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For our Environment „Energiewende“ Energy for the Future ! Dr. Harry Lehmann Federal Environmental Agency – Germany Harry.lehmann@uba.de
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - May - 2015 Energiewende – the first 35 Years Sources: Öko Institut; BMU; Rocky Mountain Institute; Wuppertal Institut; „Growian“ von Uli Harder; H.Lehmann 1973 – Oil Crisis Since 2000 Phase Out Starting with REN
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Share of RES in electricity consumption 40-45 percentage until 2025 Source Yearly Monitoring Report – Data Status: 08/2014 StromEinspG EEG – FIT
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Wind turbines today are 40 times as powerful than 20 years ago
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Wind and PV are cheaper than other decarbonisation Options
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Reduction of energy consumption in buildings – building codes Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015
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goal: minus 20% Data status: 08/2014 Reduction of primary energy demand Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015
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380 000 Jobs - industry with future
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 The prices for electricity on the wholesale market have not been rising, but are falling steadily Price of a 2014 baseload future at the EEX Price of a 2014 Peakload future at the EEX March 15, 2011: Decision to shut down 8 nuclear power plants
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Development of electricity cost for households
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Development of electricity cost for industry
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Energiewende – second halftime Sources: BMU; H. Lehmann;
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Goals of energy and climate policy Timeline 2050; All relevant sectors; Specific Goals, over 100 specific Measures, Funding Climate Renewable Energies Efficiency GHG (vs. 1990) Electric power Total share Primary energy Energy productivity Modernising buildings 2020 - 40 %35%18%- 20% increase to 2,1% / a double rate 1% -> 2% 2030 - 55 %50%30% 2040 - 70 %65%45% 2050 - 80-95 %80%60% - 50%
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 „Energiewende“ TODAY A triple approach - 100 measures in three areas Renewable energy sources : Rapid, continuous expansion Cost-efficient and environmentally friendly Future grids: Flexible and powerful Integration of electricity from renewable sources Efficiency: Reduce energy consumption Ensure efficiency
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Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015 Energiewende future – GHG Neutral Germany -200 0 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 19902010UBA THGND 2050 Emissionen in Mio.t CO 2Äq Approach by a systemical and holistic analysis and scenarios 2050 1 t/cap ElectricityIndustryWasteTransport Heating Cooling Land UseAgriculture
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Germany is not suffering economically due to the Energiewende GDP growth / renewables
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Energiewende is a chance for Germany The Energiewende … … Ensures Germany‘s climate protection aims … Creates jobs … Leads to sustainable growth with national added value … Is our chance to pioneer and advance on the path to a sustainable modern world. Harry Lehmann – UBA – harry.lehmann@uba.de - Feb. 2015
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