1. Canadian Agri-Food Sector: Overview and Commentary Bob Seguin Executive Director, GMC Guelph, March 2013 1

2. Overview Insights of Agri-food sector Historic developments, scale, diversity, and fragility Key agri-food policy issues- national/global 2

3. Source: Statistics Canada, OMAFRA CanadaOntario Landmass (sq. km)9,976,140 1,076,395 Arable Lands (sq. km) 498,80736,138 Population35,002,44713,546,112 Canada/Ontario Quick Facts 3

4. Farm Sector Growth/Shifts (1) Source: Statistics Canada 4

5. Farm Sector Growth/Shifts (2) Source: Statistics Canada 5

6. Stability in Food Processing Source: Statistics Canada 6

7. Stability in Employment Source: Statistics Canada Food Manufacturing:19911996200120062011 Canada 216,070213,999231,613233,388224,085 Ontario 79,025 78,94082,55885,87382,191 7

8. Retail Food – Dominating Source: Statistics Canada Food and Beverage Retail Sales - Canada (CDN $) 19911996200120062011 52,226,998 58,326,480 71,048,945 88,743,439 104,134,083 8

9. Agri-Food Evolving Source: Statistics Canada Census Data in Farm and Food Operations - Canada 19911996200120062011 Number of Census Farms280,043276,548246,923229,373205,730 Farms between $50,000 and $99,999 48,55042,54135,31531,42225,455 Farms over $1,000,0001,4771,8702,8093,6916,304 9

10. Comparing Ag Sectors Source: FAO 10

11. Canada’s Trade Performance (1) Source: Statistics Canada 11

12. Canada’s Trade Performance (2) Source: Statistics Canada 12

13. Policy Outlook: Markets International trade policy: ambitious, rules- focused, unique positioning, “hot” buttons Tough competition within domestic markets Tougher competition at the global level-past performance, innovation, new investments? 13

14. Inconsistent Policy Measures Canadian constitution- unique joint role National policy-now more fully developed- Growing Forward II Range of other Federal, Provincial policies 14

15. Key Agri-Food Issues Capacity of sectorCompetition- past policies no longer enoughNew investments, innovation neededScale and productivitySustainability and Management-Talent 15

16. Agri-Food: Where next? Canada- large country, urbanized population, historic access to resources, middle power Both policy (global and regional) and attitudes shift but not dramatic A global player, competitive-but not in first place in most agri- food Caught by history and comfort of locationNeed to invest scarce $$ to catch up and lead 16