1. November 27 th, 2012 METEO 415 ALLEGRETTI LUTZ MAZZENGA

2. Groton, CT

3. Population: 40,115 (2010) Home of the Naval Sub Base New London Home of the Electric Boat Corp. which is a major contractor of the United States Navy Home to the pharmaceutical company Pfizer

4. KGON 271756Z 36007KT 4SM -RA BR SCT005 OVC021 03/02 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP250 P0001 60003 T00280022 10039 20022 58014= KGON 271756Z 36007KT 4SM -RA BR SCT005 OVC021 03/02 A3027= KGON 271856Z 02005KT 4SM -RA BR BKN021 BKN027 OVC032 03/02 A3025 RMK AO2 SLP241 P0000 T00280022= KGON 271856Z 02005KT 4SM -RA BR BKN021 BKN027 OVC032 03/02 A3025= KGON 271956Z 02008KT 4SM -RA BR FEW021 BKN028 OVC036 02/02 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP237 P0000 T00220017 $= KGON 271956Z 02008KT 4SM -RA BR FEW021 BKN028 OVC036 02/02 A3023= KGON 272013Z 02006KT 4SM -RA BR FEW023 BKN030 OVC036 02/02 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 272013Z 02006KT 4SM -RA BR FEW023 BKN030 OVC036 02/02 A3023= KGON 272019Z 01006KT 5SM -RA BR FEW006 BKN028 OVC035 02/02 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 272019Z 01006KT 5SM -RA BR FEW006 BKN028 OVC035 02/02 A3023= KGON 272056Z 02007KT 4SM -RA BR FEW007 OVC021 02/02 A3024 RMK AO2 SLP239 P0000 60000 T00220022 55011 $= KGON 272056Z 02007KT 4SM -RA BR FEW007 OVC021 02/02 A3024= KGON 272156Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR OVC023 02/02 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP234 P0000 T00170017 $= KGON 272156Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR OVC023 02/02 A3022= KGON 272256Z 02008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC027 02/01 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP237 P0000 T00170011 $= KGON 272256Z 02008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC027 02/01 A3023= KGON 272305Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT024 OVC030 02/01 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 272305Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT024 OVC030 02/01 A3023= KGON 272314Z 01008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC028 02/01 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 272314Z 01008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC028 02/01 A3023= KGON 272332Z 02007KT 6SM -RA BR OVC030 02/01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 272332Z 02007KT 6SM -RA BR OVC030 02/01 A3022= KGON 272356Z 02008KT 6SM -RA BR OVC030 02/01 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP231 P0000 60000 T00170006 10028 20017 58007 $= OBSERVATIONS

5. KGON 280038Z 02007KT 4SM -SN BR OVC028 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAE34SNB34 P0000 $= KGON 280038Z 02007KT 4SM -SN BR OVC028 01/01 A3022= KGON 280056Z 01007KT 3SM -SN BR OVC026 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAE34SNB34 SLP232 P0000 T00110011 $= KGON 280101Z 01007KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC026 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 280101Z 01007KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC026 01/01 A3022= KGON 280056Z 01007KT 3SM -SN BR OVC026 01/01 A3022= KGON 280140Z 01006KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN019 OVC025 01/M01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 280140Z 01006KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN019 OVC025 01/M01 A3022= KGON 280151Z 36005KT 2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $= KGON 280151Z 36005KT 2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022= KGON 280156Z 36006KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP234 P0000 T00060006 $= KGON 280156Z 36006KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022= KGON 280205Z 36006KT 4SM -RASN BR FEW006 BKN023 OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAB0158 P0000 $= KGON 280205Z 36006KT 4SM -RASN BR FEW006 BKN023 OVC035 01/01 A3022= KGON 280218Z 36006KT 3SM -RASN BR OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAB0158 P0000 $= KGON 280218Z 36006KT 3SM -RASN BR OVC035 01/01 A3022= KGON 280256Z 01008KT 4SM FEW018 BKN039 OVC048 01/01 A3021 RMK AO2 RAB0158E49SNE49 SLP229 P0000 60000 T00110011 58002 $= KGON 280256Z 01008KT 4SM FEW018 BKN039 OVC048 01/01 A3021= KGON 280307Z 01006KT 5SM FEW007 BKN041 OVC050 01/01 A3021 RMK AO2 $= KGON 280307Z 01006KT 5SM FEW007 BKN041 OVC050 01/01 A3021= KGON 280356Z AUTO 01007KT 5SM BKN049 OVC070 01/01 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP226T00110011 $= KGON 280356Z AUTO 01007KT 5SM BKN049 OVC070 01/01 A3020= KGON 280456Z AUTO 36010KT 5SM FEW008 BKN043 OVC065 01/01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP220 T00110006 400391033 $= KGON 280456Z AUTO 36010KT 5SM FEW008 BKN043 OVC065 01/01 A3018= KGON 280556Z AUTO 02007KT 7SM BKN045 OVC065 01/01 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP210 60000 T00110011 10017 20006 58019 $= OBSERVATIONS

