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Adaptation to Climate Change in Livestock sector of Mongolia Batima P., Shiirev-Adya., Bat B., Bayarbaatar L., Tserendash S. AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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Methodologies Methodologies Long list Long list Short list Short list Analysis Analysis Discussions Discussions Contents
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Methodologies expert judgment expert judgment adaptation screening matrix adaptation screening matrix simulation of animal behavior simulation of animal behavior economic analysis of intensive farm development economic analysis of intensive farm development adaptation decision matrix adaptation decision matrix AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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Expert judgment Long list Long list Pasture and feed Pasture and feed Livestock herding practice Livestock herding practice Livelihood Livelihood Food supply of big cities Food supply of big cities Research on climate change Research on climate change
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Adaptation screening matrix AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Pasture and feed:19 Livestock herding practice: 15 Livelihood: 14 Food supply of big cities: 3 Research on climate change: 2
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Adaptation screening matrix AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Criteria Opportunity Priority Effectiveness Impact on environment Cost Barrier
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Adaptation optionsPriority Target of Opportunity Effective- ness Impact on Environ- ment CostBarrier Food supply Develop intensive dairy farmingHigh LowHighMedium Develop intensive farming for meatHigh LowHighMedium Develop intensive farming other than livestockHigh MediumHighMedium CC Establish climate change monitoringHigh NoneMediumNone Develop climatic criteria for dzud and droughHigh NoneMediumNone AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Adaptation screening matrix *
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Short list Pasture and livestock herding management Assessment of the pasture carrying capacity at soum level, Ecological Classification of pasture for livestock herding, Pasture classification by season Develop management concepts for Livestock herding by socio-economic regions, Develop management system for animal productivity improvement Extension of grazing time Feed Preparation of supplementary feed: plant and non-plant Encourage to reserve irrigated hay area, Encourage to reserve irrigated pasture, Livelihood Develop alternative income source Awareness raising and education at all level Food supply Develop intensive dairy farm near to big cities, Develop intensive farm for meat production near to big cities, AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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Pasture capacity AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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Pasture Seasonal Camping
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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H- autumn camping, X-spring camping, 3-Summer camping, Q- winter camping, movement direction Pasture Seasonal Camping
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Socio-Economic regions
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Simulation of animal behavior vs. Supplementary feed
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Supplementary feed 2080
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Preparation of Traditional supplementary feed Traditionally: hand prepared feed Plant Non-plant Have prepared hand out on Plant Non-plant
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Intensive farming Agro-climate Soil Landscape Vegetation Climate (max, min and average tº, soil moisture…) Economic parameters Expenditure Income…….
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Discussions Three level workshop: Local workshop Workshop at scientific community Workshop at Ministerial level Present at Permanent Committee for Food and Agriculture of the Parliament
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Local workshop
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Current adaptation practice
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At herder’s level
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Output of the workshops Were very effective in terms of Improving the understanding of climate change at local level and disseminate the research information Discussing the proposed adaptation options at local level and get feedback from local community Almost all the adaptation option that was prepared by the expert team have been accepted by the local experts as well as herders
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Adaptive capacity
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 (Socio-economic adaptive capacity)
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AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004 Institutional Framework Ministry for Nature and Environment 7 Departments2 Agencies NAMHEM IMH Monitoring Ministry of Food and Agriculture 2 Departments Livestock Academy of science Institute of livestock Pasture plants institutions are there no linkage
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Adaptation decision matrix Adaptation measures Criteria: Socio-economic Criteria Weight Prioritize AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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Some measures IMH: predictions Long term prediction for winter: October- March Prediction of pasture resources Prediction on pasture capacity Prediction of ewe weight for November-April AIACC Asia-Pacific region workshop, Manila, Philippines, November 2004
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Thank you for your attention!
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