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EIA AEO Oil Price/Consumption Trajectories A.J. Simon, LLNL DRAFT August 18, 2010.

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1 EIA AEO Oil Price/Consumption Trajectories A.J. Simon, LLNL DRAFT August 18, 2010

2 Explanatory Notes These slides cover 7 (seven) AEO “side cases” that A.J. Simon feels might serve as reference cases for the NPC Study: – Reference Case – Integrated High Technology – Integrated Low Technology – High Oil Price – Low Oil Price – Extended Policies – No GHG Concerns The information on the last three slides is exactly the same as on the preceding slide – only each of the last slides contains a subset of the initial 7 cases. The “time series” of oil prices and consumption starts at the lower left with the predicted price/consumption point in 2011 and extends outward (depending on the scenario) to 2035.

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