6. KGON 280556Z AUTO 02007KT 7SM BKN045 OVC065 01/01 A3015= KGON 280656Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00110006 $= KGON 280656Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3017= KGON 280756Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/00 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP209 T00110000 $= KGON 280756Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/00 A3015= KGON 280856Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP206 T00110006 58004 $= KGON 280856Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3014= KGON 280956Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP218 T00110006 $= KGON 280956Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3018= KGON 281056Z AUTO 36012KT 7SM OVC049 01/M06 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP211 T00111056 $= KGON 281056Z AUTO 36012KT 7SM OVC049 01/M06 A3016= KGON 281156Z 36007G16KT 7SM OVC055 01/M01 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 70003 T00111006 10011 20011 51012 $= KGON 281156Z 36007G16KT 7SM OVC055 01/M01 A3017= KGON 281256Z 35010KT 7SM OVC055 02/M01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP220 T00171006 $= KGON 281256Z 35010KT 7SM OVC055 02/M01 A3018= KGON 281356Z 36010KT 7SM BKN037 OVC055 02/M01 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00171006 $= KGON 281356Z 36010KT 7SM BKN037 OVC055 02/M01 A3017= KGON 281456Z 36014KT 10SM SCT037 OVC055 02/M01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP220 T00221011 53003 $= KGON 281456Z 36014KT 10SM SCT037 OVC055 02/M01 A3018= KGON 281556Z 35011KT 9SM BKN042 OVC055 02/M02 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00221022 $= KGON 281556Z 35011KT 9SM BKN042 OVC055 02/M02 A3017= KGON 281656Z 02008KT 10SM CLR 04/M02 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP211 T00441017 $= KGON 281656Z 02008KT 10SM CLR 04/M02 A3016= KGON 281756Z 35009KT 10SM CLR 06/M02 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP204 T00561022 10056 2001158016 $= KGON 281756Z 35009KT 10SM CLR 06/M02 A3014 OBSERVATIONS

8. Radars For 18z and 6z 18z6z

9. 18Z SURFACE MAP

10. Verifications

11. Survey Scores

12. Career Scores

13. Up Close And Personal

14. Lessons Learned 0 Be skeptical of observations that don’t sound right. Always check surrounding observations. 0 Keep in mind that precipitation in anafronts is most often behind the cold front. 0 Clouds keep temperatures higher than expected at night!

15. November 27 th, 2012 METEO 415 ALLEGRETTI LUTZ MAZZENGA

16. Asheville, NC

17. Largest City in Western North Carolina Population: 83,393 (2010) Home to the NCDC (National Climate Data Center) Home to the Biltmore House which is the largest house in America

18. KAVL 271754Z 35013G21KT 10SM OVC011 10/06 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP194 60000 T01000061 10106 20061 58004= KAVL 271754Z 35013G21KT 10SM OVC011 10/06 A3013= KAVL 271854Z 34013G20KT 10SM OVC015 09/06 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP195 T00940056= KAVL 271854Z 34013G20KT 10SM OVC015 09/06 A3012= KAVL 271954Z 34012KT 10SM OVC017 09/05 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP195 T00890050= KAVL 271954Z 34012KT 10SM OVC017 09/05 A3012= KAVL 272054Z 35012G17KT 10SM OVC021 09/05 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP198 T00890050 53001= KAVL 272054Z 35012G17KT 10SM OVC021 09/05 A3013= KAVL 272154Z 35009KT 10SM OVC023 08/04 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP205 T00780044= KAVL 272154Z 35009KT 10SM OVC023 08/04 A3014= KAVL 272254Z 35008KT 10SM BKN021 07/04 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP211 T00720039= KAVL 272254Z 35008KT 10SM BKN021 07/04 A3016= KAVL 272317Z 36006KT 10SM FEW021 BKN039 07/04 A3016 RMK AO2= KAVL 272317Z 36006KT 10SM FEW021 BKN039 07/04 A3016= KAVL 272354Z 34012KT 10SM OVC037 07/04 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00670039 10100 20067 53015= KAVL 280054Z 34009KT 10SM FEW022 SCT037 06/04 A3019 RMK AO2 SLP223 T00610039= KAVL 280054Z 34009KT 10SM FEW022 SCT037 06/04 A3019= KAVL 280152Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020 RMK AO2= KAVL 280152Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020= KAVL 280154Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP225 T00610039= KAVL 280154Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020= KAVL 280254Z 35009KT 10SM BKN025 OVC032 07/04 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP227 T00670039 53006= OBSERVATIONS

