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OECD - WGGS Merchanting Michael Connolly – National Accounts, CSO Ireland October 2010
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Outline of Presentation Group of Experts on Globalisation Merchanting – scale of activity Merchanting - explanation SNA 93 & BPM5 SNA 2008 & BPM6 (IMTS2010,para. 1.20) Merchanting of Services Conclusion Oct 2010 2OECD WGGS
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International Merchanting Activity 2004 – 2008 Index 2004 = 100 Oct 2010OECD WGGS3
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18 October 2015National Accounts Income4
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Merchanting - definition the purchase of a good by a resident (of the compiling economy) from a non-resident and the subsequent resale of the good to another non-resident; during this process the good does not enter or leave the compiling economy Source IMF BPM5 In addition no transformation of the good has taken place - if so, then goods for processing
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Merchanting Germany exporter/seller USA importer/buyer Ireland Merchant Value of exports = 80Value of imports =100 Value of services exports = 20 Change in ownership Cash settlement
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Merchanting So what is the problem with merchanting? In the trade data for countries Germany and USA the exports and imports are included How do we treat the transactions in the accounts of Ireland?
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Merchanting – BPM5, SNA 93 The solution to this difficulty centred around the treatment for the change of ownership. Change in ownership would normally require that we record exports from Germany to Ireland and record exports from Ireland to USA
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Merchanting This difficulty was simplified by imputing no change in ownership involving the merchant and therefore recording the merchant’s margin as the net export of a service in Ireland and record the exports /imports of goods between Germany and USA
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Merchanting Solution agreed in BPM5/SNA’93 solved one problem and created others Goods account does not add up Difference between the value of imports and exports is the merchants surplus Recorded under Services
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Merchanting SNA Rev.1 and BPM 6
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Merchanting BPM 6 & SNA 2008 Current treatment causes asymetries in Goods account (no services) Inconsistencies in recommended treatment and impact on inventories and balance sheets Inconsistencies with Supply and Use tables Valuation in Cross Border transactions
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Merchanting BPM6 & SNA 2008 New proposals apply to the merchanting of goods only - no mention of merchanted services Acquisition of goods by merchant to be recorded as negative exports of merchant’s economy Similarly sale of goods by merchant recorded as a positive export Difference between sales and purchases of merchanted goods is recorded under : “Net exports of goods under merchanting”
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Merchanting Proposals BPM6 & SNA 2008 In Supply and Use Tables the difference between sales and purchases to be shown as production of a service In general Merchanting activities to be recorded in Goods account rather than the Services account
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Merchanting – BPM6, SNA 2008 Oct 2010OECD WGGS16 Germany exporter/seller South Africa importer/buyer Ireland Merchant Movement of goods/services Change in ownership Cash settlement
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Merchanting
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Merchanting Impact of New Proposals Resolves the difficulty with asymmetric recording Resolves the issues with inventories and holding gains Valuation principles are consistent Recording of transactions in BOP still an issue
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Merchanting – Activities Included Commodity Trading International Wholesale Retail Global Manufacturing and Interaffiliate transactions in Goods and Services Outsourcing of Services (abroad)
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Merchanting Global Manufacturing Country B owner of goods Country D importer/buyer Country A Group Company Movement of goods/services Change in ownership Cash settlement Country C Processor/exporter Goods for processing
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Merchanting of Services Not addressed in the current manuals Was mentioned as far back as 1961 “ the compiling country’s residents may carry out international transactions in goods and services that are entered only on a net basis. Such transactions involve the purchase of goods or services in one foreign country and the sale or granting of them to another foreign country ”
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Merchanting, CSO Treatment Impact of Globalisation on services Inclusion of transactions in services Potential for statistical distortion arising from large transactions in goods and services sourced and delivered abroad Outsourced services Third era of Globalisation
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Merchanting of Goods and Services 2009 Oct 2010 OECD WGGS
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Merchanting Goods & Services Country IE owner of goods Country DE Producer Goods Market EMEA Many customers Country US Direct Investor Country FR Producer services 100%
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Merchanting of Services Does not consider or address the merchanting of services major aspect of Globalisation falls within the definition of merchanting Transformation - how to determine if service has been transformed?
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Merchanting Conclusions Merchanting of services needs serious consideration Revised treatment for Merchanting of goods is now adequate Separate recommendations are required for Merchanting of Services similar to BPM5 i.e. separate item in Services Account
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