1. Infusing satellite Data into Environmental Applications (IDEA): R. Bradley Pierce NOAA/NESDIS/STAR PM2.5 forecasting tool hosted at NOAA NESDIS using NASA MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer), GOES derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) and US EPA AIRNow PM2.4 network. IDEA is a NASA- EPA-NOAA partnership to improve air quality assessment, management, and prediction by infusing (NASA) satellite measurements into (EPA, NOAA) analyses for public benefit. The IDEA web-based analysis, forecast, and visualization system is hosted at the NOAA Center of Satellite Applications and Research (STAR)NASAEPANOAA

2. Objective: Near-real-time product for State and Local Air Quality Forecasters Goal: Improve accuracy of next day PM 2.5 AQI forecast during large aerosol events NASA MODIS - NOAA GOES- EPA AIRNow Data Fusion Improving EPA Air Quality Index (PM 2.5) Forecasting http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/spb/aq/index.php

3. September 5, 2003 September 10 Operational Use of Satellite Data for Air Quality Sensitive groups should avoid all physical activity outdoors; everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion Sensitive groups should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion; everyone else should reduce prolonged or heavy exertion Sensitive groups should reduce prolonged or heavy exertion Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy exertion None Cautionary Statements 201-300 151-200 101-150 51-100 0-50 Index Values PM 10 (ug/m 3 ) PM 2.5 (ug/m 3 ) Category 355-424 255-354 155-254 55-154 0-54 150.5- 250.4 65.5-150.4 40.5-65.4 15.5-40.4 0-15.4Good Very Unhealthy Unhealthy Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups Moderate Source: US EPA, 1997

4. MODIS AOD:color contours, WF_ABBA Fire pixels: purple dots www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov MODIS Aerosol Optical Depth September 4, 2003 Clean air advection behind cold front Visible image Aerosol Optical Depth Pacific NW Wildfires

5. MODIS AOD: color contours WF_ABBA Fire pixels: purple dots www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov MODIS AOD Trajectory Initialization, Sept. 7, 2003 Elongation of high AOD along trough axis Initialization of Trajectories to predict movement of high AOD Merging high pressure systems

6. MODIS AOD: color contours WF_ABBA Fire pixels: purple dots www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov 24hr Trajectory Forecast with current MODIS AOD September 8, 2003 Development of high pressure systems over Canada and central US

7. MODIS AOD: color contours WF_ABBA Fire pixels: purple dots www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov Elevated AOD entrained into merged high pressure system 48hr Trajectory Forecast with current MODIS AOD September 9, 2003

8. MODIS AOD Sep. 08

10. http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/spb/aq/index.php?plot_type=tutorial IDEA Tutorials http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/spb/aq/ IDEA Homepage