1. Potential Growth and Impact of the Latino Vote in 2008 and Beyond Special Presentation to the New America Alliance 2007 Pension Fund Forum “Latino Investment Talent: Embracing The American Dream” Antonio Gonzalez President Southwest Voter Registration Education Project 2914 N. Main St Los Angeles, CA 90031 323-343-9299 agonzalez@svrep.org www.svrep.org

2. Geographic AreaNL White NL White % Hispanic or Latino Origin Latino % Combined Minority Combined Minority % TOTAL United States202,266,11266.43%45,018,77214.79%102,213,01133.57%304,479,123.New Mexico857,00143.11%870,00743.76%1,131,15756.89%1,988,158.Texas11,548,25448.53%8,438,91835.46%12,247,07351.47%23,795,327.California16,327,35443.64%13,261,79635.45%21,086,66056.36%37,414,014.Arizona3,751,78159.80%1,825,48129.10%2,521,60340.20%6,273,384.Nevada1,516,13459.11%620,38524.19%1,048,72440.89%2,564,858.Florida11,250,59061.37%3,689,25620.12%7,081,59438.63%18,332,184.Colorado3,475,20171.70%950,89519.62%1,371,41728.30%4,846,618.New York11,834,70460.35%3,214,58116.39%7,776,49939.65%19,611,203.New Jersey5,528,71462.51%1,388,76715.70%3,315,32637.49%8,844,040.Illinois8,484,78665.35%1,904,81914.67%4,497,90534.65%12,982,691 Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007. (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race. Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Percent

3. Geographic AreaNL White NL White % Hispanic or Latino Origin Latino % Combined Minority Combined Minority % TOTAL United States202,266,11266.43%45,018,77214.79%102,213,01133.57%304,479,123.California16,327,35443.64%13,261,79635.45%21,086,66056.36%37,414,014.Texas11,548,25448.53%8,438,91835.46%12,247,07351.47%23,795,327.Florida11,250,59061.37%3,689,25620.12%7,081,59438.63%18,332,184.New York11,834,70460.35%3,214,58116.39%7,776,49939.65%19,611,203.Illinois8,484,78665.35%1,904,81914.67%4,497,90534.65%12,982,691.Arizona3,751,78159.80%1,825,48129.10%2,521,60340.20%6,273,384.New Jersey5,528,71462.51%1,388,76715.70%3,315,32637.49%8,844,040.Colorado3,475,20171.70%950,89519.62%1,371,41728.30%4,846,618.New Mexico857,00143.11%870,00743.76%1,131,15756.89%1,988,158.Georgia5,598,30859.07%713,8297.53%3,878,96540.93%9,477,273 Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007. (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race. Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Total

4. 2006 United States Latino Population by State Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007.

5. 2006 United States Latino Population Percent by State Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007.

6. Latino Voter Registration, National Elections, 1972-2004 +2008 Projection Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau

7. Latino Votes Cast, National Elections, 1972-2004 +2008 Projection Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau

8. Grupo de Cien (Group of One Hundred) Organize 100 Community, Business, and Business Leaders to Raise or Donate $100,000 Each Over 2007-2008 –Enables SVREP to Directly Register and Turnout 500,000 New Latino Voters in 15-20 Key States –Enables SVREP to Catalyze Movement of Latino Leaders/Organizations to Raise Latino Registration and Turnout by 2.5 Million New Voters

9. SVREP Mobilization Efforts in 2007-2008 Latina Vote Campaign –Vota una Latina, Vota una Familia –Educate, Register, and Mobilize 100,000 new Latina Voters for the 2008 Presidential Election Cycle Campaign for Family and Community (C4C) –Faith-Based Effort That Will Register 100,000 Latino parishioners in 5 Competitive States: CO, FL, NV, NM, OR –Focused on Immigration Reform and Climate-Related Themes –Partners Include Catholic, Protestant, and Evangelical Churches and Organizations

10. SVREP Mobilization Efforts in 2007-2008, con’t Movimiento 10/12 –Unite 300 Communities in 15 States Around Local Issues and Elections –Register and Turnout 200,000 new Latino Voters During Spring, Summer, and Fall of 2008 to Lay Foundation for 2010 and 2012 Elections –Partners Include LULAC, LCLAA, Hispanic Federation, and NALACC YouthVote Campaign –Register 100,000 High School and College Students During Spring and Fall of 2007 and 2008 –Target 250-500 School Districts and 150 Colleges in 9 States: AZ, CA, CO, FL, IL, NJ, NM, TX, WA –Develop Corresponding Curriculum To Educate High School Students on Importance of Voting