19. KAVL 280254Z 35009KT 10SM BKN025 OVC032 07/04 A3021= KAVL 280308Z 34009KT 10SM FEW023 OVC032 06/03 A3021 RMK AO2= KAVL 280308Z 34009KT 10SM FEW023 OVC032 06/03 A3021= KAVL 280341Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM OVC028 06/03 A3021 RMK AO2= KAVL 280341Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM OVC028 06/03 A3021= KAVL 280354Z AUTO 34012KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP227 T00610033= KAVL 280354Z AUTO 34012KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3021= KAVL 280454Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP231 T00610028 401110056= KAVL 280454Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3022= KAVL 280529Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC030 06/02 A3023 RMK AO2= KAVL 280529Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC030 06/02 A3023= KAVL 280554Z AUTO 35007KT 10SM OVC032 06/02 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP230 T00560022 10067 20056 50002= KAVL 280554Z AUTO 35007KT 10SM OVC032 06/02 A3022= KAVL 280654Z AUTO 36005KT 10SM OVC030 05/02 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP228 T00500017= KAVL 280654Z AUTO 36005KT 10SM OVC030 05/02 A3021= KAVL 280754Z AUTO 34005KT 10SM CLR 04/01 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP234 T00390011= KAVL 280754Z AUTO 34005KT 10SM CLR 04/01 A3022= KAVL 280854Z AUTO 36003KT 10SM CLR 03/01 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP238 T00330011 53004= KAVL 280854Z AUTO 36003KT 10SM CLR 03/01 A3023= KAVL 280954Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3025 RMK AO2 SLP247 T00280000= KAVL 280954Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3025= KAVL 281054Z AUTO 35010KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP252 T00280000= KAVL 281054Z AUTO 35010KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3027= OBSERVATIONS

20. KAVL 281116Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM BKN020 03/00 A3028 RMK AO2= KAVL 281116Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM BKN020 03/00 A3028= KAVL 281154Z 34007KT 10SM OVC020 03/M01 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP259 T00281006 10056 20022 51018= KAVL 281154Z 34007KT 10SM OVC020 03/M01 A3029= KAVL 281254Z 35006KT 10SM OVC022 02/M01 A3031 RMK AO2 SLP267 T00221006= KAVL 281254Z 35006KT 10SM OVC022 02/M01 A3031= KAVL 281354Z 34012KT 10SM SCT022 04/M01 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP273 T00391006= KAVL 281354Z 34012KT 10SM SCT022 04/M01 A3033= KAVL 281454Z 34010KT 10SM FEW021 06/M01 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP279 T00561011 53020= KAVL 281454Z 34010KT 10SM FEW021 06/M01 A3035= KAVL 281554Z 33015G18KT 10SM CLR 07/M01 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP281 T00671011= KAVL 281554Z 33015G18KT 10SM CLR 07/M01 A3036= KAVL 281654Z 34009G15KT 10SM CLR 08/M02 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP276 T00781022= KAVL 281654Z 34009G15KT 10SM CLR 08/M02 A3035= KAVL 281754Z 35010KT 10SM CLR 09/M04 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP269 T00891044 10089 2002 58007= KAVL 281754Z 35010KT 10SM CLR 09/M04 A3033= OBSERVATIONS

21. Surface Map at 17z

22. Satellite Imagery at 18z

23. Verifications

24. Career Scores

25. Up Close And Personal

26. Lessons Learned 0 A front moving through the region does not necessarily guarantee rain. 0 Downsloping from mountains causes the “State College effect” creating stability and inhibiting the potential for convective and stratiform precipitation.