1. Floods Directive David Porter B.Eng C.Eng MICE MCIHT Director of Development

2. Historical Floods Belfast 1903 Omagh 1969 Strabane 1987

3. Recent Floods Lower Ormeau, 2005 Omagh, 2007 Beragh, 2008 Enniskillen, 2009 Belfast, 2008

4. Directive 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2007 on the assessment and management of flood risks Floods Directive Water Environment (Floods Directive) Regulations (Northern Ireland) 2009

5. European Union Floods Directive Preliminary Flood Risk Assessment by Dec 2011 Flood hazard and risk maps by Dec 2013 Flood risk management plans by Dec 2015

6. European Union Floods Directive Communication of risk to the public Involvement of interested parties Co-ordinate transboundary catchments

7. Preliminary Flood Risk assessment Floods Directive Article 4- 2(b) Human Health Environment Cultural Heritage Economic Activity Area of Potential Significant Risk

8. Flood Hazard and Risk Maps Flood Scenarios Low Priority or Extreme Medium Priority High Priority, if appropriate Hazards Flood extent Water depth or level Velocity Risks Number of inhabitants Economic activity Key infrastructure

9. Flood Risk Management Plans Cross-border coordination Synergy with Water Framework Directive –Three River Basin Plans Objectives Measures EU Reporting

10. Launched on the Internet on 4th November 2008.

11. Why have we developed the map? Understand flood risk Communicate risk Land Use Planning Inform Emergency Plans

12. How was the map developed for the rivers? River Centreline Point Flow Grid Land Cover Map 2000 Digital Terrain Model

13. How was the map developed for the Sea? Coastal Model (Mike21)

14. What do we mean by Strategic?

19. Climate Change Fluvial Models Hydrometric Area 20302100 Precipitation Percentage Increase River Flow Percentage Increase Precipitation Percentage Increase River Flow Percentage Increase 201911.72431 202810.42329.9 203911.72633.8 20479.12127.3 205911.72431.2 206911.72329.9 236911.72532.5 Table 3.2Percentage Change of Precipitation and Peak River Flows

20. Climate Change Coastal Model

21. Thank You

23. Strategic Assessment of Numbers of properties at risk 830,000 properties within NI Based on new strategic maps, 46,000 (5.5%) properties estimated to be within the river and coastal flood plain Approx 15,500 protected by flood defences / culvert network Of remainder (i.e. 30,500) 10,500 within Belfast – relatively low likelihood Many situated around edge of flood plain Property level & location within floodplain is critical Dont have large number of properties subject to year-on-year repeated flooding Not all the property within NI flood plains will be affected by a single event

24. "Science grows and improves in the light of criticism. There is a fundamental uncertainty about climate change prediction that can't be challenged." Chief Scientist for the UK Government Professor John Beddington