11. 2004 United States Latino Registration Percent by State Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau

12. 2004 United States Latino Unregistered Citizen Voting Age Population by State Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.US Census Bureau

13. Latino Elected Officials by State: Largest Latino States – Gains Since 1996 State19962007Change Texas1,6872,170+28.6% California6931,163+67.8% New Mexico623657+5.5% Arizona298354+18.8% Colorado161160-0.6% Florida72131+81.9% New Jersey33103+212.1% Illinois4197+136.5% New York4064+60% Other States95230+142.1% TOTAL3,7865,129+37% Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund

14. Latino Elected Officials by State: Largest Latino States Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund

15. Latino Elected Officials by State: New Latino Gains Since 1996 Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund

16. Latino Elected Officials by Level of Office in 2007 Federal: 26 Statewide Officials: 6 State Legislators: 238 County Officials: 512 Municipal Officials: 1,640 Judicial/Law Enforcement Officials: 685 School Board/Education Officials: 1,847 Special District Officials: 175

17. 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Primary/Caucus Schedule

18. “Tsunami Tuesday” States – Primary/Caucus Elections Held on 2/5/08 State Electoral Votes 2004 Latino Registration 2004 Latino Turnout 2004 Latino Share of Total Reg 2004 Latino Turnout % 2004 Latino Share of Total Turnout Potential Unregistered Latino Voters in 2004 Alabama9 2,000 0.1%100.0%0.1% 6,000 Alaska3 13,000 10,0003.9%76.9%3.4% 5,000 California55 2,455,000 2,081,00017.3%84.8%16.2% 1,978,000 Colorado9 204,000 165,0008.8%80.9%7.9% 157,000 Connecticut7 64,000 56,0003.8%87.5%3.7% 66,000 Delaware3 13,000 12,0003.1%92.3%3.1% 11,000 Georgia15 36,000 26,0000.9%72.2%0.8% 50,000 Illinois21 343,000 294,0005.3%85.7%5.2% 265,000 Minnesota10 53,000 49,0001.7%92.5%1.7% 20,000 Missouri11 50,000 35,0001.5%70.0%1.2% 18,000 New Jersey15 331,000 277,0008.1%83.7%7.5% 144,000 New Mexico5 316,000 276,00033.8%87.3%33.0% 170,000 New York31 754,000 613,0008.7%81.3%8.0% 592,000 North Dakota3 4,000 2,0001.0%50.0%0.6% 2,000 Oklahoma7 29,000 25,0001.6%86.2%1.6% 28,000 Tennessee11 16,000 9,0000.6%56.3%0.4% 32,000 Utah5 28,000 27,0002.5%96.4%2.6% 39,000 TOTAL220 4,711,000 3,959,0008.14%84.0%7.7% 3,583,000

19. StateElectoral Votes 2004 Latino Registration 2004 Latino Turnout 2004 Latino Share of Total Reg 2004 Latino Turnout % 2004 Latino Share of Total Turnout Potential Unregistered Latino Voters in 2004 New Hampshire45,000 0.7%100.0%0.7% 4,000 Iowa713,00012,0000.8%92.3%0.8% 11,000 Nevada583,00072,0008.6%86.7%8.3% 68,000 Wyoming311,00010,0004.2%90.9%4.0% 6,000 Florida27924,000824,00011.2%89.2%11.2% 520,000 South Carolina813,000 0.6%100.0%0.7% 3,000 Maine47,000 0.8%100.0%1.0% 2,000 TOTAL58 1,056,000 943,0007.1%89.3%7.1% 614,000 Early Primary States – Primary/Caucus Elections Held Before 2/5/08

20. 2004 – 2008 Early Primary State Comparison StateDateElectoral VotesLatino RegistrationStateDate Electoral VotesLatino Registration New Hampshire1/8/20084 5,000 District of Columbia1/14/20043 10,000 Iowa1/14/20087 13,000Iowa1/19/20047 13,000 Nevada1/19/20085 83,000New Hampshire1/27/20044 5,000 Wyoming1/22/20083 11,000Arizona2/3/20046 354,000 Florida1/29/200827 924,000Delaware2/3/20043 13,000 South Carolina1/29/20088 13,000Missouri2/3/200411 50,000 Maine2/1/20084 7,000New Mexico2/3/20045 316,000 Alabama2/5/20089 2,000North Dakota2/3/20043 4,000 Alaska2/5/20083 13,000Oklahoma2/3/20047 29,000 California2/5/200855 2,455,000South Carolina2/3/20048 13,000 Colorado2/5/20089 204,000TOTAL 57 807,000 Connecticut2/5/20087 64,000 Delaware2/5/20083 13,000 Georgia2/5/200815 36,000 Illinois2/5/200821 343,000 Minnesota2/5/200810 53,000 Missouri2/5/200811 50,000 New Jersey2/5/200815 331,000 New Mexico2/5/20085 316,000 New York2/5/200831 754,000 North Dakota2/5/20083 4,000 Oklahoma2/5/20087 29,000 Tennessee2/5/200811 16,000 Utah2/5/20085 28,000 TOTAL278 5,767,000

