Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byHorace Maxwell Modified over 9 years ago
1
© Stefano Grazioli - Ask for permission for using/quoting: grazioli@virginia.edu
2
Financial engineering = financial analytics Lab on Thursday Easy meter
3
Name, Major Objectives from the class Things you like about the class Things that can be improved Strengths / Attitude towards the Tournament
4
© Stefano Grazioli - Ask for permission for using/quoting: grazioli@virginia.edu
6
Auditing Disaster planning Insurance Risk Mitigation Diversification Business continuity Hedging & Options
7
is a contract giving the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (for example a stock) at a specific price on or before a specified date Options are derivatives.
8
Source: CBOE & OCC web site – 2013 - Table includes CBOE + C2 combined CBOE trades options on 3,300 securities. More than 50,000 series listed. 1/4 of US option trading Hybrid market: 97% total (68% volume) is electronic Year 2013
9
You own 100,000 GOOGLE stocks. @ $1,200 -> $120,000,000. You are pretty happy. But you are also worried. What if the price drops to $1,000? You need some kind of insurance against that. Somebody is willing to commit to buying your GOOGLE stock at $1,200 (if you want), two years from now. But she wants $10 per stock. Now. You decide that it is a good deal. So, you buy 100,000 contracts that give you the choice to sell your stock at the agreed price two years from now. You have bought 100,000 put options.
10
A put option gives to its holder the right to sell the underlying security at a given price on or before a given date. "Insurance" analogy
11
Speculators Arbitrageurs Hedgers (us)
12
© Stefano Grazioli - Ask for permission for using/quoting: grazioli@virginia.edu
13
You are an executive at the Coca Cola Company. You make $1,000,000 a year. You are pretty happy. The Board wants to make sure that you will do your best to keep the price of the CocaCola stock up. Rather than giving you a well-deserved raise, they offer to you a deal. They promise that in three years they will give you the chance to buy 200,000 stocks at $40. Right now the stock is valued at $40. If the company does well, the stock price could go as up as $50. So you think: “In three years I could just get my 200,000 @ $40 and then immediately sell them back to the market for $50....” You conclude that an extra $2,000,000 in your pocket is a good thing. You have been given 200,000 call options.
14
A call option gives to its holder the right to buy the underlying security at a given price on or by a given date "security deposit" analogy
15
IBM Stock Price: $185.00 underlier “spot” (i.e., market) price Call Option can buy 1 IBM stock @ $180.00 on 5 Mar 2014 Put Option can sell 1 IBM stock @ $190.00 on 18 Apr 2014 strike price expiration: European vs. American option price = premium
16
IBM Stock Spot Price: $185.00 Call Option can buy 1 IBM stock @ $180.00 today Call Option can buy 1 IBM stock @ $185.00 today Call Option can buy 1 IBM stock @ $190.00 today In the money At the money Out of the money
17
© Stefano Grazioli - Ask for permission for using/quoting: grazioli@virginia.edu
19
On expiration day, value is certain and dependent on (= strike – spot) On any other day value is not deterministic, because of uncertainty about the future.
20
Put Option: Can sell IBM for $200 The current value of a Put Option depends on: 1) the current price of the underlier - 2) the strike price + 3) the underlier volatility + 4) the time to expiration + 5) the risk-free interest rate - IBM’s price is $205 NOWEXPIRATIONPAST Bought a put option on IBM for $1 x = $200 a) IBM’s market price is $190 b) IBM’s market price is $210 Question: what is the value of the option right now?
22
P = –S[N(–d1)] + Xe -rt [N(–d2)] d1 = {ln(S/X) + (r + 2 /2)t} t d2 = d1 - t P = value of a European put option, S = current spot price, X = option “strike” or “exercise” price, t = time to option expiration (in years), r = riskless rate of interest (per annum), = spot return volatility (per annum), N(z) = probability that a standardized normal variable will be less than z. In Excel, this can be calculated using NORMSDIST(d). Delta for a Call = N(d1) Delta for a Put = N(d1) -1
23
z
24
Example: S = $ 42, X = $40 t = 0.5 r = 0.10 (10% p.a.) s = 0.2 (20% p.a.) Output: d1 = 0.7693 d2 = 0.6278 N(d1) = 0.7791 N(d2) = 0.7349 C = $4.76 and P=$0.81
25
Unlimited borrowing and lending at a constant risk-free interest rate. The stock price follows a geometric Brownian motion with constant drift and volatility. There are no transaction costs. The stock does not pay a dividend. All securities are perfectly divisible (i.e. it is possible to buy any fraction of a share). There are no restrictions on short selling. The model treats only European-style options.
27
The current value of a call Option depends on: 1) the current price of the underlier + 2) the strike price - 3) the underlier volatility + 4) the time to expiration + 5) the risk-free interest rate + CocaCola’s price is $40 NOWEXPIRATION Call Option: Can buy CocaCola for $40 PAST Bought a call option for $2.00, x=40 a) CocaCola’s price is $45 b) CocaCola’s price is $35 Question: what is the value of the option right now?
28
C = S[N(d1)] – Xe -rt [N(d2)] d1 = {ln(S/X) + (r + 2 /2)t} t d2 = d1 - t C = value of a European call option S = current spot price, X = option “strike” or “exercise” price, t = time to option expiration (in years), r = riskless rate of interest (per annum), = spot return volatility (per annum), N(z) = probability that a standardized normal variable will be less than d. In Excel, this can be calculated using NORMSDIST(z). Delta for a Call = N(d1) Delta for a Put = N(d1) -1
29
Market listed: bid & ask Buyer & seller: holder & writer Long & short positions Blocks of 100 – NOT FOR THE TOURNAMENT Option class: defined by the underlier and type Option series: defined by an expiration date & strike example: APPL May Call 290 Expiration: Sat after the 3rd Friday of the month America vs European (TOURNAMENT) Transaction costs: commissions on trading and exercising.
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com. Inc.
All rights reserved.