2. Beyond the Current Debate about Broadband J. Gary Augustson, Ron Hutchins, Tim Lance, Mike Roberts

3. Prologue Incredible history Development spiral

5. The Role of the R&E Network Seminal shift from service- to facility-based networking Attributes of network: » Light based, as minimum unit » Secure » Portable » Private » Organic

6. Extensibility and Scalability – Drivers for Deployment The -pool Growing intelligence at the edge Intelligence within and roaming First mile The λ-pool is almost here:

10. Possible CA*net 4 Topology January 1, 2002 Halifax Edmonton Seattle Vancouver Winnipeg Quebec City Montreal Ottawa Chicago Halifax New York Regina Fredericton Charlottetown Victoria Windsor London Sudbury Thunder Bay Saskatoon Kamloops Buffalo Spokane Minneapolis Albany St. John's Calgary Toronto Prince George Hamilton Kingston CA*net 4 Node Possible Future Breakout Possible Future link or Option

11. Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber 5,207 miles 11,000 miles A. B. A. Starting footprint. B. Multi-Loop core for owned fiber R&E net? 7-28-02

12. Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber - Sample Alternatives 9,342 miles 10,696 miles C.D. F.E. C. ‘A.’ stepwise evolution with NY & Atlanta segments.D. Double Loop NLR core interim step alternative E. Triple Loop core with NY/Boston segment.F. Triple Loop core plus sample regional access loops. 7-28-02

13. CA*net 4 Possible Architecture Vancouver Calgary Regina Winnipeg Ottawa Montreal Toronto Halifax St. John’s Fredericton Charlottetown Chicago Seattle New York Europe Customer controlled optical switches Layer 3 aggregation service Optional Service Available to any GigaPOP Large channel WDM system

14. Intelligence at the edge - CANARIE Customer ISP AS 1 AS 2 AS 3 AS 1 AS 4 BGP Peering is done at each switch Customer controls wavelength and ports on switch. Customer sets up and tears down wavelength Central AS disappears as customers can directly peer with each other and exchange wavelength

15. Manhattan Project – Phase 1

16. Deployment and Sustainability – Political, Social, Financial Maintaining broad discussion necessitates discipline Involving government directly to inform and support deployment and sustainability Engaging the commercial sector Working for the common good Assuring R&E will be the anchor tenant

17. Policy Issues Security

20. Policy Issues Security Portability Privacy and Trust Configuring the Network/Network User Organic Network and Government

21. A Possible Future Path 2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone 2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials

22. A Possible Future Path 2005. Multi-strand, multi-path backbone completed, first “controlled roaming”, 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR

23. A Possible Future Path 2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election

24. A Possible Set of Consequences 2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone 2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials Inter-metro commercial -services available. Competitive inter-metro -services available, first regional -services available, IBM, Motorola, HP join DL consortium with Ivies, Big 10, PAC 8, NSF expands cave research to true “virtual classroom”, NSF-NOAA funding for national NEXRAD research

25. A Possible Set of Consequences 2005.Multi-strand, multipath backbone completed, first “controlled roaming” 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR Corporate fiber added to R&E for broad “virtual classroom” and corporate – academe cooperation (Project Thinking CAP), critical need leads to White House campaign for “Rural Datafication Act” (RDA), hardened NEXRAD tool directly linked to “intelligent agents” at air traffic control

26. A Possible Set of Consequences 2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election RDA and Thinking CAP eases K-12 teacher retirement crisis, with low cost, accessible “Network Books” leads to sharp increase in US “TIMMS” scores, “open-electorate forum” makes qualitative changes in the national election, competitive pricing makes global broadband seem achievable, RDA drives broadband to homes.

27. or maybe …

28. Another Set of Consequences 2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone 2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials RBOCS press for Internet taxation, LEC status for regionals RBOC lobbying succeeds, some Regionals sell assets, NSF sharply trims network money (urges privatizing), NEXRAD sites upgraded, still without connectivity, universities scale back DL initiatives, IBM, Intel, Motorola, HP establish “corporate university”

29. Another Set of Consequences 2005.Multi-strand, multipath backbone completed, first “controlled roaming” 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR Strengthened DMCA sharply curtails Internet publishing, recording industry suits close several major ISPs, tax legislation supports for rural commercial data services, Internet radar data widely blamed in weather related plane crash, rural schools start to curtail math/science offerings

30. Another Set of Consequences 2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election Plane crash controversy spills over into elections, suits bring 41 states to return to paper ballots (Consortium for Healthy, Accountable Democracy – Project CHAD), Elsevier’s and Springer’s DMCA-based suits force creation of Internet book services, rural libraries cut new purchases, most regionals divest of assets, US “TIMMS” scores drop.

31. It’s up to us! Thank You http://www.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/NET0202.pdf