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Demographic Transition Model
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*The DTM describes a sequence of changes in the relationships between birth and death rates. *The model was produced using changes in the natural increase in several countries in Western Europe and North America.
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It suggests that the population growth rates for all countries can be divided into 4 stages.
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Stage 1
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Birth Rate - Very High Death Rate - Very High Natural Increase - Population Steady
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Reasons for changes in birth rate:
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Children needed for farming They die at an early age due to illnesses No family planning And religious and social encouragement.
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Reasons for changes in death rate:
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Disease Famine Poor medical knowledge and so many people die.
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Stage 2
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Birth Rate - Very High Death Rate - Falling Rapidly Natural Increase - Very Rapid Increase
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Reasons for changes in birth rate:
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Children needed for farming They die at an early age due to illnesses No family planning and religious and social encouragement. (same as stage 1)
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Reasons for change in death rate:
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Improvements in medical care Water Supply and sanitation Fewer children die.
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Stage 3
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Birth Rate: Falling rapidly Death Rate: Falling more slowly Natural Increase: Rapid increase
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Reasons for changes in birth rate:
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Improved medical care and diet Fewer children are needed
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Reasons for changes in death rate:
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Improvements in medical care Water Supply and sanitation Fewer children die
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Stage 4
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Birth Rate: Falling more slowly Death rate: Slight fall Natural Increase: Very slow increase
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Reasons for changes in birth rate:
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Family planning Good health Later marriages Improving status of women
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Reasons for changes in death rate:
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Good health care Reliable food supply People are living much longer
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Stage 5
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Birth Rate: Slight fall Death Rate: Stable Natural Increase: Gentle decrease
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Reasons for changes in birth rate:
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Family planning Good health Later marriages Improving status of women
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Reasons for changes in death rate:
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Good health care Reliable food supply People are living much longer
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Examples
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Stage 1: A few remote Groups Stage 2:Egypt, Kenya, India Stage 3: Brazil Stage 4: USA, Japan, France, UK Stage 5: Germany (the future)
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Produced by Amy
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