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Where is European Private Equity Heading? - 2005 European Private Equity Statistics Gemma Postlethwaite, Thomson Financial 16 March 2006
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2 Investment Activity Methodology Data collected from GPs via survey questionnaires, response rate 62.3% for 1,450 PE firms Europe is defined as location of the PE fund Fundraising – only formal closings included Investments – based on completion date, only equity value (debt only if provided by PE fund) Divestments – at cost, and a t time of divestment by PE firm
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3 A fund raising all-time record at €60bn Source: EVCA/Thomson Financial/ PricewaterhouseCoopers Sustainable level? 77% of funds raised in 2005 allocated to buyout, vs. 65% in 2004 Banks are back – why? Pension funds invest massively –baby boomers with a pension shortfall US fund raising also a record with $173bn, but second to 2000 European Private Equity Funds Raised
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4 Investments & divestments growing too € billion Source: EVCA/Thomson Financial/ PricewaterhouseCoopers Not too much capital overhang 66% of investments in 2005 related to buyout deals, vs. 70% in 2004
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5 Is there a leverage bubble? Source: Thomson Financial NB: Based on calculated or reported ratios, for transactions were the data was available
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6 Exit prospects look healthy Source: EVCA/Thomson Financial / PricewaterhouseCoopers Divestments – Breakdown by Type M&A Activity, Europe* IPO Activity, Europe* Source: Thomson Financial *Public and private deals
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7 Performance Methodology Data collected from GPs and LPs historically for 1000+ European funds Returns calculated at fund level, and net of management fees and carried interest All calculations done by Thomson based on actual cash flows Pooled IRR: IRR of a group of funds where cash flows have been aggregated together before IRR calculation Investment horizon return: IRR calculated with Net Asset Value as capital outflow at beginning of period, Net Asset Value at end of period, and actual cash flow in between DPI: Distribution (in cash or stock) divided by Paid-In capital (‘realised’ ratio) RVPI: Residual Value divided by Paid-In capital (‘unrealised’ ratio) TVPI: Total Value divided by Paid-In, sum of DPI and RVPI
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8 Investment Benchmarks European Sample
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9 European Private Equity Funds Formed 1980-2005 Net IRRs to Investors, Investment Horizon Return as of 31-Dec-2005 Stage1 YR3 YR5 YR10 YR20 YR All Venture25.40.6-4.05.35.7 Buyouts20.97.95.012.612.4 Generalist51.21.2-4.89.78.6 All Private Equity24.15.21.210.29.6 Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA Short term indicators show good performance
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10 3-year venture IRR moves into positive territory +0.6% +5.3% Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Venture 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs -4.0%
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11 All horizon IRRs in positive territory for buyouts and climbing +7.9% +12.6% Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Buyouts 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs +5.0%
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12 Top quarter funds return 23% StagePooled IRR Minimum value Top Quarter Pooled IRR Top Quarter All Venture5.66.123.9 Buyouts12.417.135.3 Generalist8.68.112.4 All Private Equity9.610.423.0 Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Private Equity Funds Formed 1980-2005
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13 Where is performance coming from? StageDPIRVPITVPI All Venture0.600.611.21 Buyouts0.800.601.40 Generalist0.970.401.37 All Private Equity0.780.571.35 Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Private Equity Funds Formed 1980-2005
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14 Conclusion: Record Activity Fundraising record at €59.5bn Pension funds and banks - main investors with 57.5% 2005 investments steady at €38.5bn, expected to go above €43bn on final data set Buyouts represent 65.8% by amount invested Venture represent 72.6% by number of investments Divestments up 23% at €24.0 billion Trade sale continues to be the most popular exit route with 24.6% of the total amount divested Write-offs reduced to 5.5% of total amount divested
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15 Conclusion: Improved Performance Long-term performance Stays constant at around 10% net IRR Robust returns for top quarter funds: 35.3% for buyout and 23.9% for venture funds. Shorter-term performance Overall 3-year rolling IRR moves up to 5.2% IRR with both buyout and venture returns in positive territory 1-year rolling IRR is an impressive 20.9% for buyout and 25.4% for venture funds
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16 Contact the Thomson Research Specialists: Performance: Cornelia Andersson cornelia.andersson@thomson.com +44 20 7014 1202 cornelia.andersson@thomson.com Investment activity: Margherita Del Bianco margherita.delbianco@thomson.com +44 20 7566 1934 How to contribute data?
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