1. 0 CHAPTER 10 Long-Term (Capital Investment) Decisions © 2009 Cengage Learning

2. 1 1 Introduction Capital Investment Decisions Which do I purchase? What is the return on the investment? What are the qualitative costs and benefits? What are the quantitative costs and benefits?

3. 2 2 Focus on Cash Flow Long-term investment decisions require a consideration of the time value of money. The time value of money is based on the concept of a dollar received (paid) today being worth more (less) than a dollar received (paid) in the future.

4. 3 3 Focus on Cash Flow Original investment Repairs and maintenance Extra operating costs Incremental revenues Cost reductions in operating expenses Salvage value Release of working capital at the end What cash flows should I consider??

5. 4 4 Focus on Cash Flow Long-term investment decisions require a consideration of the time value of money. The time value of money is based on the concept that a dollar received today is worth more than a dollar received in the future. Key Concept

6. 5 Discounted Cash Flow Analysis The time value of money is considered in capital investment decisions by using one of two techniques: the net present value (NPV) method or the internal rate of return (IRR) method. Key Concept

7. 6 Net Present Value The cost of capital represents what the firm would have to pay to borrow (issue funds) or raise funds through equity (issue stock) in the financial marketplace. In NPV, the discount rate serves as a hurdle rate or a minimum required rate of return. What do I use for a discount rate?

8. 7 7 Net Present Value If the present value of cash inflows is greater than or equal to the present value of cash outflows (the NPV is greater than or equal to zero), the investment provides a return at least equal to the discount rate (the minimum required rate or return), and the investment is acceptable. Key Concept

9. 8 8 Net Present Value Cost: $50,000 Net increase in cash flows (Revenues- Expenses): $14,000 for six years No salvage value MRR = 12% (use for discount rate) Should B&R purchase a new refrigerated delivery van?

10. 9 9 Net Present Value Cash Flow Initial Investment Annual Cash Income Net Present Value Year Now 1-6 Amount $(50,000) 14,000 12% Factor 1.0000 4.1114 Present Value $(50,000.00) 57,559.60 $7,559.60 Because the NPV is positive, the delivery van should be purchased.

11. 10 Internal Rate of Return The internal rate of return (IRR) is the actual yield or return earned by an investment. The IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV = 0. Key Concept

12. 11 Internal Rate of Return IRR can be found by using a NPV table, financial calculator, or Excel When determining whether to accept a project, you must also consider the impact of uncertainty on the decision Changes in assumptions about future revenues and costs are likely to affect the decision

13. 12 Screening and Preference Decisions Screening decisions involve deciding if an investment meets some predetermined company standard Preference decisions involve choosing among alternatives

14. 13 Screening vs. Preference Decisions Invest in Project Decision on what method to use NPV NO YES IRR IRR > cost of capital NPV>0 Reject Project Reject Project Consider all qualitative factors in the decision

15. 14 Screening and Preference Decisions Profitability Index (PI): Calculated by dividing the present value of the cash flow by the initial investment. A PI greater than 1.0 means that the NPV is positive and the project is acceptable.

16. 15 The Impact of Taxes on Capital Investment Decisions Nonprofit organizations such as hospitals, museums, churches, and other organizations are structured as organizations exempt from federal and state income taxes Profit-making companies must consider the impact of income taxes on capital investment and other management decisions

17. 16 The Impact of Taxes on Capital Investment Decisions Taxes are a major source of cash outflows for many companies and must be taken into consideration in calculations of the time value of money. Key Concept

18. 17 Extended Example Amber Valley Ski Resort is considering installing another chair lift for a new undeveloped area that would expand the amount of area available for skiing. The options are to put in a double, triple, or quadruple chair lift to carry two, three, or four skiers on each chair.

19. 18 The Impact of Uncertainty on Capital Investment Decisions What if the number of skiers did not increase at the rate that was projected? Will the acquisition of the new lift still result in a sufficient return on the investment?

20. 19 The Impact of Uncertainty on Capital Investment Decisions One way to adjust for risk is to increase the cost of capital used in the NPV calculations. How do I try to adjust for uncertainty?

21. 20 Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity Analysis: Used to highlight decisions that may be affected by changes in expected cash flows. Uses what-if analysis to determine how sensitive capital investment decisions are to changes (number of skiers per day).

22. 21 The Impact of the New Manufacturing Environment on Capital Investment Decisions Automating a process is more extensive and expensive than just purchasing a piece of equipment. Other expenses include: Software needed Training of personnel and complementary machines Development of new processes

23. 22 The Impact of the New Manufacturing Environment on Capital Investment Decisions Benefits of automating production processes: Decreased labor costs Increase in the quality of the finished product Increased speed of production process Increased reliability of the finished product An overall reduction in the amount of inventory

24. 23 The Impact of the New Manufacturing Environment on Capital Investment Decisions Analyzing the costs and benefits of investments in automated and computerized design and manufacturing equipment and robotics requires careful consideration of both quantitative and qualitative factors. Key Concept

25. 24 The Payback Method The payback period is the length of time needed for a long-term project to recapture or pay back the initial investment. Payback Period = Original Investment Net Annual Cash Inflows

26. 25 The Payback Method The payback method can be useful as a quick approximation of the discounted cash flow methods when the cash flows follow similar patterns. Key Concept

27. 26 Appendix Time Value of Money and Decision Making Future Value Present Value Annuities

28. 27 Appendix: Time Value of Money and Decision Making The present value of cash flows is the amount of future cash flows discounted to their equivalent worth today. So how do we find the present value? If I receive cash at different times, how do I determine the time value of money?

29. 28 Appendix: Present and Future Value The time value of money is the result of the ability of money to earn interest over time. Present Value is a $1 future cash flow discounted to its equivalent worth today Future Value is what $1 today will be worth in the future, including interest Simple Interest is interest on the invested amount only Compound Interest is interest on the invested amount plus interest on previous interest earned but not withdrawn

30. 29 Appendix: Future Value How much will this $100 be worth three years from now if I invest it at 4%? Year 1 $100 @ 4% $104 Year 2 $104 @4% $108.16 Year 3 $108.16 @ 4% $112.19

31. 30 Appendix: Future Value FV = PV (1 + r) n FV = Future Value PV = The $ Amount r = Interest Rate n = Number of Compounding Periods

32. 31 Appendix: Future Value Future value can be calculated by using: The formula FV tables Financial calculators Spreadsheet software such as Excel

33. 32 Appendix: Present Value If I need $112.19 three years from now, and I can invest at 4%, how much do I have to invest now? Year 3 $112.19 1.04 $108.16 Year 2 $108.16 1.04 $104.00 Year 1 $104.00 1.04 $100.00

34. 33 Appendix: Present Value FV (1+r) n PV = FV = Future Value r = Interest Rate n = Number of Compounding Periods

35. 34 Appendix: Present Value Present value can be calculated using: Formula Tables Financial calculators Spreadsheet software such as Excel

36. 35 Appendix: Annuities An annuity is a series of cash flows of equal amount paid or received at regular intervals Common examples include mortgage and loan payments The present value of an ordinary annuity is the amount invested or borrowed today that will provide for a series of withdrawals or payments of equal amount for a set number of periods