21. 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Battleground States

22. 2008 U.S. Senate Races - Close Congressional Quarterly Ratings

23. 2004 Registration, Turnout, and Latino Potential by Close Senate Race State 2004 Total Reg 2004 Total Turnout 2004 Total Turnout % 2004 Latino Reg 2004 Latino Turnout 2004 Latino Share of Reg % 2004 Latino Turnout % 2004 Latino Share of Total Turnout Potential Unregistered Latino Voters in 2004 Potential Unregistered Latino Voters in 2004 % Colorado 2,307,000 2,097,00090.90% 204,000 165,0008.8%80.9%7.9% 157,00043.49% Louisiana 2,413,000 2,067,00085.66% 19,000 16,0000.8%84.2%0.8% 11,00036.67% Maine 824,000 736,00089.32% 7,000 0.8%100.0%1.0% 2,00022.22% Minnesota 3,080,000 2,887,00093.73% 53,000 49,0001.7%92.5%1.7% 20,00027.40% New Hampshire 716,000 677,00094.55% 5,000 0.7%100.0%0.7% 4,00044.44% North Carolina 4,292,000 3,639,00084.79% 44,000 27,0001.0%61.4%0.7% 65,00059.63% South Dakota 425,000 378,00088.94% 4,000 0.9%100.0%1.1% 2,00033.33% Texas 9,681,000 7,950,00082.12% 2,170,000 1,533,00022.4%70.6%19.3% 1,518,00041.16% TOTAL23,738,00020,431,00086.07%2,506,0001,806,00010.56%72.07%8.40%1,779,00041.52%

24. 2006 U.S. House Election Results Party by Margin of Victory - All

25. 2006 U.S. House Election Results Party by Margin of Victory – Close Elections

26. Close Margins of Victory in 2006 Less Than 5% Democrats 1.Connecticut 2 - Joe Courtney - 0.0% 2.Georgia 12 - John Barrow - 0.6% 3.Pennsylvania 8 - Patrick J. Murphy - 0.6% 4.Georgia 8 - Jim Marshall - 1.0% 5.Florida 16 - Tim Mahoney - 1.8% 6.Wisconsin 8 - Steve Kagen - 2.1% 7.Kentucky 3 - John Yarmuth - 2.4% 8.New York 19 - John Hall - 2.4% 9.New Hampshire 1 - Carol Shea-Porter - 2.7% 10.Iowa 2 - Dave Loebsack - 2.8% 11.Kansas 2 - Nancy Boyda - 3.5% 12.Florida 22 - Ron Klein - 3.8% 13.Pennsylvania 4 - Jason Altmire - 3.8% 14.Arizona 5 - Harry E. Mitchell - 4.0% 15.Indiana 9 - Baron P. Hill - 4.5% Republicans 1.Florida 13 - Vern Buchanan - 0.2% 2.North Carolina 8 - Robin Hayes - 0.2% 3.New Mexico 1 - Heather A. Wilson - 0.4% 4.Ohio 15 - Deborah Pryce - 0.5% 5.Wyoming AL - Barbara Cubin - 0.5% 6.Ohio 2 - Jean Schmidt - 1.1% 7.New Jersey 7 - Mike Ferguson - 1.4% 8.Pennsylvania 6 - Jim Gerlach - 1.4% 9.New York 25 - James T. Walsh - 1.6% 10.Nevada 3 - Jon Porter - 1.9% 11.Colorado 4 - Marilyn Musgrave - 2.5% 12.Illinois 6 - Peter Roskam - 2.8% 13.Virginia 2 - Thelma Drake - 2.8% 14.New York 29 - John R. "Randy" Kuhl Jr. - 3.0% 15.Washington 8 - Dave Reichert - 3.0% 16.California 4 - John T. Doolittle - 3.1% 17.Connecticut 4 - Christopher Shays - 3.4% 18.Michigan 7 - Tim Walberg - 3.9% 19.New York 26 - Thomas M. Reynolds - 4.0% 20.Ohio 1 - Steve Chabot - 4.4%

27. 2010 Gubernatorial Elections

28. 2010 U.S. Senate Elections