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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.

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Presentation on theme: "THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS."— Presentation transcript:

1 THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

2  QE?  Elections  Econ Data  What’s the trade?

3 +0.04%

4 S&P 500:+0.04% Dow: -0.13% Russell 2K: +0.01%

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6 Reporting Company Surprise TypePercent surprise Stock Reaction Ford (F)Positive27%UP UBSPositive27%DOWN Bristol Meyers (BMY) Positive11%DOWN Comcast (CMCSA)Positive7%UP Procter & Gamble (PG) Positive2%UP

7 Reporting Company Surprise TypePercent surprise Stock Reaction ConocoPhillips (COP) Positive3%DOWN Exon (XOM)Positive4%UP Microsoft (MSFT)Positive13%UP Chevron (CVX)Negative13%DOWN Merck (MRK)Positive3%DOWN

8 What QE2 Means for Stocks Play until minute 4:40 Airtime: Wed. Oct. 27 2010 | 6:15 PM ET

9  Ben Bernanke aka “Helicopter Ben”  Federal Reserve Chairman  Saved us from a great depression  Expert in the Great Depression

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11  Asset Purchasing – US Federal Reserve buying US bonds and mortgage backed securities.  Shock & Awe ≥ 500 Billion  $2 Trillion?  QE Light ≤ 500 Billion  $50-100 Billion per month?

12  Buy in advance ahead of everybody else  Sell when the news happens

13 Trade the Vote Airtime: Tues. Oct. 26 2010 | 4:29 PM ET

14 End of the Week Consensus Start: Min 1:00 End: Min 2:45 Airtime: Fri. Oct. 29 2010 | 4:14 PM ET

15  Buy the rumor sell the news  Market is priced in  Bearish sentiment grows

16  Gridlock? Taxes? Regulation?  How much control will the GOP gain?  Will they take over the House?  Will they take over the Senate?

17  Take profits?  Short?  VIX?  Dollar?  Buy Energy?  Buy Financials?

18  Financials: BAC, C, JPM, FAS  Energy:  Oil: HAL, BP, RIG  Coal: BTU, CNX, ACI, PCX  Bear Plays:  Short Stocks: AAPL, NFLX,  Inverse ETFs: TZA, FAZ, EDZ

19 MondayTuesdayWednesday MasterCard (MA)CVS British Petroleum (BP)

20 ThursdayFriday Unilever (UN)Kraft Foods (KFT) Direct TV (DTV)Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A)

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