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AltaViz – GDOT’s Alternative Visualization Analysis Tool for the Atlanta Managed Lane System Plan February 25, 2011 Atlanta Model User Group Meeting Jennifer Zhan, AICP Tom Hutchinson, AICP
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GDOT’s Managed Lane System Plan Respond to transportation needs which have outpaced traditional revenue sources Provide a valuable and reliable mobility option, in spite of congestion Lead and tackle policy and implementation issues Unite managed lane investments into a comprehensive “system plan” framework
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Key Technical Elements Traffic and revenue analysis Conceptual design and cost estimation Financial feasibility analysis
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Traffic and Revenue Analysis Eligibility Policy (Cars vs. Trucks) Occupancy Policy (HOT2+, HOT3+, HOT4+ vs. ETL) Lane Method (Laneage, General Purpose Lane Conversion) Bi-directional vs. Reversible Full Access vs. Optimized Access Financial Policy (Maximum revenue vs. Maximum efficiency)
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Revenue Risk Factors Delayed vs. Base vs. Accelerated Growth Willingness to Pay (Cars): Lower – Base- Higher Willingness to Pay (Trucks): Lower – Base- Higher Alternate/Competing Transportation investments Transit Frequency HOV Formation Rates General Purpose Lane Speed
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Conceptual Design and Cost Estimation Lane Method (Laneage, General Purpose Lane Conversion) Bi-directional vs. Reversible Full Access vs. Optimized Access Barrier vs. Buffer At Grade vs. Elevated ( E/S side vs. W/N side vs. Median) Full Reconstruction vs. Overlay Design Exceptions
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Financial Feasibility Analysis Inputs –Revenue streams –Capital costs for corridors and interchanges Parameters –Capital Structure Type –Financial Term –Opening Year for Traffic –Interest Rate Outputs –Capital distribution –Net Present Value of public sector outflows (GAP) PARAMETERS Bond Rates Internal Rate of Return Financing Term Debt Service Coverage Ratio Senior and Junior Debt Discount Rate PARAMETERS Bond Rates Internal Rate of Return Financing Term Debt Service Coverage Ratio Senior and Junior Debt Discount Rate INPUTS OUTPUTS Net Present Value of Public Sector Outflow (GAP) Capital Distribution Revenue Stream Capital Cost Estimates Revenue Ramp-Up
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Key Drivers and Factors REVENUE DRIVERS HOT2+, HOT3+, HOT4+ vs. ETL vs. METL vs. TOT Maximum revenue vs. Maximum efficiency Reversible vs. Bi-Directional GP Lanes Remain vs. GP Lane Conversion Laneage Full Access vs. Optimized Access REVENUE RISK FACTORS Delayed vs. Base vs. Accelerated Growth Willingness to Pay (Cars): Lower – Base- Higher Willingness to Pay (Trucks): Lower – Base- Higher Transit Frequency Alternate/Competing Transportation investments HOV Formation Rates General Purpose Lane Speed COST DRIVERS System Termini Reversible vs. Bi-Directional At Grade vs. Elevated Elevated: East/South side vs. West/North side vs. Median Laneage Barrier vs. Buffer Full Reconstruction vs. Overlay GP Lanes Remain vs. GP Lane Conversion Full Access vs. Optimized Access Design Exceptions FINANCIAL PARAMETERS Capital Structure Type Financial Term Opening Year for Traffic Interest Rate for current interest bond TIFIA Loan Interest Rate Developer Required IRR Facility Operation and Maintenance Toll Collection Operation and Maintenance > 1,000,000 data points
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AltaViz – Alternative Visualization Analysis Tool Consolidate a wealth of data Efficient communication of results Ability to perform side- by-side comparison of alternatives
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GDOT’s Alternative Visualization Analysis Tool for the Atlanta Managed Lane System Plan Questions?
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