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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT MINISTERIO DE FOMENTO CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS Y EXPERIMENTACIÓN DE OBRAS PÚBLICAS DIRECCIÓN GENERAL DE PLANIFICACIÓN Y COORDINACIÓN TERRITORIAL SECRETARÍA DE ESTADO DE INFRAESTRUCTURAS Y PLANIFICACIÓN Encuentro: “Intermodalidad de viajeros” I nterurban passenger transport planification Alain Sauvant Madrid, 4 de noviembre de 2004
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Service économique et statistique Interurban passenger transport planification An overview of methods currently used in France
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Outline of presentation Multimodal national monitoring scheme Multimodal strategic corridors and nodes monitoring scheme 2025 traffic forecasts 2025 infrastructure maps
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT National monitoring scheme To follow aggregate transport policy relevant indicators in France Such as national road traffic, rail transport, prices, quality of service, modal split or the environment Passenger and freight With « out of track » indicators
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Passenger cars (veh.km on all road networks) Draft document
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Road transport CO2 emissions Draft document
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Strategic corridors and nodes monitoring scheme To follow transport policy relevant indicators in a given corridor or node in France Passenger and freight Such as traffic, prices, quality of service, environment, safety, accessibility
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Modal split in 2000
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Frequencies by mode from Paris
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Access to airports and TGV stations in Paris
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Access to European capitals by air from the French regions
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Punctuality from Paris (rail+air)
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Passengers per plane or TGV
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Noise levels at CDG airport
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Passenger flows across the Pyrenees
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Road accidents and fatalities
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Cross-channel passenger flows
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Passenger flows and modal split
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Number of trains (passenger+freight)
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Interurban NOx emissions (passenger +freight)
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Journey times across France
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Access to major European capitals
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Quality of access to major road network nodes
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Quality of access to major railway stations
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Quality of access to airports
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Quality of access (rail+air)
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT 2025 Traffic forecasts Integrated multimodal approach Econometric models Passenger and goods traffic Environment To be used for project appraisal (rate of return evaluation) in all modes
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Macroeconomic and transport policy context GDP growth in France = 1,9 % per year Ageing population Oil price : 35 $/baril in 2025 Exchange rate in 2025 : 1€ = 1$ Increase of passenger diesel oil prices
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Towards smaller road traffic growth % average annual growth 1980 - 20022002 – 2025 National road network 3,5 %1,8 % Out of which : Toll motorways 6,2 %2,8 %
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Slower domestic air transport growth % average annual growth 1980 - 20022002 - 2025 Domestic passenger air transport 4,4 %1,7 %
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Continuing passenger rail transport growth Average annual growth in % Pass-km1980 - 20022002 - 2025 Rail1,5 %1,8 % Out of which : TGV (high speed) ns> 2,6 % Around 1500 additional km of high speed lines, stable rail prices, increase of taxes on passenger diesel
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Public sector financing needs by modes per year Source : from Audit IGF/CGPC
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT State funding needs Source : from Audit IGF/CGPC
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT New infrastructure plans Common standards for all project evaluations in all modes Instruction de Robien – Boiteux commission report A mix of project evaluation and land planning considerations
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Government infrastructure plan decisions CIADT of december 2003 Infrastructure plan of 2025 Established a new agency for multimodal funding
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT National road infrastructures by 2025
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Other terrestrial modes’ infrastructures by 2025
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Outlook Towards strategic corridors and nodes 2025 traffic and environment forecasts Towards an urban transport and territories monitoring scheme
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Service économique et statistique Alain SAUVANT Link to web sites of monitoring schemes http://www.equipement.gouv.fr/statistiques/analyses/etudes/ http://www.equipement.gouv.fr/statistiques/analyses/etudes/ transpor/indicateurs2004/somm_indicateurs2004.htm http://www.equipement.gouv.fr/statistiques/analyses/etudes/etudes_.htm Strategic nodes and corridors monitoring schemes National monitoring scheme
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