1. Bus Depreciation Forecasting WASBO Workshop May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation

2. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation What’s happening with the depreciation system? The Big Question:

3. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation … but this forecast tool (or one like it) will work regardless. We Don’t Know…

4. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation What happened to the previous Forecast Tool? Answer: That sales tax thing The little Question:

5. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Excel workbooks with cut-and-paste district data entry The Solution:

6. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Depending on your fleet … often within a few dollars (once you know the prices and interest rate) How close is it?

7. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Depending??? what do you mean “depending”

8. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Type A22D buses reflected as A34D (23) Type A22DL buses reflected as A34DL (8) Type A22G buses reflected as A34G (21) Type A22GL buses reflected as A34GL (3) Plus … C77E (4) …. Out of 7800+ Assumptions

9. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Here’s one bus grid Category D84D, September, 2010:

10. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Here’s one year… Detail from Prior Slide

11. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation But we will do the extra work once there’s a budget That’s why there’s assumptions …

12. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Where can you get the files? https://eds.ospi.k12.wa.us/BusDepreciation (public access)

13. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 DistrictFleetForecast.xlsx Open:

14. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Go to the FleetHistory sheet:

15. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 FleetHistory Worksheet

16. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 FleetData20April2011.xlsx Open:

17. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Use the drop down list:

18. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Drag and Copy …

19. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Go Back to DistrictFleetForecast.xlsx

20. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation … and paste…

21. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Go to the Summary sheet:

22. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Check your results:

23. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Compare to the website:

24. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 So, not too bad …

25. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 But what if you see something like this?

26. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation 1.Check your fleet against the assumptions 2.Check for new buses not in FleetData 3.Check for buses not on the website (they don’t show if you have disposed of them) 4.Call for help Tracking Down Problems:

27. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation Your Regional Transportation Coordinator Where do I get help?

28. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 www.k12.wa.us/tranportation Click here

29. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation … but how do I build a forecast scenario with future purchases? So, it worked. That’s nice …

30. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 In DistrictFleetForecast.xlsx Go to the FleetFuture sheet

31. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 One Grid for each year out to 2025 Year in upper left

32. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Enter your proposed bus purchases … by category and expected delivery month

33. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Forecast shows on Summary sheet

34. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Keep Interest Rates and Inflation Adjusted

35. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 Current assumptions on OSPI Bus System web page

36. Bus Depreciation Forecasting May 6, 2011 OSPI Student Transportation That’s it…. Thanks for all you do … Any Questions?