1. The taxation of housing Andrew Leicester Zoë Oldfield

2. Background Recent housing market volatility Implications for macroeconomic stability? Miles / Barker reviews to report at Budget Is housing under-taxed? Options for reform? Could taxes stabilise the market? Revenue-raising implications?

3. Is housing under-taxed? … investment in housing is relatively lightly taxed compared to other investments. Fiscal Stabilisation and EMU (2003) Housing has consumption and investment elements Economic reasons for lower housing taxes? UK versus other countries?

4. Current housing taxes Revenue (2004–05) Council Tax£19.9bn (net) Stamp Duty (residential property) £3.6bn* Capital Gains Tax£1.4bn (all sources) Inheritance Tax£2.8bn (all sources) VAT on repairs, etc.? Source: Pre-Budget Report, Inland Revenue * 2002–03

5. International comparison Source: Authors calculations from OECD Revenue Statistics 2003

6. International comparison Source: Authors calculations from OECD Revenue Statistics 2003

7. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others

8. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others Housing (first home)

9. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others Housing (first home) Taxed Taxed (0, 1, 3 or 4%) Exempt Council Tax

10. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others Housing (first home) Taxed Taxed (0, 1, 3 or 4%) Exempt Council Tax Pension Fund

11. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others Housing (first home) Taxed Taxed (0, 1, 3 or 4%) Exempt Council Tax Pension Fund ISAs

12. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others Housing (first home) Taxed Taxed (0, 1, 3 or 4%) Exempt Council Tax Pension Fund Exempt from Inc. Tax 0.5%Exempt 25% tax- free sum n/a ISAs

13. Housing vs. other investments Asset Contri- butions Trans- actions Int. / Div Capital Gain Withd- rawals Others Housing (first home) Taxed Taxed (0, 1, 3 or 4%) Exempt Council Tax Pension Fund Exempt from Inc. Tax 0.5%Exempt 25% tax- free sum n/a ISAsTaxed0.5%Exempt n/a

14. Housing vs. other consumption Housing does not attract VAT True for some other consumption goods But not for large durables Council Tax, Stamp Duty etc. make overall comparisons difficult

15. Housing under-taxed? Hard to argue that housing under-taxed compared to other investments Compared to other consumption the case is stronger Effect of Council Tax? What are the options for reform?

16. VAT on housing No VAT charged on housing Distort consumption decisions? Speculation that VAT to be introduced on new houses: Estimated revenue effect: £4.5bn (2003 – 04) Implications for housing supply? Buy non-new home instead?

17. Stamp Duty Some problems with stamp duty in general Price clustering: change structure of tax? Labour mobility Stamp duty as stabilising tool Legislation needed Pre-empting greater volatility? Implementation lags Spread cost over whole mortgage

18. CGT on First Homes CGT now applies only to non-primary housing Extending it would raise £11.5bn (2003 – 04) Many ways in which it could be introduced Adds complexity to CGT system, reduces yield Reduce labour mobility if exemptions for lengthy ownership period?

19. Property Tax Feature of some international systems Council Tax has elements of property tax Direct link between house value and tax paid Acts in part as automatic stabiliser Replace Council Tax? Problems with local tax element (Balance of Funding) Issues for design: Would renters pay? Associated benefit?

20. Distributional effects Source: Authors calculations from British Household Panel Survey 2000 with incomes and house prices uprated to 2002 values

21. Property Tax Estimated revenue £16bn (2002) Larger burden at bottom of distribution Low income, high housing wealth: are they poor? Includes many pensioners

22. Distributional effects Source: Authors calculations from British Household Panel Survey 2000 with incomes and house prices uprated to 2002 values

23. Property Tax Estimated revenue £16bn (2002) Larger burden at bottom of distribution Low income, high housing wealth: are they poor? Includes many pensioners Slightly less regressive than council tax – Revenue similar (for modelled example) Cost of revaluation?

24. Conclusions Govt. may need to raise taxes to meet fiscal rules Housing could provide potential source of significant new revenue Not easy to justify based on housing being under-taxed Stabilisation another reason for reform Needs careful consideration and consultation Would justify reformed rather than higher taxation