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Election Data’s New Frontier Maurice Tamman Herald Tribune, Sarasota

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Presentation on theme: "Election Data’s New Frontier Maurice Tamman Herald Tribune, Sarasota"— Presentation transcript:

1 Election Data’s New Frontier Maurice Tamman Herald Tribune, Sarasota mo.tamman@heraldtribune.com

2 Latest Florida Election mess  District 13 race to replace Katherine Harris  Dem Christine Jennings lost to Republican Vern Buchanan by 369 votes  18,000 (about 15%) of Sarasota County voters did not cast a ballot in the race.

3 What we looked for  Collected reports from voters  Machine/bug/ failure or hack  Early voting vs. Election day  Other high undervote races in the rest of the state  Undervotes in other elections  Systems used since in locations with high under votes

4 So what happened?  No one know for sure but …  Many voters complained that the system unchecked their votes.  Or the race was somehow split over two pages.  Everything anecdotal pointed to some kind of software glitch, or worse.  A part of me wanted to believe that.

5 Following the butterfly ballot today Sarasota CountyCharlotte County Same District, different treatment 13 percent missed this race <2 percent missed it here

6 Lump in the eye … Sarasota CountyCharlotte County 5 percent undervote here 21 percent undervote here

7 Remember Ballot Design in 2000?  The frontier’s not so new and neither are the issues.

8

9 The two county claw  What about the county discrepancies?  What about the undervote in the AGs race?  We looked at the “ballot image log” files from every electronic machine.  These files contained all affirmative votes but not skipped races.  So we filled in the missing races for each ballots.

10 The Raw Data iVotronic Vote Image Report GENERAL ELECTION SUMTER COUNTY, FLORIDA NOVEMBER 7, 2006 REPORT-EL155 PAGE 001 RUN DATE:12/01/06 11:03 AM PRECINCT 101 - 101 VRMC/OUTPATIENT CTR ELECTION ID: 06GEN VOTR. B/I CANDIDATES RECEIVING A VOTE 100405 2 * 2 Bill Nelson UNITED STATES SENATOR CNTY 100405 2 10 John Russell REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS CON005 100405 2 13 Jim Davis GOVERNOR AND LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR CNTY 100405 2 24 Alex Sink CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER CNTY 100405 2 27 Eric Copeland COMMISSIONER OF AGRICULTURE CNTY 100405 2 30 Robert Thompson STATE REPRESENTATIVE HSE0042 100405 2 33 Ronald B. Allen COUNTY COMMISSION DISTRICT 2 CNTY 100405 2 37 Miranda L. Skipper COUNTY COMMISSION DISTRICT 4 CNTY 100405 2 40 YES SUPREME COURT JUSTICE LEWIS CNTY 100405 2 43 YES SUPREME COURT JUSTICE PARIENTE CNTY 100405 2 46 YES SUPREME COURT JUSTICE QUINCE CNTY 100405 2 61 YES CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT 3 CNTY 100405 2 64 YES CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT 4 CNTY 100405 2 67 YES CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT 6 CNTY 100405 2 70 YES CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT 7 CNTY 100405 2 73 YES CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT 8 CNTY 100405 2 * 2 Bill Nelson UNITED STATES SENATOR CNTY 100405 2 10 John Russell REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS CON005 100405 2 13 Jim Davis GOVERNOR AND LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR CNTY 100405 2 24 Alex Sink CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER CNTY 100405 2 27 Eric Copeland COMMISSIONER OF AGRICULTURE CNTY Indicated a new ballot Precinct info Missing AG’s Race

11 Cleaned up A sequential ballot id for each county Filled in the gaps to make it easy to identify undervotes

12 Loyalist most responsible

13 Sarasota vs. Charlotte

14 So who were these people who missed the race?


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