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Strategy For The 21 st Century Prometheus Process venturist ® incorporated Prometheus Process How To Think In Revolutionary Terms An American Military.

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Presentation on theme: "Strategy For The 21 st Century Prometheus Process venturist ® incorporated Prometheus Process How To Think In Revolutionary Terms An American Military."— Presentation transcript:

1 Strategy For The 21 st Century Prometheus Process venturist ® incorporated Prometheus Process How To Think In Revolutionary Terms An American Military Hypothetical Example

2 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Transformation Transformation Should Mean Revolution Which Means At Least One Order Of Magnitude Change In Outcomes –Anything Less Is Marginal, Is Not Transformation, And Is Of Transient Value In A Non-Static World Transformation Takes Place In Concepts And Technology –Ideally In Both At Same Time Transformation Should Be Strategic –For The Transforming State And For Itself

3 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Revolutionary Times Velocity of Information Dissemination Time Everyone Knows Everything—No Secrets Information Life Span Time Allowed To Win A War Product Cycle Times Difficulty of Entry

4 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Impact of New Technology Impact Years 010100 Old Era: Very Slow Impact, Slow Fade New Era: Rapid Impact, Rapid Fade Intel Product Model

5 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Twenty Year Weapon System (Concept to Field) Technology Growth 10,000X 1000X 100X 10X 510 Time In Years 1520 Technology Growth

6 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Absolute Measurement IRS Phone-In Service Courtesy 1992 Motorola Presentation Average Company Restaurant Bills Doctor RX Writing Order Write-Up Journal Vouchers Wire Transfers Payroll Processing Purchased Merchandise Lot Reject Rate Airline Baggage Handling Best In Class

7 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Cost of Operations Enemy Has Time To React Enemy Counter-Offensive Enemy Begins To Acquire Allies Enemy Employs Special Weapons World Opinion Shifts Domestic Support Wanes Time To Attack Enemy Centers of Gravity Very ShortVery Long Low High Likelihood of Achieving Objectives Time Value of Action War Serial Domain Parallel Domain PsPs Theoretical Perfect Plan, Highly Parallel, No Enemy Reaction

8 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX US Military Future Picture By 2013, The United States Military Will Have –An Affordable Force Structure Able To Win Wars Quickly And Certainly With Low US Casualties, Low Enemy Casualties, Reversible Paralysis, And Without Dependence On Foreign Bases –A Force Structure Ten Times—One Order Of Magnitude—More Capable Than That Of 2003

9 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX US Military Future Picture Measures Of Merit Affordable = < 3% of US GDP Quick = < 24 Hours From Cold Start Certainty = No Existing Or Projected Defenses Against US Capability Low US Casualties = 0 Low Unplanned Enemy Casualties = 0 Reversible Paralysis = Desired Functions Restored Within 24 Hours Of War Cessation No Foreign Bases = All Operations Conducted Without Use Of Foreign Owned Or Controlled Bases For Combat Or Support 10X=Measure Of Effectiveness Against An Opponent, Not Numbers Of Machines Or People

10 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Transformation Centers Of Gravity Concepts Of Operation Use Of Time Precision Of Impact And Effect Velocity To Engagement Employment Velocity Visibility Of Own Weapon Systems Weapons System Range And Support Needs Visibility Of Opponent Offensive And Defensive Modalities Productivity Pricing Systems And Operations Measuring War Acquisition System Political Will And Decision

11 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Desired Precision of Effect & Impact Precision Of Impact And Effect PSPS Degree of Precision (log scale) Pre-Gulf I Precision of Impact And Effect Current Precision of Effect Current Precision of Impact

12 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Velocity To Engagement (Deployment To Employment Speed) PSPS Speed 2015 Pre-Gulf I 2005

13 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Obstacles To Real Transformation Focus On Marginal Change Replacement Mentality Tradition, Doctrine, Culture, And Habit “No Mistake” Laws, Regulations, And Rules Industry Profitability Poor Customers Tough Concepts To Transform: Measures Of Merit, Acquisition Major Obstacles Are In Human Nature—Not In Technology

14 Strategy For The 21 st Century venturist ® incorporated Copyright Venturist®, Inc. 2001-2006 – All Rights Reserved Licensed To Advanced Micro Devices, Sunnyvale, CA and Austin, TX Conclusion Real Transformation Key To Future Peace And Prosperity –Can Be Done At Low Cost Will Provide Extraordinary Geopolitical And Economic Advantages US Must Drive Process--With Significant Opportunity For Others Real Transformation Is A Necessity

15 Strategy For The 21 st Century Prometheus Process venturist ® incorporated American Military Transformation Insights And Discussion


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