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Economic Conditions in the Sacramento Region ULI Real Estate Outlook 2013 December 6, 2012 Ryan Sharp, CEcD CSER Director
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ECONOMIC & DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILES SITE SELECTION RESEARCH & INFORMATION RESEARCH VALIDATION & PEER REVIEW ECONOMIC & TAX IMPACT STUDIES INDUSTRY STUDIES WORKFORCE STUDIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES MARKET & FEASIBILITY ANALYSES POLICY ANALYSIS & PROGRAM EVALUATION SUPPORT INFORMATION EVALUATION CONSULTATION CORE SKILLS: Economic & demographic analysis & forecasting Regional economics & economic development practices Market & feasibility analysis Econometric & input-output modeling Social science research & survey design Strategic planning & collaborative processes Performance measurement Geographic Information Systems
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Current Conditions
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Positive job growth for six months
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Most large sectors added jobs in past year
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Substantial gains in four major sectors
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Total employment around year 2001 levels
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Unemployment rate above statewide average
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Job growth ranks in middle of state regions
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Sacramento among fastest-growing large metro areas nationally
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Moderate but declining competitive position
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Economic Outlook
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Leading indicators improving for nation and state
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Stable growth expected for state
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Regional business sentiment tapering off
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Job growth expected to improve
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Only four major sectors with negative job growth forecast
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Notable declines in unemployment anticipated
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Regional Strategic Planning nexteconomycapitalregion.org
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Leaders from Valley Vision, the Metro Chamber, SACTO, and SARTA sparked Next Economy in response to the severe regional recession Objective is to identify catalytic strategies along with specific actions and champions to accelerate new job creation, investment, and innovation The core research agenda and related findings drove the collaborative planning process Collaborative structure includes a leadership group, a steering committee, various work groups, three regional forums, and targeted outreach Tied into California Economic Summit to leverage regions in reigniting the state’s economy (caeconomy.org) PROJECT BACKGROUND
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PROSPERITY PLAN STRUCTURE Call to ActionUnified VisionGoalsObjectivesStrategies Actions / TacticsChampionsPerformance Measures SHIFTING TO ACTION
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UNIFIED VISION Within five years the Capital Region will be widely regarded as a: Sought-after place for business growth, investment, and entrepreneurship Desirable place for a quality workforce and young professionals to live, study, work, and play Diverse economy renowned for its core business clusters and driven in large part by export activity
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GOALS Foster a strong innovation environment Amplify the Region’s global market transactions Diversify the economy through growth and support of core business clusters Grow and maintain a world-class talent base Improve the regional business climate for economic growth
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CORE BUSINESS CLUSTERS 37,000 jobs $3.5 billion output Agriculture & Food 11,000 jobs $1.7 billion output Advanced Manufacturing 3,000 jobs $850 million output Clean Energy Technology 17,000 jobs $1.1 billion output Education & Knowledge Creation 31,000 jobs $9.7 billion output Information & Communications Technology 99,000 jobs $8.6 billion output Life Sciences & Health Services
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Thank You! Regional economic conditions have improved Moderate competitive position Forecast shows uptick in next 12 months Next Economy aimed at accelerating job growth and investment
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