1. Pennsylvania Environmental Council An Overview May 8, 2007

2. Mission The Pennsylvania Environmental Council protects and restores the natural and built environments through innovation, collaboration, education and advocacy. PEC believes in the value of partnerships with the private sector, government, communities and individuals to improve the quality of life for all Pennsylvanians. The Pennsylvania Environmental Council protects and restores the natural and built environments through innovation, collaboration, education and advocacy. PEC believes in the value of partnerships with the private sector, government, communities and individuals to improve the quality of life for all Pennsylvanians.

3. PEC in a Snapshot Diverse Board of Directors Diverse Board of Directors Statewide staff of 25 Statewide staff of 25 Five offices and 3 Centers of Excellence Five offices and 3 Centers of Excellence

4. PEC Tools and Expertise Four decades of proven success Four decades of proven success A state-wide leader and innovator A state-wide leader and innovator Policy development & AdvocacyPolicy development & Advocacy Local and regional planningLocal and regional planning Meeting challenges through collaborationMeeting challenges through collaboration Environmental innovationEnvironmental innovation

5. PEC Works Throughout State

6. Use of Market Mechanisms

7. PA Green Investment Strategy

8. PEC Work on Climate Change

9. Work in PA and Elsewhere PECEESI/CCS On the ground projects PA GHG Inventory & Baseline Forecasts DCNR Carbon Management Project Work in AZ & NM completed NC, SC, MT, & VT, PA Climate Change Roadmap 5 other states to begin

10. Scientific Consensus on Anthropogenic Impacts Consensus: reports by IPCC and the US National Academy of Sciences Consensus: reports by IPCC and the US National Academy of Sciences Climate models: global avg. temp increase by 3-10 degrees by 2100 Climate models: global avg. temp increase by 3-10 degrees by 2100 Recent projections by the UCS Recent projections by the UCS

11. Impact on Pennsylvania Habitats

12. How hot will summers “feel” in Pennsylvania? Summer Heat Index Source: NECIA / UCS (see: www.climatechoices.org/ne/)www.climatechoices.org/ne/

13. Changing Face of Winter Source: NECIA / UCS (see: www.climatechoices.org/ne/)www.climatechoices.org/ne/

14. Droughts Flash Floods Flash Floods Short-term drought (1-3 months) Source: NECIA / UCS (see: www.climatechoices.org/ne/)www.climatechoices.org/ne/

15. Heat Waves and Temperature Extremes: SE PA

16. PA Climate Change Roadmap Ad hoc stakeholder 2 year process Ad hoc stakeholder 2 year process Goals: Goals: PA GHG emissions inventory and baseline forecastsPA GHG emissions inventory and baseline forecasts Build consensus on policy recommendations to reduce those emissionsBuild consensus on policy recommendations to reduce those emissions Recommend a “Roadmap” for state officials with a goal for 2025Recommend a “Roadmap” for state officials with a goal for 2025

17. Greenhouse Gas Examples GHG GHG Impact Sources CO2 80% of total 1 Fossil Fuels and other sources N2O23xAgriculture CH4296x Natural Gas, coal, landfills HFCs/PFCs/SFs 90x – 10,000 Fire Suppressants and solvents

18. PA Climate Change Roadmap Working Group NGOs: Rodale Institute Rodale Institute PennFuture PennFuture PA Horticultural Society PA Horticultural Society PennEnvironment PennEnvironment Clean Air Council Clean Air Council The Nature Conservancy The Nature Conservancy Sustainable Development Fund Sustainable Development FundUtilities: Exelon Corp. Exelon Corp. PPL PPLBusiness: Blue Hill Capital Blue Hill Capital Air Products & Chemicals Air Products & Chemicals O’Brien & Gere O’Brien & Gere PA DEP PA DCNR

19. Emission Categories residentialcommercialindustrial Energy generationAgriculture/forestry Land Use/ Transportation

20. PA GHG Inventory and Reference Case Projections In 2000, PA emitted 305 MMtCO2e In 2000, PA emitted 305 MMtCO2e PA generates 1 % of the worldwide greenhouse gases PA generates 1 % of the worldwide greenhouse gases PA is listed as number three in the US (behind TX and CA) PA is listed as number three in the US (behind TX and CA) PA emissions put us in the same category as top 25 countries in world PA emissions put us in the same category as top 25 countries in world

21. 2000 GHG Emissions

22. Category US % PA % Electricity3237 Transportation2623 Non-Fossil Fuel use Industry 1415 Res/Commercial912 Waste Indst 42 Agriculture72 Fossil Fuel Industry 36 Industr Process 53

23. Types of GHG Emissions in PA 89% - CO2 fossil fuels from power plants, vehicles, buildings and industry 89% - CO2 fossil fuels from power plants, vehicles, buildings and industry 7% - CH4 from fossil fuel combustion, oil and gas prod., coal mines, agriculture, waste management 7% - CH4 from fossil fuel combustion, oil and gas prod., coal mines, agriculture, waste management 4% - N20 from industrial processes and agricultural soils. 4% - N20 from industrial processes and agricultural soils.

24. Gross GHG Emissions by Sector, 1990-2025: Historical and Projected

25. PA GHG Reference Case Projections 2010 (current rate of growth) = 335 MMtCO2e/year 2010 (current rate of growth) = 335 MMtCO2e/year 2025 (current rate of growth) = 383 MMtCO2e/year 2025 (current rate of growth) = 383 MMtCO2e/year Goal: 25% below 2000 emissions of 305 MMtCO2e = 230 MMtCO2e Goal: 25% below 2000 emissions of 305 MMtCO2e = 230 MMtCO2e To reach goal must reduce emissions by 153 MMtCO2e based on current projected growth To reach goal must reduce emissions by 153 MMtCO2e based on current projected growth

26. Policy Recommendations: Energy Supply Add Tier 3 energy efficiency component Increase Tier I AEPS to 25% Create Public Benefit Fund Update Efficiency Standards Carbon offset Coal bed methane

27. Residential, Commercial & Industrial Benefit fundNew Building Standards Retrofit Buildings Biomass & biofuelMethane collectionEducation

28. Transportation & Land Use Cellulosic EthanolTire Efficiency Smart Growth Reform CommissionClean vehicles Truck idling

29. Agriculture, Forestry and Geology No-till farming and other bmps AfforestationSequestration

30. Closing the Gap Action CO2e reduction MMt Running Total MMt AEPS - 7 Forests-14-21 Clean Cars -14-35 25% Biofuels -12-47 Agriculture-11-58 AEPS (Tier 1 to 25%) -18-76 Afforestation - 4 -80

31. Need to consider Carbon Sequestration Carbon Sequestration National cap and trade program National cap and trade program Governor needs to look at how we can close the gap Governor needs to look at how we can close the gap “ No state or region has a dominant position in any cleantech segment yet. And the global pool of cleantech venture capital is not a zero-sum game – promising companies will always attract new capital. But the seeds are being laid now to determine which state’s companies will get the lion’s share of investment, and which states will call the leaders of the cleantech industry their own. The states that can best woo entrepreneurs and investors now will have a chance to create self-perpetuating cleantech clusters that drive dynamic economic growth while also improving the environment...”

32. www.pecpa.org The Pennsylvania Environmental Council protects and restores the natural and built environments through innovation, collaboration, education and advocacy. PEC believes in the value of partnerships with the private sector, government, communities and individuals to improve the quality of life for all Pennsylvanians.