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NES 2009-New Elements - A Lokniti Presentation -
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Core features of NES Tradition Election study as a window to study Indian democracy Strict probability sampling with non- substitution Exhaustive questionnaire with detailed background Direct training and supervision of field investigators
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Third generation of NES Expanded sample Coverage of all states Probability sample drawn at state level State specific questions Thematic focus Decentralized administration
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Methodological Refinements Schedule for respondents not interviewed Revert back to earlier practice of strict non-substitution Keywords based translation of ‘dialects’ Overhauling of caste coding Revamping the training of investigators
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Expanding sample & coverage Expected Sample Interviews: 38,000+ 3 levels of Sample: Small states: about 1000 Medium states: about 1500 Large states: 2000 or above To cover about 537 LS constituencies Locations: 2000+
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‘Split Sample’ for Deeper Probe Departure from the earlier practice of administering identical questions to all respondents. National sample to be divided into five sub-samples with sample of 7000+ Sub samples to be randomized In-depth probing of specific themes without compromising reliability
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Effect of Split Sample Interview Schedule to be divided into: Core questions common in all 5 Sets Set specific questions State specific questions Introduction & Informed consent common in all 5 Sets Background questions common in all 5 Sets
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Core Questions Voting preference: present and past Turnout: did you vote? Why? Why not? Participation in election related activities Interest and involvement in politics Partisanship: identification, loyalty Evaluation of Union government Leadership preference
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State Specific Questions Evaluation of state government’s performance Comparison of State Leadership State level issues to be determined by the state team
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Theme 1: Economy Changing economic conditions of the family: past, present & future Effect of recent economic changes: global meltdown, job losses, farmers’ suicides etc Access to economic opportunities of the UPA schemes: NREGA, loan waiver etc Knowledge of and opinion about New Economic Polices
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Theme 2: National Security Awareness of key developments: Indo-US deal, Mumbai attacks etc Foreign policy orientation Reaction to terrorism Linkage between external relations/ national security and voting
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Theme 3: Political Choices Choice of political parties - Likes & Dislikes Party or Candidate as consideration of voting Role played by caste and communities in determining political choices
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Theme 4: Democracy Meaning of democracy Support for democracy Legitimacy, efficacy and trust in public institutions Responses to politics and
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Theme 5: Social & Political Values Awareness of key developments like Ram Setu controversy Nature of religious practice Communalism/Secularism issue Responses to Hindutva Religiosity and its impact on voting behaviour.
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