR on coastal habitats a coastal flooding model Habitat simulation module sedimentation vs plant growth GIS-based predictive tool all inclusive landscape model Great Lakes Climate Change & Coastal Habitats w/TNC Lindy Dingerson (CSC) Examining coastal habitat impacts of lowered Lake levels – wetlands, grasses Focus on segments of shoreline in Lake Ontario Great Lakes – Prep for Climate Change Rochelle Sturtevant (Sea Grant) looking at Lake level dropping and impacts to socio/economic/physical/etc. impacts NOAA Climate Portal Dave Eslinger (CSC) Predicting Impacts of Water Level Changes Expanded Description of Coastal Projects Proposed for Climate Portal