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Published byKristopher Gallagher Modified over 9 years ago
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1 Finance 7311 Market for Corporate Control
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2 Terminology Target – Potential takeover candidate Acquirer (Bidder) – Firm doing the ‘taking over’ Merger – Friendly combination of two firms Tender Offer (Hostile Takeover) – Opposed by target management
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3 Terminology, cont. Leveraged Buyout – Takeover in a highly leveraged transaction – Advantages Concentrates ownership in fewer hands Takes cash out of management hands Tax advantage of debt – Disadvantages Effect of economic downturn
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4 Terminology, cont. Management Buyout – Same as LBO, except existing management is major shareholder Proxy Contest – Voting by S/H on major corporate transactions Restructuring – Significant change in allocation of corporate resources – Current management stays on
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5 Defensive Tactics Methods used by management to avoid being taken over Poison Pill White Knight Greenmail Just Say No Supermajority Voting Courts: OK if only one ‘bidder’
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6 Selecting and Valuing a Target Business Plan or Objective – Vertical Integration – Excess Capacity Product ==> Distribution Distribution ==> Product –(Time Warner; Paramount, previously) –(AOL, Time Warner) – Strategic: Enter a new market for example – Diversification (Later)
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7 Valuation PVt = PV of target (stand alone) PVa = PV of acquiring firm (stand alone) PVc = PV of combined firm TP = tender price
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8 Synergy ==> Value Created PVc - (PVa - PVt) = Total Synergy NPV of acquisition to acquiring firm: PVc - (Pva + PVt) - (TP - PVt) = total synergy - synergy to target
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9 Synergy Sources of Synergy? – Economies of Scale in Production Distribution Management/Administration – Strategic – Management: better allocation of resources
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10 Calculation of Synergy Estimate ‘combined’ cash flows and subtract sum of the parts Estimate the change in cash flows Must identify the source of value
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11 Acquisition What is reflected in Target’s current price? – Value ‘as is’ – Value with expected changes (current mgmt) – Value ‘in play’ How much of a ‘change in control’ premium is already reflected in price?
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12 Acquisition Acquirer must offer a Premium to induce S/H to tender Must bid less than total value; (Neg NPV) Do other Bidders exist? Is source of value generic or specific? – Provision of ‘information’ to market – If value highest to you, you can win
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13 Acquisition, cont. Strategy:Bid high enough to deter potential bidders, but low enough to retain value Avoid Winner’s Curse Target: – Defensive Tactics
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14 Motives or Reasons Corporate Raiding – Raider buying company for less than value – Premiums average 30% Creation of Monopoly Power – Hard to test; others should benefit Wealth Transfer from other parties – Not much evidence Taxes: May support economics
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15 Motives, cont. Market Inefficiency – Firm is Undervalued by Market – Information to market Unsuccessful takeovers – Target value goes back to preoffer price – No perm. Reevaluation of firm – Value created in combination
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16 Diversification Reduce Risk - may obtain better terms and/or better relationships from: – Employees – Suppliers – Customers – Analagous to ‘too much debt’ before Management - much human risk and human capital tied up in firm; S/H?
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17 Diversification Evidence Comment & Jarrell (‘95 JFE) – Firm performance is increasing in firm focus Lang & Stulz (‘94 JPE) – Firms diversify when growth opportunities within industry exhausted – Such diversification does not benefit S/H
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18 Diversification Evidence Berger & Ofek (‘95 JFE) – Compare stand-alone value of diversified firm segments to specialized firms – Diversified firm worth 13% - 15% less than sum of stand alone components Day (‘95 JFE) – Examines motives for risk reduction
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19 Day, cont. Firms pursue equity variance reducing activities: – Higher levels of personal wealth in firm – More years invested w/ firm – The poorer previous performance – CEO specialists invest in similar specialties
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20 Performance Changes Dennis & Denis (‘95 JFE) – Turnover Forced Normal – Forced: Operating Income/Assets decreases in 3 years prior & increases following – Normal: Little difference prior; small improvement afterward
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21 Dennis & Dennis, cont. Forced resignations are rare – 68% preceded by active monitoring by large s/h, b/h or potential acquirers – 56% are the target of some form of control activity Boards not so effective in isolation Modern Trend: Outside Directors
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