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Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010 WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior.

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Presentation on theme: "Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010 WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior."— Presentation transcript:

1 Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010 WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior Service Hydrologist)

2 Our Motto: “We are ready for anything, and our customers know it” Our Goal: To be the “go to” source for climate and weather information all of our customers and partners routine and high impact needs

3 Operational Staff: 5 Lead Forecasters 5 Journeyman Forecasters 5 HMTs/Interns 3 SCEPs

4 NWS WFOs

5 SSH Counties Serviced TAE / JAX / TBW / KEY –Alabama 5 ( 5/ 0/ 0/ 0) –Florida 34 (17/15/ 1/ 1) –Georgia40 (26/14/ 0/ 0) Total 78 Counties – 3 State Area Total of 5 WFOs - Florida

6 Hydrologic Services WFO Jacksonville (14/28) WFO Tallahassee (33/65) Total (47 / 93)

7 NWS Tallahassee County Warning and Forecast Area

8 WFO Drought Topics What Product does the WFO Produce Process used to Assess Drought Products used to Assess Drought WFO / RFC Duties Ways NIDIS can help

9 WFO Drought Product Synopsis Summary of Impacts Climate Summary Precipitation / Temperature Outlook Hydrologic Summary and Outlook

10 2-Wk Soil Moisture Constructed Analogue Soil Model Medium-Range Fcst Palmer 4-mo Probabilities CPC Long-Lead Precip. Outlook Principal Drought Outlook Inputs Short-Range Fcst Verdi-Pulwarty

11 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index.html Synopsis

12 Summary of Impacts State and Local Mitigation Soil moisture / Ground Water Agricultural Fire Current water restrictions Other impacts (navigation, environmental, etc.)

13 http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tae/?n=droughtmonitor

14 State and Local Actions Internet Research - News Water Agencies –NWFWMD –SRWMD –SJRWMD –FDEP –GA EPD –AL (Locally Managed)

15 Soil Moisture / Ground Water USGS Water Watch (AL, FL, GA) Comparison to previous droughts Long period surface flows Long period well depths Rainfall accumulations Soil Moisture Charts

16 Floridian Aquifer

17 http://ga.water.usgs.gov/

18 Well 08K001 – Early County Latitude 31°22'38", Longitude 84°39'17" NAD27 Early County, Georgia, Hydrologic Unit 03130009 Well depth: 125 feet Hole depth: 125 feet Land surface altitude: 230 feet above sea level NGVD29. Well completed in "Floridan aquifer system" (S400FLORDN) national aquifer. Well completed in "Upper Floridan Aquifer" (120FLRDU) local aquifer

19 Soil Moisture

20 Agriculture Phone Contacts with County Extension Phone contact with Agriculture Officials Review of latest Ag Bulletins

21 Fire Impacts Review of current Fire conditions and on going fires KBDI Index (National and State levels)

22 Current Water Restrictions Internet Research - News Water Agencies –NWFWMD –SRWMD –SJRWMD –FDEP –GA EPD –AL (Locally Managed) –Local Water Authorities

23 Floridian Aquifer

24 Floridian Aquifer Cross Section

25 Other Impacts (Navigation etc.) Future considerations –Fisheries –Navigation –Environment?

26 Climate Summary

27 Precipitation / Temperature Outlook

28 Hydrologic Summary & Outlook USGS Water Watch (AL, FL, GA) Comparison to previous droughts Long period surface flows Long period well depths Rainfall accumulations River conditions Flow Statistics

29 Hydrologic Comparisons http://fl.water.usgs.gov/infodata/duration/tallahassee.html Chipola River near Altha, FLA

30 Drought Products Issued 2005 – 1 2006 – 19 2007 – 28 2008 – 14 2009 – 2 2010 – 0 Total - 64

31 RFC Water Resource Forecasting

32

33 NWS Drought Links http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/ssd/html/drought.htm http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tae/?n=hydrology http://www.srh.noaa.gov/serfc/?n=wro

34 What is needed from NIDIS Need County Specific Drought Information Single Source: State Climatology? Maps –Agriculture conditions –Crops and Hay –Water supply conditions (Sfc and Ground) –Soil Moisture –Fire conditions –Drought Declarations and Water Restrictions

35 Drought - Positives Deadheading Cypress Logs Economic Activity Photos Courtesy of: Bryan Loveless (http://www.recoveredhollowlog.com/about.php)

36 Mar 2005

37 Mar 2006

38 Mar 2007

39 Mar 2008

40 Aug 2008 (Fay)

41 Mar 2009

42 Mar 2010

43 2005 Total Departure

44 2006 Total Departure

45 2007 Total Departure

46 2008 Total Departure

47 Jan 2009

48 Mar 2009

49 Apr 2009

50 2009 Total Departure

51 Greetings from the best location and the best staff in the NWS

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