1. 1 2008 EEA/JRC/WHO report on impacts of climate change in Europe 3 rd Advisory Group meeting Copenhagen, 23 April 2008 Introductory chapters André Jol, EEA

2. 2 Main aim of introductory chapters Policy framework, objectives and outline of the report (ch. 1) Climate change science (ch. 2) Observed climate change (intro) (ch. 3) Projected climate change (intro), risks and the EU long term target

3. 3 Climate change “science” (Ch.2) Text from IPCC and other sources Some graphs from IPCC, some “own” graphs Figure 2.1 Incoming sunlight is partly reflected by aerosols and clouds in the atmosphere and by the surface of the Earth. Figure 2.2 Heat radiating from the Earths surface in the form of infra-red radiation will be partly absorbed by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Figure 2.3 When the incoming radiation equals the outgoing radiation for several hundreds of years, the Earth is will obtain a constant mean temperature

4. 4

5. 5 Observed climate change and cascade of effects (Ch.3) Text from IPCC and other sources Map adapted from IPCC, one “own” figure on cascading effects

6. 6 Observed climate change and cascade of effects (Ch.3)

7. 7 EU 2° C objective Projected climate change, risks, EU target (Ch.4)

8. 8 Box 4.1 The Emissions Scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) Box 4.2 European climate change impacts and adaptation research Box 4.3 What are the risks of non-linear climate change? Box 4.4 Limiting global temperature-rise to 2°C above pre- industrial level