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Rebecca A. Maynard, Ph.D. University of Pennsylvania December 1, 2009
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Brief overview of the Kids Having Kids project Review of the methodology Summary of findings
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Rationale High and rising rates of teenage pregnancy Increasing proportions of pregnant teens keeping and raising babies Most babies reared by single mothers Most babies reared in poverty Goal Document the consequences of kids having kids Estimate the costs of teenage childbearing
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Single parent households Welfare dependence Poverty Low school completion rates Child abuse and neglect Poor child outcomes
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University of Chicago’s Harris School Nationally prominent scholars Research and policy advisors Cost analysis overlay First edition 1997 Second edition 2007
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Call to Action: Births per 1000 Pre 1992 guttmacher.org/pubs/2006/09/12/USTPstats.p
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Birth Before Age 18Birth Age 18 - 19Total 140,761281,282422,023 First Birth 126,471210,312336,783 Higher Order 14,29070,97085,240
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Consequences for Teenage Mothers Consequences for Fathers of Children Born to Teenage Mothers Consequences for Children Social and psychological Abuse and neglect Criminal activity Adult earnings Consequences for Taxpayers and Society Evidence of Effective Prevention Strategies
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Perspectives Teenage mothers Taxpayers Society (distribution neutral) Assigning value/cost to some consequences E.g., incarceration spells; administrative costs of welfare; foster care; education of children Aggregating over families Accounting for compositional effects and cohort size Steady-state accounting 5% annual discount
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Productivity Mother Father Children Child Support Public Assistance Cash/near cash Criminal justice Out-of-pocket health care costs
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Tax revenues Mother Father Children Public Assistance Cash/near cash Medical Foster care Special education Criminal justice
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Productivity Mother Father Children Public service administration Cash/near cash Medical Foster care Special education Criminal justice
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Sexual activity risk:100 21 studies/ 40 estimates Similar results across four types of programs
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Pregnancy risk:100 24 studies/ 34 estimates Small impacts Significant only for multi-component youth development programs 3 studies/6 estimates
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Pregnancy :100 13 studies/ 25 estimates Small average impacts Impacts distributed across various program models
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There are real costs of teenage childbearing Borne by taxpayers and society, not the teens Solutions are not obvious Health and sex ed seems necessary, but not sufficient Social norms seem to play an important role Consider testing more differentiated interventions
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