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Www.iowabeefcenter.org Adjusting to an Ethanol World.

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Presentation on theme: "Www.iowabeefcenter.org Adjusting to an Ethanol World."— Presentation transcript:

1 www.iowabeefcenter.org Adjusting to an Ethanol World

2 www.iowabeefcenter.org

3

4 8/30/06

5 www.iowabeefcenter.org Iowa corn processing & ethanol plants, current & planned, 10/26/06 63 Capacity: 129% of 2006 crop

6 www.iowabeefcenter.org 5.5 Bil. Bu. For Ethanol

7 www.iowabeefcenter.org

8 Livestock Marketing Information Center

9 www.iowabeefcenter.org Livestock Marketing Information Center

10 www.iowabeefcenter.org Livestock Marketing Information Center

11 www.iowabeefcenter.org DDGS Production and Usage Potential productionMil Ton 5.5 Billion Bu. Corn46.8 Potential use COF @ 20%7.10 Dairy @ 20%6.13 Hogs @ 15%6.72 Total19.95 Excess for export or use26-27

12 www.iowabeefcenter.org Situation More ethanol and more DGS Higher corn prices and more corn acres Higher land prices Lower calf and yearling prices Lighter carcasses and fewer Choice

13 www.iowabeefcenter.org Strengths:Weaknesses: Opportunities: Threats: External Factors Internal Factors

14 www.iowabeefcenter.org Strengths: Using MIG Close to coproduct Own land Produce corn High equity position Weaknesses: Nearing retirement Sell feeder cattle No facilities or equipment to background or feed coproduct Opportunities: Increasing land prices DGS nearby More corn stalks available Limited herd expansion or contraction Threats: Higher corn prices Lower calf prices Fewer cows will lead to less infrastructure External Factors Internal Factors Case 1

15 www.iowabeefcenter.org Strengths: Young, long horizon Good nutrition and management skills Facilities and equipment to background and/or feed Packers nearby Weaknesses: High debt level Rent most of pasture Limited labor available Opportunities: DGS nearby More corn stalks available Limited herd expansion or contraction Threats: Higher rental rates Losing pasture to crop production Lower calf prices Fewer cows will lead to less infrastructure External Factors Internal Factors Case 2

16 www.iowabeefcenter.org Strategies Adopt management intensive grazing Utilize DGS and/or CDS on pasture or in winter feed Convert hay to pasture and use aftermath with DGS/CDS for winter feed Early wean and/or creep feed to run more cows on same acres. Improve grading


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